Jason_OTC
@Jason_OTC
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NFL Salary Cap and Contract Expert...Founder of https://t.co/qjycKwro5M. Author of https://t.co/hHeniZKrT4...Author of The Drafting Stage...Email on OTC...Jets fan
Joined February 2013
Teams with no 1st round pick next year and their current record:. Saints: 2-5.Broncos: 2-4.Browns: 2-4.49ers- 3-3.Rams- 3-3.
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Still hard to believe that the NFL uses the Pro Bowl to determine salary escalators and option values.
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Amazing job by the #Bengals and Alex Cappa to negotiate a four year contract in about 5 seconds.
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Per league source the #Saints have renegotiated Drew Brees' contract to open up nearly $24M in cap space for 2021.
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Most estimated cap space in 2019. 1. Colts- $118.5M.2. Jets- $95.6M.3. Browns- $84.9M.4. Bills- $84.2M.5. Raiders- $73.1M.6. Texans- $68.4M.7. 49ers- $67.0M.8. Cardinals- $63.3M.9. Seahawks- $54.7M.10. Bengals- $54.1M.
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No team has taken more advantage of having a cheap QB than Philadelphia.
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#bills have to win a SB at some point but im not sure if there was a better pure rebuild in the NFLs salary cap era than what they have done in Buffalo.
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Teams with the most projected cap space in 2020. 1 Colts- $91.8M.2 Dolphins- $91.4M.3 Bills- $81.8M.4 Bucs- $81.5M.5 Cowboys- $79.5M.6 Broncos- $62M.7 Giants- $61.9M.8 Titans- $54.5M.9 Seahawks- $57.9M.10 Raiders- $53.3M. Full list --->>>
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So ultimately the Cardinals wound up with Deandre Hopkins and JJ Watt from the #Texans for a 2nd, 4th, and David Johnson? Thats not too bad.
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2019 NFL Rosters by Original Draft Slot. UDFA- 30.9%.Rd 1- 14.3%.Rd 2- 11.0%.Rd 3- 11.1%.Rd 4- 9.9%.Rd 5- 8.6%.Rd 6- 8.4%.Rd 7- 5.7%.
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Every time a new QB contract gets done all I can think of is how did the #Chiefs pull off what they did with Mahomes. They are in such a great position.
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Teams with at least 60% of their roster being "homegrown" players:. Ravens-72%.Vikings- 71%.Packers-67%.Rams- 66%.Chargers- 62%.Cowboys- 62%.Saints- 61%.
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Despite the way people look at the #Rams they actually ranked 6th in the NFL in homegrown players. They had the most drafted players in the NFL on their roster this year. That's been overshadowed by the big trades.
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2018 NFL Roster Breakdown (by round drafted). UDFA- 31.7%.1st - 14.3%.2nd- 10.7%.3rd- 10.4%.4th- 10.0%.5th- 9.0%.6th- 8.4%.7th- 5.5%.
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The #Bills will carry about $31.1 million in dead money for Diggs. Pretty much a disaster extension for them. Wound up paying an extra $20.9M in 2022 and 2023 to come away with a net of less than a 2nd rounder next year.
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For the #Steelers I dont know how you spin this as anything more than a disaster. They spent over $29M in new money for basically one additional year that resulted in no playoffs and got taken to the woodshed by Brown starting in week 17. For all that they get a 3 and 5 back.
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Most cap room heading into 2020. 1 Dolphins- $110M.2 Colts- $104M.3 Cowboys- $85M.4 Bills- $83M.5 Texans- $82M.6 Bucs- $75M.7 Cardinals- $73M.8 Seahawks- $70M.9 Raiders- $69M.10 Ravens- $62M.
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The Browns will receive 5,512 points on the Fitzgerald-Spielberger draft chart. The Jaguars will gain 3,610 points. The 1,902 point difference is worth about the the 8th overall pick in the draft. A massive haul for the #Browns.
