K33 Research
@K33Research
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Understand the digital assets industry, from short-term market signals to long-term fundamentals. Formerly Arcane Research.
Oslo, Norway
Joined December 2019
DATs risk benchmark exclusion. Clarity Act vote expected in early 2026. OCC allows banks to hold crypto for gas fees. Kraken formally enters the IPO pipeline. In trending topics, we dive into recent institutional ETF ownership data. https://t.co/gGDMh4rCJH
k33.com
DATs risk benchmark exclusion. Clarity Act vote expected in early 2026. In trending topics, we dive into recent institutional ETF ownership data.
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After a steady decline, pushing BTC to 7-month lows, notional perp OI has resurfaced at yearly highs, marking its largest 1-week growth since April 2023. New squeezes inbound? https://t.co/nD26ApYKkm
k33.com
BTC falls to 7-month lows, while bitcoin leverage explodes toward yearly highs. Squeezes inbound?
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Bitcoin loses $100k while the U.S. government resumes operations. The Czech central bank has made a small BTC purchase, and Grayscale is seeking an IPO. In trending topics, we cover MSTR’s discount to NAV and inefficiencies related to the DAT structure. https://t.co/YurlAYRh0R
k33.com
Bitcoin drops $100k as U.S. government restarts. Czech central bank buys BTC, Grayscale pursues IPO, and MSTR NAV discount plus DAT inefficiencies trend.
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BTC bounces amid tariff dividend chatter after revisiting the 5-digits. Exposure stays low and cautious in derivatives, while ETFs suffer the worst 30-day flow since March. Another major accumulator, BTCTCs, slows acquisitions amid compressing MNAVs. https://t.co/PyJm1FRelI
k33.com
Mild BTC bounce from 6mth lows. Heavy ETF outflows. Softening BTC purchases from treasury companies amid compressed MNAVs.
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Some Digital Asset Treasury firms have moved from buyers to sellers, paying of debt or launching share buyback plans. Tether profits crosses $10bn, while Robinhood and Block falls after earnings. ETF options dominance is covered in trending topics. https://t.co/v4TbkEaUuq
k33.com
DATCOs sell, Tether 2025 profits surpass $10bn, BTC ETF options nears 50% market share.
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BTC is near an important support level, and the derivatives regime is in a structure typically associated with critical inflection points, mirroring all global market bottoms over the past few years, as well as the early bear market formations from 2021. https://t.co/gVwGeu52gG
k33.com
BTC nears key support as derivatives structure mirrors past global bottoms and early 2021 bear phases, signaling a potential major inflection point.
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Fed cuts rates by 25 bps. SOL ETFs launch solidly despite weak markets. Coinbase posts strong Q3. In trending topics we highlight the October surge of crypto-related tier-1 bank moves, a sharp contrast to recent lackluster market performance. https://t.co/wWISgG7jhp
k33.com
Fed cuts rates 25 bps; SOL ETFs launch strong; Coinbase beats Q3; banks dive into crypto despite weak markets
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Bitcoin recovers to its monthly open. With notional OI down 11.6% MTD following the October 10 crash and strong medium-term tailwinds, we reiterate our bullish outlook while we prepare for a volatile mid-week. https://t.co/wGFJ91doXq
k33.com
With leverage cleared and healthy momentum we remain bullish. A hectic week is on the horizon with FOMC, Trump-Xi meeting, and several important earnings.
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President Trump pardons CZ. T.Rowe Price to launch actively managed crypto ETF. FalconX to acquire 21Shares. In trending topics we summarize key insights from Chainalysis’ Geography of Crypto Report. https://t.co/GFz0YYLzWO
k33.com
CZ Pardoned. T.Rowe Price to launch actively managed crypto ETF. In trending topics we summarize key insights from Chainalysis’ Geography of Crypto Report.
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Conditions are ripe for being contrarian. BTC trades near 4-month lows, and the persistent (and aggressive) bearish bias does not reflect its strong fundamental backdrop. Hence, we favor buying the blood. https://t.co/KANeGuP27M
k33.com
BTC near 4-month lows as shorts crowd in. Bearish bias grows, but strong fundamentals make this a prime setup for contrarian buyers.
