Jason_OTC
@Jason_OTC
Followers
67,506
Following
632
Media
709
Statuses
53,156
NFL Salary Cap and Contract Expert...Founder of . Author of ...Author of The Drafting Stage...Email on OTC...Jets fan
Joined February 2013
Don't wanna be here?
Send us removal request.
Explore trending content on Musk Viewer
Kendrick
• 666395 Tweets
Drake
• 562036 Tweets
Rio Grande do Sul
• 259190 Tweets
Madonna
• 186311 Tweets
Nicki
• 104346 Tweets
Ole Miss
• 103337 Tweets
Sony
• 90291 Tweets
DAVI NO PODPAH
• 77965 Tweets
Porto Alegre
• 71997 Tweets
Star Wars
• 69943 Tweets
Hope Hicks
• 53251 Tweets
#David69
• 46377 Tweets
Leclerc
• 35092 Tweets
#الاتحاد_ابها
• 33237 Tweets
Mark Hamill
• 27099 Tweets
みどりの日
• 24299 Tweets
Luton
• 21909 Tweets
Keyshia
• 20837 Tweets
Verstappen
• 16567 Tweets
McLaren
• 12087 Tweets
Lando
• 11420 Tweets
Getafe
• 11359 Tweets
Ty Lue
• 10324 Tweets
Teams with no 1st round pick next year and their current record:
Saints: 2-5
Broncos: 2-4
Browns: 2-4
49ers- 3-3
Rams- 3-3
70
317
6K
Still hard to believe that the NFL uses the Pro Bowl to determine salary escalators and option values.
59
177
4K
Amazing job by the
#Bengals
and Alex Cappa to negotiate a four year contract in about 5 seconds.
42
223
4K
Per league source the
#Saints
have renegotiated Drew Brees' contract to open up nearly $24M in cap space for 2021.
149
534
3K
Most estimated cap space in 2019
1. Colts- $118.5M
2. Jets- $95.6M
3. Browns- $84.9M
4. Bills- $84.2M
5. Raiders- $73.1M
6. Texans- $68.4M
7. 49ers- $67.0M
8. Cardinals- $63.3M
9. Seahawks- $54.7M
10. Bengals- $54.1M
193
803
3K
No team has taken more advantage of having a cheap QB than Philadelphia.
46
204
3K
#bills
have to win a SB at some point but im not sure if there was a better pure rebuild in the NFLs salary cap era than what they have done in Buffalo.
37
160
3K
Teams with the most projected cap space in 2020
1 Colts- $91.8M
2 Dolphins- $91.4M
3 Bills- $81.8M
4 Bucs- $81.5M
5 Cowboys- $79.5M
6 Broncos- $62M
7 Giants- $61.9M
8 Titans- $54.5M
9 Seahawks- $57.9M
10 Raiders- $53.3M
Full list --->>>
147
511
2K
So ultimately the Cardinals wound up with Deandre Hopkins and JJ Watt from the
#Texans
for a 2nd, 4th, and David Johnson? Thats not too bad.
42
176
2K
2019 NFL Rosters by Original Draft Slot
UDFA- 30.9%
Rd 1- 14.3%
Rd 2- 11.0%
Rd 3- 11.1%
Rd 4- 9.9%
Rd 5- 8.6%
Rd 6- 8.4%
Rd 7- 5.7%
75
498
2K
Every time a new QB contract gets done all I can think of is how did the
#Chiefs
pull off what they did with Mahomes. They are in such a great position
38
202
2K
Teams with at least 60% of their roster being "homegrown" players:
Ravens-72%
Vikings- 71%
Packers-67%
Rams- 66%
Chargers- 62%
Cowboys- 62%
Saints- 61%
47
248
2K
Despite the way people look at the
#Rams
they actually ranked 6th in the NFL in homegrown players. They had the most drafted players in the NFL on their roster this year. That's been overshadowed by the big trades
61
502
2K
2018 NFL Roster Breakdown (by round drafted)
UDFA- 31.7%
1st - 14.3%
2nd- 10.7%
3rd- 10.4%
4th- 10.0%
5th- 9.0%
6th- 8.4%
7th- 5.5%
73
751
2K
The
#Bills
will carry about $31.1 million in dead money for Diggs. Pretty much a disaster extension for them. Wound up paying an extra $20.9M in 2022 and 2023 to come away with a net of less than a 2nd rounder next year.