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Teams with most projected NFL salary cap space in 2021 (inc. carryover). 1. Jaguars- $75M.2. Jets- $72.7M.3. Colts- $66.5M.4. Patriots- $62.6M.5. Football Team- $50.5M.6. Ravens- $30.9M.7. Dolphins- $33.6M.8. Bengals- $25.2M.9. Broncos- $24.5M.10. Browns- $22.9M.
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Obviously cap space is very fluid right now but the current leaders in estimated 2020 cap space, including some projected carryover are. 1 Colts- $138M.2 Dolphins- $113M.3 Texans- $91M.4 Bills- $85.4M.5 Cowboys- $85M.6 Seahawks- $75M.7 Cardinals- $69M.8 Ravens- $64M.
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#Dolphins wound up spending $45.525 million for Shaq Lawson, Kyle Van Noy, and Ereck Flowers who were all signed last year as free agents. All are now gone.
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Teams with the most "homegrown" talent on the roster:. 1. Bengals- 48.2. Ravens- 47.3. Vikings- 46.4. Patriots- Seahawks, Cowboys- 44.7. Packers- 43.8. Falcons, Rams, Chargers- 42.
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Most NFL contract value on IR, PUP, NFI . 1. 49ers- $40.4M.2. Eagles- $29.8M.3. Seahawks- $28.1M.4. Falcons- $27.3M.5. Jaguars- $26.5M.6. Dolphins- $26.4M.7. Raiders- $22.3M.8. Panthers- $21.8M.
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#Giants had about $43 million in dead money last year. Already at $33.5 million this year. Thats a horrible two year run.
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Devastating loss for the #Bills who were about as all in as a team could be. Will be about $49M over the salary cap next year and likely going to have to keep pushing salary with the same team again.
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As we get to final cutdowns here are the teams with the most original signings still competing for a spot in the NFL. 1. Ravens- 112.2. Cowboys - 107.3. Vikings- 104.4. Rams- 102.5. Patriots/Packers/Eagles- 93. Ravens almost always rank at the top every year. Great FO.
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Here is a quick look at every teams estimated 2021 salary cap space against their 2020 record. Top right= good record, good cap position.Top left= good record, bad cap position.Bottom right= bad record, good cap position.Bottom left= disaster
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Regarding Watson, if the Achilles injury occurred under normal rehab directed by the team his contract would still be protected. If the injury was a result of something he was not supposed to be doing his guarantees would be at risk either now or by the summer.
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@billbarnwell The Giants organization and fans have done a good job of embracing that the team is terrible and are having fun with a nice little story. The Jets somehow think they are a playoff contender.
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Young for a 3 and a $560K salary makes that Seahawks trade for Williams look so silly.
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If the #Saints cut every player on their roster in 2024 that had a positive salary cap savings they would create just $15.375M in cap room. They are currently around $85M over the cap. So this isn't really a situation where you can reset anymore. It simply isnt feasible.
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The #Browns have $44.3M of Watson's 2025 salary insured for injury so there is some major financial relief available if he can not play due to the Achilles injury suffered this year.
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How bad has the #Jets front office been the last few years? About 14% of their cash spent this year is spent on players who have been cut. The next closest team is at 6.8%. The NFL average is 2%.
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Efforts like this are why nobody believes in the Jets coaching staff.
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If we cross out the matching rounds, ultimately the #Seahawks wound up trading . Russell Wilson, a 3rd, and Bradley McDougald . for. Jamal Adams, two 2nds, Shelby Harris, Noah Fant, Drew Lock, and a 5th.
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Assuming a $256M salary cap in 2024 the teams that project with the most effective cap space (includes current carryover from 2023):. 1. Patriots- $115M.2. Bears- $99M.3. Commanders- $85M.4. Titans- $84M.5. Texans- $81M.6. Colts- $77M.7. Bengals- $75M.8. Lions- $70M.9. Cardinals-.
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The Ravens and Bucs lead the NFL with about 78% of their roster being homegrown talent. The Panthers rank 32nd at just 42%.
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most estimated cap space 2019. 1 Colts $119m.2 Jets $96m.3 Texans $87m.4 Bills $85m.5 Browns $83m.6 49ers $67m.7 Cowboys $67m.
