KevinX
@KevinXInvest
Followers
3K
Following
355
Media
247
Statuses
549
Tech, Macro, Investor, Trader, Technical Analysis
Joined May 2021
Original path. no change. I knew Opex day would be the inflection point. The ongoing correction likely to be completed in 1-2 days. after that, a face rip off rally into year end. BUT, still in this expanding topping process! See you at 6150 1st target next year. $ES, $SPX, $QQQ.
History doesn't repeat, but often rhythms. Topping is a process, last year took 3 months. Broadening pattern usually occur at top. NFA. $SPY, $SPX, $QQQ.
8
20
117
2025 has been an awesome year. Looking forward to 2026. Happy New Year!
3
0
4
Alternate count. Though $SPX only dropped 1.5% from ATH, some oscillators are already quite oversold, but not to the extreme level. I would take profit at towards 6800 if drop continues. Or close swing shorts if decisively above 6875.
6
5
28
Correction. The measured move should start from the break down point. Assuming it's going to break soon, measured move to $555.
$QQQ. The diamond pattern is so obvious. Measured move pointing to 522, which colocates with a volume shelf.
5
11
58
$QQQ. The diamond pattern is so obvious. Measured move pointing to 522, which colocates with a volume shelf.
9
34
158
$SPX Sea of red and SP500 only dropped 0.7%? End of year flow always interesting, so does the first trading day of the year.
2
2
12
Captured the exact top. Dropped 45pts in 2hrs.
a nano 3rd in a micro 3rd just kicked off from $SPX 6888. It could last till Jan 2.
1
4
7
So it begins... I captured the Santa Rally from 6730 to 6900. Now a new series has kicked off. Looking for 400pts swing. Of course I will be adjusting positions along the way. $SPY. $SPX.
In Santa I believe. Bought butterflies and call debits mostly on 12/17 when $SPX 6730-6750. In such $VIX crush scenario you need to minimize Vega exposure and just let time(Theta) to do the job. Merry Christmas!
2
0
10
Micro level count. $SPX. $SPY.
1
4
31
a nano 3rd in a micro 3rd just kicked off from $SPX 6888. It could last till Jan 2.
1
2
8
(2) Monthly Candle since 2009 Easy monetary policy and fiscal expansion have been the primary drivers of this secular bull market since 2009, with technology as its clear No. 1 beneficiary. I believe we are now in the 7th–8th inning of this late-cycle bull market, with AI capex
Yearly Candle since 1929 Markets have always moved in long arcs shaped by technology, policy, demographics, and human behavior—often repeating familiar patterns, but never in exactly the same way. Every major bull market has felt “obvious” in hindsight and deeply uncertain while
2
8
48
Potential bear series. Close above 6920 invalidation. $SPX. $SPY.
3
14
89
Train wreck ahead if this is true. Head & shoulders — invalidated 5% bounce off the channel Barely but making new all-time highs The similarities are too damn close to ignore. $SPX $SPY
88
91
731
Yearly Candle since 1929 Markets have always moved in long arcs shaped by technology, policy, demographics, and human behavior—often repeating familiar patterns, but never in exactly the same way. Every major bull market has felt “obvious” in hindsight and deeply uncertain while
8
24
121
Bulls front run Santa Rally by 230pts which is already quite good. Unable to reclaim 6920 on a closing basis is the confirmation of the end of the bull trend. Unable to complete a bull series is the sign of topping and exhaustion. $SPX. $SPY.
Update. The call of 6700 dip and a holiday face ripper pump is maturing. The upside series still have slight upside room to 7000 by 12/31. $SPX. $SPY. $VIX.
4
9
72