97
496
2K
For the
#Steelers
I dont know how you spin this as anything more than a disaster. They spent over $29M in new money for basically one additional year that resulted in no playoffs and got taken to the woodshed by Brown starting in week 17. For all that they get a 3 and 5 back.
163
552
2K
Most cap room heading into 2020
1 Dolphins- $110M
2 Colts- $104M
3 Cowboys- $85M
4 Bills- $83M
5 Texans- $82M
6 Bucs- $75M
7 Cardinals- $73M
8 Seahawks- $70M
9 Raiders- $69M
10 Ravens- $62M
87
465
2K
Teams with most projected NFL salary cap space in 2021 (inc. carryover)
1. Jaguars- $75M
2. Jets- $72.7M
3. Colts- $66.5M
4. Patriots- $62.6M
5. Football Team- $50.5M
6. Ravens- $30.9M
7. Dolphins- $33.6M
8. Bengals- $25.2M
9. Broncos- $24.5M
10. Browns- $22.9M
83
237
2K
Obviously cap space is very fluid right now but the current leaders in estimated 2020 cap space, including some projected carryover are
1 Colts- $138M
2 Dolphins- $113M
3 Texans- $91M
4 Bills- $85.4M
5 Cowboys- $85M
6 Seahawks- $75M
7 Cardinals- $69M
8 Ravens- $64M
77
425
2K
#Dolphins
wound up spending $45.525 million for Shaq Lawson, Kyle Van Noy, and Ereck Flowers who were all signed last year as free agents. All are now gone.
115
147
2K
Teams with the most "homegrown" talent on the roster:
1. Bengals- 48
2. Ravens- 47
3. Vikings- 46
4. Patriots- Seahawks, Cowboys- 44
7. Packers- 43
8. Falcons, Rams, Chargers- 42
43
358
2K
Most NFL contract value on IR, PUP, NFI
1. 49ers- $40.4M
2. Eagles- $29.8M
3. Seahawks- $28.1M
4. Falcons- $27.3M
5. Jaguars- $26.5M
6. Dolphins- $26.4M
7. Raiders- $22.3M
8. Panthers- $21.8M
56
669
2K
Devastating loss for the
#Bills
who were about as all in as a team could be. Will be about $49M over the salary cap next year and likely going to have to keep pushing salary with the same team again
83
216
2K
#Giants
had about $43 million in dead money last year. Already at $33.5 million this year. Thats a horrible two year run
108
340
2K
As we get to final cutdowns here are the teams with the most original signings still competing for a spot in the NFL
1. Ravens- 112
2. Cowboys - 107
3. Vikings- 104
4. Rams- 102
5. Patriots/Packers/Eagles- 93
Ravens almost always rank at the top every year. Great FO.
33
214
2K
Here is a quick look at every teams estimated 2021 salary cap space against their 2020 record
Top right= good record, good cap position
Top left= good record, bad cap position
Bottom right= bad record, good cap position
Bottom left= disaster
104
372
2K
@billbarnwell
The Giants organization and fans have done a good job of embracing that the team is terrible and are having fun with a nice little story...The Jets somehow think they are a playoff contender
17
19
1K
Young for a 3 and a $560K salary makes that Seahawks trade for Williams look so silly
119
117
1K
If the
#Saints
cut every player on their roster in 2024 that had a positive salary cap savings they would create just $15.375M in cap room. They are currently around $85M over the cap. So this isn't really a situation where you can reset anymore. It simply isnt feasible
99
245
1K
How bad has the
#Jets
front office been the last few years? About 14% of their cash spent this year is spent on players who have been cut. The next closest team is at 6.8%. The NFL average is 2%.
38
254
1K
If we cross out the matching rounds, ultimately the
#Seahawks
wound up trading
Russell Wilson, a 3rd, and Bradley McDougald
for
Jamal Adams, two 2nds, Shelby Harris, Noah Fant, Drew Lock, and a 5th.