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Teams with enough cap space to trade for Xavien Howard:. Jaguars.Broncos.Panthers.Jets.Chargers.Browns.Lions.49ers.Bengals.Football Team.Colts.Vikings.Patriots.Steelers.
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I think the best front offices in the NFL right now are (in no particular order) the Eagles, Patriots, 49ers, Vikings, and Ravens.
@Jason_OTC Who is the best GM in the NFL, and who were your honorable mention behind Brandon Beane?.
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@RichCimini @Realrclark25 The part about talking to KCs GM while under contract should be looked at if there was no permission.
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Adam Gase has had two head coaching jobs in the NFL. In both cases he was tasked with working with a highly drafted QB. In both cases he failed. Both teams he left will wind up in complete rebuilds once he is gone. There is no defense. #Jets.
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Including trades the current "leaders" in dead money. 1. Bears- $45.2M.2. Seahawks- $40.6M.3. Eagles- $36.5M.4. Texans- $35.6M.5. Saints- $29.4M.6. Packers- $24.6M.7. Steelers- $24M.8. Raiders- $23.3M.9. Jaguars- $23.1M.10. Vikings- $22.1M. Jets have the least at $1.6M.
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Leaders so far in contract restructures:. 1. Dolphins- $48.99M.2. Saints- $48.966M.3. Jaguars- $45.595M.4. Packers- $33.99M.5. Chargers- $28.755M.6. Panthers- $27.425M.
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Top non-QB earners of the decade. Ndamukong Suh- $148.2M.Gerald McCoy- $122.2M.Larry Fitzgerald- $120.7M.Joe Haden- $109.8M.Von Miller- $108.5M.
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The #Cowboys currently lead the NFL with being responsible for starting the career of 82 players currently in the NFL. Ravens are 2nd with 77 followed by the Vikings with 75, 49ers with 74 and Patriots with 71.
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NFL teams with most projected salary cap room for 2024 (51 man roster, $242M cap). 1. Titans- $75.5M.2. Commanders- $74.5M.3. Patriots- $70.5M.4. Colts- $66.1M.5. Texans- $64.3M.6. Bengals- $58.2M.7. Bears- $53.5M.8. Cardinals- $47.7M.9. Lions- $47.4M.10. Raiders- $40.7M.
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#Vikings are now the league leader in dead money at $57.3M. Packers at number 2 at $46.5M. Seahawks are 3rd at $36M.
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Wait a minute. The Cowboys released Cooper Rush? From what I heard on Twitter on Saturday signing Andy Dalton meant dumping Prescott not Rush. What a shocking turn of events.
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Youngest teams on offense (snaps played 25 and under). 1. Steelers- 73.9%.2. Eagles- 66.1%.3. Lions- 57.7%.4. Bengals- 53.3%.5. Panthers- 51.9%.6. Bears- 51.7%.7. Dolphins- 51.4%.8. Cowboys- 51.2%.9. Ravens- 50.1%.10. Raiders- 46.2%. NFL Avg- 41.6%.
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Here is a look at how much estimated value each team added to their roster during the draft (y axis) against what they were expected to gain based on draft position (x axis).
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1. Bengals- $48.7M.2. Steelers- $38.2M.3. Raiders- $30.9M.4. Patriots- $21.0M.5. Bucs- $16.8M.6. Eagles- $14.1M.7. Chiefs- $14.1M.8. Cardinals- $9.8M.9. Bills- $1.4M.10. Titans- $400K.11. 49ers- ($620K).12. Rams- ($2.3M).13. Cowboys- ($19.6M).14. Packers- ($45.4M).
@Jason_OTC Hey @Jason_OTC, what's the estimated NFL salary cap for the for 14 teams in the playoffs?.