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Binance faces scrutiny after Friday’s crypto crash. A bill follows Trump’s 401(k) EO. Morgan Stanley allows clients crypto fund access after its GIC paper. Trending: U.S. government seizes 127,271 BTC. https://t.co/jRDGxrD4MY
k33.com
Binance under scrutiny after crypto crash; Trump 401(k) bill emerges; Morgan Stanley opens crypto funds; U.S. seizes 127,271 BTC.
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Record liquidation, record notional OI contraction. Typically, stagnation follows destabilizing events such as this crash. Nonetheless, with leverage rinsed, we are constructively bullish, favoring BTC spot accumulation in the weeks ahead. https://t.co/wNukZCJdUh
k33.com
Record-breaking liquidations and derivatives carnage over the weekend. Leverage is rinsed, forward looking narratives positive, a good time to enter?
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S&P Global to launch hybrid crypto index; 60% of institutional investors plan to boost crypto exposure, says State Street. BNY explores tokenized deposits. In trending topics, we cover Morgan Stanley’s Crypto Asset Allocation Framework. https://t.co/TPHn70mHeE
k33.com
S&P Global unveils hybrid crypto index; institutions boost exposure, BNY eyes tokenized deposits, Morgan Stanley crypto framework.
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While BTC shows signs of short-term overheating, the structural backdrop is radically different from prior cycles. The classic 4-year halving cycle playbook no longer applies in a world where institutional adoption has evolved from dreams into reality. https://t.co/6ybHpnmdy2
k33.com
BTC hits all-time highs. Leverage expands. Growing funding rates point toward increased long-concentration. The 4-year cycle a concluded chapter?
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Vanguard eyes crypto ETF access, Lummis pushes tax exemption for small trades, and Kraken targets $20B valuation. In trending topics we cover CME’s plans 24/7 crypto futures, and how the U.S. shutdown stalls altcoin ETF approvals. https://t.co/rHCEpOYJQp
k33.com
Vanguard eyes crypto ETFs, Lummis pushes tax relief, Kraken targets $20B IPO, as CME plans 24/7 futures and shutdown halts altcoin ETF launches.
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The market structure remains stagnant. CME passivity, elevated leverage in perps as BTC consolidates. A potential partial U.S. government shutdown elevates uncertainty, while Asian banking holidays may soften market liquidity. https://t.co/Hxjq1eBmkF
k33.com
Stagnant market structure with passive CME, high perp leverage. U.S. shutdown risk and Asian holidays may reduce liquidity and raise uncertainty.
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Tether eyes a $500B valuation as it reportedly seeks to raise $20B, while U.S. regulators investigate potential insider trading at DATs. In trending topics, nine eurozone banks unveil a joint stablecoin initiative to challenge USD’s 99.8% dominance. https://t.co/BhyMynnaAs
k33.com
Tether eyes $500B valuation with $20B raise, DATs under U.S. probe, Morgan Stanley plans crypto via E-Trade, EU banks launch stablecoin challenger.
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Bitcoin's quiet streak ended with a sharp Monday sell-off, dropping to two-week lows and triggering $285M in long liquidations, with altcoins hit harder as ETH perps saw nearly $490M liquidated. BTC’s post-liquidation bounce? Don’t count on it. https://t.co/8OnTqXGD9a
k33.com
Bitcoin plunged to two-week lows Monday, triggering $285M in long liquidations. Altcoins fared worse, ETH perps saw $490M wiped.
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The Fed cuts rates, while the FCA moves toward full oversight of UK crypto firms. Binance seeks early release from DOJ oversight, and U.S. crypto execs rally behind an SBR bill. In trending topics, we cover the impending wave of fast-tracked crypto ETPs. https://t.co/EhebWV2la1
k33.com
Fed cuts rates, FCA eyes UK crypto oversight, Binance seeks DOJ exit, execs push SBR bill, fast-tracked crypto ETPs to flood Wall St.
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BTC rose 3% last week on softer PPI, stable CPI, and labor data revisions, boosting FOMC cut hopes. Despite the uptrend, activity stays muted. ETF inflows hint at momentum, but mixed signals from high offshore leverage favor caution. https://t.co/xMpB4AMV03
k33.com
BTC gains 3% on soft PPI, stable CPI, and labor data. ETF inflows rise, but mixed signals and offshore leverage keep outlook balanced.
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