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Juri Marcucci Profile
Juri Marcucci

@JuriMarcucci

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752
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559

Economist at the Bank of Italy working on Big data, Machine Learning and NLP applied to economics & finance. Views are my own. RT = I want to keep track of it.

Joined December 2012
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
2 months
๐ŸŽ“ Don't miss this discussion on how #text+#AI unlock the hidden signals in global economic strategy. ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Jun 20.๐Ÿ•š 11AM EDT | 5PM CEST.๐ŸŽ™๏ธ Moderator: Nitish Sinha (Fed Board).๐Ÿ”— Register: #EconTwitter #LLM #NLP #TradePolicy #Geoeconomics #DataScience 7/7.
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
2 months
๐Ÿ’ฅ In Q1 2025, tariff concerns among US firms reached all-time highs โ€” even higher than during the 2018โ€“19 trade war. LLMs catch real-time anxiety before it hits official stats. #EconTwitter #AMLEDS #Webinar #LLM #NLP #AI #ML.6/7.
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
2 months
๐Ÿงญ Who gets hit hardest?. ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexican firms: tariff-heavy pressure. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russian firms: sanctions & controls. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น: high spillovers via trade links. โ›“๏ธ Upstream sectors = global chokepoints. #EconTwitter #AMLEDS #Webinar #LLM #NLP #AI #ML.5/7.
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
2 months
๐Ÿ”ฅ Key Findings:. Text signals reveal off-path pressure before policies hit. Firms fear threats as much as real measures. Responses vary: tariffs = pricing shifts, sanctions = exits. #EconTwitter #AMLEDS #Webinar #LLM #NLP #AI #ML.4/7.
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
2 months
๐Ÿ’ก What the authors did:. They used Large Language Models to read 500k+ earnings calls and analyst reports and:. Detect geoeconomic shocks. Measure policy threats. Track how firms react (exit? price hikes? stay quiet?). #EconTwitter #AMLEDS #Webinar #LLM #NLP #AI #ML .3/7.
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
2 months
๐ŸŒ What is geoeconomic pressure?. It's when governments use #trade, #finance or #supplychains to push #geopolitical goalsโ€”with or without formal action. Think #tariffs, #sanctions export controls. or just the threat of them. #EconTwitter #AMLEDS #Webinar #LLM #AI #ML #NLP.2/7.
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
2 months
๐Ÿ“ข Can threats alone move markets?. Join us Friday, June 20 @ 11 AM EDT / 5 PM CEST for a #AMLEDS #Webinar with @acoppola4 (@StanfordGSB) presenting:. ๐Ÿงพ Geoeconomic Pressure. ๐Ÿ”— #EconTwitter #LLM #NLP #ML #Text #Economics #AI.1/7
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
3 months
If you're working on:.โœ… Demand estimation.โœ… Consumer choice.โœ… AI & economics.โœ… Product differentiation.โ€ฆyou wonโ€™t want to miss this. #EconTwitter #AI #MachineLearning #DeepLearning #TextMining #NLP #Econometrics #DataScience #AmazonData #ConsumerBehavior #Webinar #AMLEDS.
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
3 months
๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿซ Moderated by @LarsNesheim (@ucl ).๐Ÿ“„ Paper:.๐Ÿ“ Free & online.๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Friday, May 23.โฐ 11 AM EDT | 5 PM CEST.๐Ÿ”— Registration Link #econtwitter #AMLEDS.
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
3 months
๐Ÿ”„ This is demand estimationโ€”reimagined:.No need for hand-coded features or perfectly labeled attributes. Just smart use of **neural networks + choice data**. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Scalable, low-cost, and **surprisingly accurate**. #econtwitter.
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
3 months
โœจ Key Findings:.* Text & image embeddings beat standard models in predicting demand.* Embeddings from reviews give the best counterfactual performance.* Identifies close substitutes across 40 Amazon categories.* Ideal for markets with missing or hard-to-quantify product data.
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
3 months
๐Ÿง  This paper (w/ Ilya Morozov&Stephan Seiler) shows how to use pre-trained deep learning models to extract product info from images, descriptions, & reviewsโ€”then estimate demand without traditional attributes. ๐Ÿ“ฆThink: Amazon-scale markets with no clean metadata. #econtwitter.
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
3 months
๐Ÿšจ Can #AI estimate demand from just #text and #images?.Join us **Friday, May 23 @ 11 AM EDT / 5 PM CEST** for a cutting-edge #AMLEDS #Webinar with @GioCompiani *(@ChicagoBooth):.๐Ÿ“Š "Demand Estimation with Text and Image Data". #econtwitter #machinelearning .๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
4 months
๐Ÿ“ Online โ€“ Free & Open.๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Friday, April 18.๐Ÿ•š 11 AM EDT | 4 PM BST | 5 PM CEST.๐Ÿ”— Register here: #EconTwitter #AMLEDS.
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
4 months
๐Ÿ“„ Full paper: ๐ŸŽฏ If you care about #monetarypolicy, #forwardguidance, #NLP, #ML, or #AI, this webinar is for you!. #econtwitter #AMLEDS.
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
4 months
โœจ Key Insights:. Text shocks explain 4x more variation in fed funds futures than rate changes. 2x stronger effects on real interest rates. Produce responses aligned with #textbook #macro models, unlike traditional surprise measures. #EconTwitter #AMLEDS.
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
4 months
๐Ÿง  Moderated by @td_econ (U. of Maryland), Amy shows that the language of #FOMC statements drives market expectations 4x more than rate changes! Using #neuralnetworks (XLNet), she builds a novel โ€œtext shockโ€ series capturing pure forward guidance. ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ“ˆ.#EconTwitter #AMLEDS.
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
4 months
๐Ÿ“ข AMLEDS Webinar โ€“ Friday, April 18. ๐Ÿ•š 11 AM EDT / 5 PM CEST. ๐Ÿ’ฌ Can the #Fed move markets with #words alone? Join us for a groundbreaking #AMLEDS webinar with @AmyHandlan (@Brown_Economics), presenting her paper: "#Text #Shocks and #Monetary #Surprises". #EconTwitter
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@JuriMarcucci
Juri Marcucci
5 months
๐Ÿšจ Reminder: Tomorrow at 11 AM EDT / 3 PM GMT / 4 PM CET! ๐Ÿšจ. Join us for the @AMLEDS1 #Webinar with @SophiaKazinnik from @Stanford on "Simulating the Survey of Professional Forecasters." ๐Ÿ“Š. ๐Ÿ” #AI outperforms human predictions in forecasting! Donโ€™t miss out!. #econtwitter #ML
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