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Current NFL leaders in cap space estimates. 1. Colts- $107.8M.2. Jets- $99.6M.3. Browns- $79.3M.4. Bills- $79.2M.5. Texans- $78.0M.6. Raiders- $71.2M.7. 49ers- $65.2M.8. Seahawks- $52M.9. Bengals- $50.4M.10. Cowboys- $47.9M. Full list-
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Teams with most estimated cap space in 2020. 1 Dolphins- $113.5M.2 Colts- $103.5M.3 Raiders- $84.5M.4 Bills- $84M.5 Texans- $83.1M.6 Cowboys- $82.5M.7 Cardinals- $71.5M.8 Seahawks- $69.9M.9 Ravens- $62.5M.10 Browns- $60.6M.
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The only team that may still have significant salary cap hurdles to clear is the #Chargers. Unless they did something last night they are around $25M over. Will need to decide on Bosa, Allen, Mack, and Williams before 4PM. Those four count for over $142M on the cap.
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Deshaun Watson got a contract that has guarantees that stay in place if the NFL suspends him. Kyler Murray has to go to study hall to ensure he doesn't lose his.
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The teams that drafted the best from 2011 to 2019 in terms of 2nd contract vs 1st contract APY were. 1. Ravens (5.2X more salary).2. Texans (5X).3. Bills (4.2X).4. Rams (4.2X).5. Chiefs (4.0X).
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Teams with most draft picks still in the NFL. 1. Bengals- 61.2. Ravens- 54.3. Seahawks- 54.4. 49ers- 53.5. Patriots - 52.6, Packers- 51.7. Redskins- 49.
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Here is the thing with the "cap is fake" stuff. Short term nobody is impacted by the salary cap. Its easy to manipulate and everyone can get under the cap. The problem is the long term for a team. When you keep pushing and pushing you eventually get to one of two paths.
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#Giants will have $24 million in dead money for Beckham and Vernon alone this year. Both could have been moved last season to avoid their salaries last year and saved themselves about $35 million. They totally misread what that team was.
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Teams currently with lowest payrolls:. Vikings- $165.7M.Chargers- $175.6M.Packers- $177.6M.Cowboys- $179.6M.Lions- $183.2M.
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The Bengals won 2 games two years ago and 4 games last year and now are in the AFC title game. It doesnt take 4 years to turn things around when you pick the right QB and surround him with some good pieces.
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Youngest teams on defense (snaps played 25 and under). 1. Jets- 62.1%.2. chargers- 57.3%.3. Titans- 56.4%.4. Cardinals- 55.9%.5. Washington- 52.6%.6. 49ers- 51.7%.7. Saints- 48.4%.8. Panthers- 48.2%.9. Packers- 48.0%.10. Bucs- 47.9%. NFL avg- 42.4%.
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Teams with most projected cap room for 2025 (51 man roster, $272.5M cap+carryover):. 1. Patriots- $125M.2. Cardinals- $101M.3. Raiders- $98.7M.4. Commanders- $82.9M.5. Bears- $67.8M.6. Vikings- $65.1M.7. Chargers- $62.5M.8. Jaguars- $56.5M.9. Bengals- $55.6M.10. Lions- $53.6M.
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Teams with the most cap room in 2021 (includes current cap cap carryover from 2020) based on a $175M salary cap. 1. Colts- $91M.2. Patriots- $70M.3. Jaguars- $64M.4. Jets- $62M.5. FT- $55M.6. Bengals- $41M.7. Chargers- $39M.8. Browns- $34M.9. Dolphins- $31M.10. Ravens- $31M.
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Teams with the most salary cap dollars on IR. 1. Steelers- $37.6M.2. Jaguars- $33.3M.3. Texans- $31.6M.4. Chargers- $24.3M.5. Ravens- $19.9M.6. Patriots- $19.2M.7. Seahawks- $19.1M.8. Dolphins- $18.9M.9. Bears- $16.5M.10. Browns- $16.1M.
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I don't think people realize just how bad a job the Saints job is right now. Unless the team is going to go overboard with a contract it's just a dead end spot right now.
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Draft order after the 1 PM games. 1. Cardinals.2. 49ers.3. Jets.4. Raiders.5. Bucs.6. Giants.7. Jaguars.8. Lions.9. Bills.10. Broncos.11. Bengals.12. Packers.13. Dolphins.14. Falcons.15. Redskins.16. Panthers.17. Browns.