97
178
1K
Assuming a $256M salary cap in 2024 the teams that project with the most effective cap space (includes current carryover from 2023):
1. Patriots- $115M
2. Bears- $99M
3. Commanders- $85M
4. Titans- $84M
5. Texans- $81M
6. Colts- $77M
7. Bengals- $75M
8. Lions- $70M
9. Cardinals-…
49
219
1K
Teams with enough cap space to trade for Xavien Howard:
Jaguars
Broncos
Panthers
Jets
Chargers
Browns
Lions
49ers
Bengals
Football Team
Colts
Vikings
Patriots
Steelers
107
166
1K
most estimated cap space 2019
1 Colts $119m
2 Jets $96m
3 Texans $87m
4 Bills $85m
5 Browns $83m
6 49ers $67m
7 Cowboys $67m
95
428
1K
I think the best front offices in the NFL right now are (in no particular order) the Eagles, Patriots, 49ers, Vikings, and Ravens
@Jason_OTC
Who is the best GM in the NFL, and who were your honorable mention behind Brandon Beane?
11
3
52
210
141
1K
@RichCimini
@Realrclark25
The part about talking to KCs GM while under contract should be looked at if there was no permission
62
48
1K
Adam Gase has had two head coaching jobs in the NFL. In both cases he was tasked with working with a highly drafted QB. In both cases he failed. Both teams he left will wind up in complete rebuilds once he is gone. There is no defense.
#Jets
40
193
1K
Including trades the current "leaders" in dead money
1. Bears- $45.2M
2. Seahawks- $40.6M
3. Eagles- $36.5M
4. Texans- $35.6M
5. Saints- $29.4M
6. Packers- $24.6M
7. Steelers- $24M
8. Raiders- $23.3M
9. Jaguars- $23.1M
10. Vikings- $22.1M
Jets have the least at $1.6M
71
162
1K
Leaders so far in contract restructures:
1. Dolphins- $48.99M
2. Saints- $48.966M
3. Jaguars- $45.595M
4. Packers- $33.99M
5. Chargers- $28.755M
6. Panthers- $27.425M
35
183
1K
Top non-QB earners of the decade
Ndamukong Suh- $148.2M
Gerald McCoy- $122.2M
Larry Fitzgerald- $120.7M
Joe Haden- $109.8M
Von Miller- $108.5M
27
127
1K
NFL teams with most projected salary cap room for 2024 (51 man roster, $242M cap)
1. Titans- $75.5M
2. Commanders- $74.5M
3. Patriots- $70.5M
4. Colts- $66.1M
5. Texans- $64.3M
6. Bengals- $58.2M
7. Bears- $53.5M
8. Cardinals- $47.7M
9. Lions- $47.4M
10. Raiders- $40.7M
73
195
1K
The
#Cowboys
currently lead the NFL with being responsible for starting the career of 82 players currently in the NFL. Ravens are 2nd with 77 followed by the Vikings with 75, 49ers with 74 and Patriots with 71
30
250
1K
#Vikings
are now the league leader in dead money at $57.3M. Packers at number 2 at $46.5M. Seahawks are 3rd at $36M
99
116
1K
Wait a minute. The Cowboys released Cooper Rush? From what I heard on Twitter on Saturday signing Andy Dalton meant dumping Prescott not Rush. What a shocking turn of events.
39
109
1K
Youngest teams on offense (snaps played 25 and under)
1. Steelers- 73.9%
2. Eagles- 66.1%
3. Lions- 57.7%
4. Bengals- 53.3%
5. Panthers- 51.9%
6. Bears- 51.7%
7. Dolphins- 51.4%
8. Cowboys- 51.2%
9. Ravens- 50.1%
10. Raiders- 46.2%
NFL Avg- 41.6%
20
149
1K
Here is a look at how much estimated value each team added to their roster during the draft (y axis) against what they were expected to gain based on draft position (x axis).
47
161
1K
1. Bengals- $48.7M
2. Steelers- $38.2M
3. Raiders- $30.9M
4. Patriots- $21.0M
5. Bucs- $16.8M
6. Eagles- $14.1M
7. Chiefs- $14.1M
8. Cardinals- $9.8M
9. Bills- $1.4M
10. Titans- $400K
11. 49ers- ($620K)
12. Rams- ($2.3M)
13. Cowboys- ($19.6M)
14. Packers- ($45.4M)
@Jason_OTC
Hey
@Jason_OTC
, what's the estimated NFL salary cap for the for 14 teams in the playoffs?
0
0
1
46
148
1K
Current NFL leaders in cap space estimates
1. Colts- $107.8M
2. Jets- $99.6M
3. Browns- $79.3M
4. Bills- $79.2M
5. Texans- $78.0M
6. Raiders- $71.2M
7. 49ers- $65.2M
8. Seahawks- $52M
9. Bengals- $50.4M
10. Cowboys- $47.9M
Full list-
83
385
982
Teams with most estimated cap space in 2020
1 Dolphins- $113.5M
2 Colts- $103.5M
3 Raiders- $84.5M
4 Bills- $84M
5 Texans- $83.1M
6 Cowboys- $82.5M
7 Cardinals- $71.5M
8 Seahawks- $69.9M
9 Ravens- $62.5M
10 Browns- $60.6M
56
318
995
The only team that may still have significant salary cap hurdles to clear is the
#Chargers
. Unless they did something last night they are around $25M over. Will need to decide on Bosa, Allen, Mack, and Williams before 4PM. Those four count for over $142M on the cap
77
231
1K
Deshaun Watson got a contract that has guarantees that stay in place if the NFL suspends him. Kyler Murray has to go to study hall to ensure he doesn't lose his.
32
140
978
The teams that drafted the best from 2011 to 2019 in terms of 2nd contract vs 1st contract APY were
1. Ravens (5.2X more salary)
2. Texans (5X)
3. Bills (4.2X)
4. Rams (4.2X)
5. Chiefs (4.0X)
25
114
1K
Here is the thing with the "cap is fake" stuff. Short term nobody is impacted by the salary cap. Its easy to manipulate and everyone can get under the cap. The problem is the long term for a team. When you keep pushing and pushing you eventually get to one of two paths
29
131
991
Teams with most draft picks still in the NFL
1. Bengals- 61
2. Ravens- 54
3. Seahawks- 54
4. 49ers- 53
5. Patriots - 52
6, Packers- 51
7. Redskins- 49
36
250
950
#Giants
will have $24 million in dead money for Beckham and Vernon alone this year. Both could have been moved last season to avoid their salaries last year and saved themselves about $35 million. They totally misread what that team was.
46
291
930
Teams currently with lowest payrolls:
Vikings- $165.7M
Chargers- $175.6M
Packers- $177.6M
Cowboys- $179.6M
Lions- $183.2M
20
93
976
The Bengals won 2 games two years ago and 4 games last year and now are in the AFC title game. It doesnt take 4 years to turn things around when you pick the right QB and surround him with some good pieces.