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Dead money leaders from 2018 through 2019. 1. Giants- $76.9M.2. Bills- $75.9M.3. Cardinals- $62.5M.4. Dolphins- $55.6M.5. Broncos- $47M.6. Jaguars- $44.5M.7. Browns- $43.8M.8. 49ers- $40.3M.9. Ravens- $37.6M.10. Cowboys- $36.1M.NFL Avg- $31.1M.
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Teams with most projected 2023 salary cap space (51 players, carryover included). 1. Bears- $107.5M.2.Patriots- $54M.3. Giants- $52M.4. Falcons- $50.9M.5. Bengals- $32.6M.6. Ravens- $40.7M.7. Seahawks- $39.5M.8. Texans- $38.9M.9. Broncos- $23.3M.10. Steelers- $23.1M.
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Just plugged in the numbers for the Wilson and Watson trades using the Fitzgerald-Spielberger chart. Not including discounts on future picks which I valued as the 16th pick of each round. Seahawks- 5,511 points plus 3 players.Texans- 5,808 points. Seattle got the better deal.
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#Raiders have about $78.8M per year invested in Carr/Adams/Renfrow. They are 2-5 and scored 0 points today against a Saints defense that had been non-existent for the last few weeks.
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Top 10 NFL salary cap charges in 2020. 1 Goff- $36M.2 Roethlisberger- $33.5M.3 Cousins- $31M.3 Wilson- $31M.5 Garoppolo- $26.6M.5 Mack- $26.6M.7 V. Miller- $25.6M.8 Donald- $25M.9 Ryan- $24.2M.10 Flacco- $23.7M.
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The Saints are such a mess. About $60M over the cap next year. They only have two players who will save more than $3M if cut and 6 if increased to $2M. They need a few players to retire and Derek Carr to agree to help them out.
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Teams that faced toughest schedules so far. 1. Broncos- 0.587.2. Titans- 0.549.3. Bengals- 0.545.4. Browns- 0.542.5. Raiders- 0.534.6. Falcons- 0.531.7. Rams- 0.530.7. Bills- 0.530.7. Lions- 0.530.10. Jaguars- 0.523.
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The #Cowboys have overspent on positions like RB and LB and rarely utilize free agency. Bringing attention to a QB contract is just finding ways to deflect blame.
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Most projected cap space in 2018. 1 49ers- $116M.2 Browns- $111M.3 Colts- $84M.4 Jets- $76M.5 Bucs- $64M.6 Vikings- $58M.7 Texans- $54M.8 Redskins- $54M.9 Titans- $52M.10 Lions- $48M.
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Wait the #Seahawks have interest in Adam Gase running their offense? What did Pete see in that game when the Jets scored all of 3 points.
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The turn against Jackson is something. Hed be the starting qb on all but a few teams in the nfl. Who cares about the guarantee. This is a league where carson wentz got traded twice. You can always move a qb contract.
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Current top 10 in annual spending (new money) on the OL in 2025
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Here is how much each team spent from 2019 to 2023 on the team vs playoff success (1 pt for WC loss, 4 div loss, 8 cc loss, 13 SB loss, 20 for SB win). KC basically breaks the league. 2nd post will have the graph without KC.
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Per source with knowledge of the #Dolphins contract with Tua, the team has insurance that would cover up to $49.3M of the $167.1M that is guaranteed for injury.
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#Steelers cleared about $10M in cap room with a restructure of Minkah Fitzpatrick's contract.
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Once Roethlisberger makes it official I would expect the #Steelers to rework his contract for salary cap purposes. They can lower his cap number from $10.34M to $3.705M and defer $7.75M to 2023 by having him wait until June to officially retire.
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Current leaders in salary cap space:. Bears- $32.6M.Panthers- $27.3M.Cardinals- $26.7M.Jets- $24.8M.Lions- $23.7M.Colts- $23.4M.Cowboys- $20.5M.
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Here are the leaders in rosters with homegrown players (not including PS). Massive turnaround by the Bills over last two to three years.
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