52
118
930
Youngest teams on defense (snaps played 25 and under)
1. Jets- 62.1%
2. chargers- 57.3%
3. Titans- 56.4%
4. Cardinals- 55.9%
5. Washington- 52.6%
6. 49ers- 51.7%
7. Saints- 48.4%
8. Panthers- 48.2%
9. Packers- 48.0%
10. Bucs- 47.9%
NFL avg- 42.4%
12
118
923
Teams with the most cap room in 2021 (includes current cap cap carryover from 2020) based on a $175M salary cap
1. Colts- $91M
2. Patriots- $70M
3. Jaguars- $64M
4. Jets- $62M
5. FT- $55M
6. Bengals- $41M
7. Chargers- $39M
8. Browns- $34M
9. Dolphins- $31M
10. Ravens- $31M
33
164
902
Teams with the most salary cap dollars on IR
1. Steelers- $37.6M
2. Jaguars- $33.3M
3. Texans- $31.6M
4. Chargers- $24.3M
5. Ravens- $19.9M
6. Patriots- $19.2M
7. Seahawks- $19.1M
8. Dolphins- $18.9M
9. Bears- $16.5M
10. Browns- $16.1M
26
182
883
Draft order after the 1 PM games
1. Cardinals
2. 49ers
3. Jets
4. Raiders
5. Bucs
6. Giants
7. Jaguars
8. Lions
9. Bills
10. Broncos
11. Bengals
12. Packers
13. Dolphins
14. Falcons
15. Redskins
16. Panthers
17. Browns
73
362
851
Dead money leaders from 2018 through 2019
1. Giants- $76.9M
2. Bills- $75.9M
3. Cardinals- $62.5M
4. Dolphins- $55.6M
5. Broncos- $47M
6. Jaguars- $44.5M
7. Browns- $43.8M
8. 49ers- $40.3M
9. Ravens- $37.6M
10. Cowboys- $36.1M
NFL Avg- $31.1M
88
301
855
Teams with most projected 2023 salary cap space (51 players, carryover included)
1. Bears- $107.5M
2.Patriots- $54M
3. Giants- $52M
4. Falcons- $50.9M
5. Bengals- $32.6M
6. Ravens- $40.7M
7. Seahawks- $39.5M
8. Texans- $38.9M
9. Broncos- $23.3M
10. Steelers- $23.1M
25
108
868
Just plugged in the numbers for the Wilson and Watson trades using the Fitzgerald-Spielberger chart. Not including discounts on future picks which I valued as the 16th pick of each round
Seahawks- 5,511 points plus 3 players
Texans- 5,808 points
Seattle got the better deal
53
153
857
#Raiders
have about $78.8M per year invested in Carr/Adams/Renfrow. They are 2-5 and scored 0 points today against a Saints defense that had been non-existent for the last few weeks.
58
167
846
Top 10 NFL salary cap charges in 2020
1 Goff- $36M
2 Roethlisberger- $33.5M
3 Cousins- $31M
3 Wilson- $31M
5 Garoppolo- $26.6M
5 Mack- $26.6M
7 V. Miller- $25.6M
8 Donald- $25M
9 Ryan- $24.2M
10 Flacco- $23.7M
85
209
818
Teams that faced toughest schedules so far
1. Broncos- 0.587
2. Titans- 0.549
3. Bengals- 0.545
4. Browns- 0.542
5. Raiders- 0.534
6. Falcons- 0.531
7. Rams- 0.530
7. Bills- 0.530
7. Lions- 0.530
10. Jaguars- 0.523
22
327
815
The
#Cowboys
have overspent on positions like RB and LB and rarely utilize free agency. Bringing attention to a QB contract is just finding ways to deflect blame.
20
147
834
Wait the
#Seahawks
have interest in Adam Gase running their offense? What did Pete see in that game when the Jets scored all of 3 points
39
46
795
The turn against Jackson is something. Hed be the starting qb on all but a few teams in the nfl. Who cares about the guarantee. This is a league where carson wentz got traded twice. You can always move a qb contract.
83
103
811
Most projected cap space in 2018
1 49ers- $116M
2 Browns- $111M
3 Colts- $84M
4 Jets- $76M
5 Bucs- $64M
6 Vikings- $58M
7 Texans- $54M
8 Redskins- $54M
9 Titans- $52M
10 Lions- $48M
50
439
780
Here is how much each team spent from 2019 to 2023 on the team vs playoff success (1 pt for WC loss, 4 div loss, 8 cc loss, 13 SB loss, 20 for SB win). KC basically breaks the league. 2nd post will have the graph without KC.
35
106
797
43
139
773
#Steelers
cleared about $10M in cap room with a restructure of Minkah Fitzpatrick's contract
18
95
747
Once Roethlisberger makes it official I would expect the
#Steelers
to rework his contract for salary cap purposes. They can lower his cap number from $10.34M to $3.705M and defer $7.75M to 2023 by having him wait until June to officially retire.
31
65
720
Current leaders in salary cap space:
Bears- $32.6M
Panthers- $27.3M
Cardinals- $26.7M
Jets- $24.8M
Lions- $23.7M
Colts- $23.4M
Cowboys- $20.5M
17
87
732
Here are the leaders in rosters with homegrown players (not including PS). Massive turnaround by the Bills over last two to three years.
37
145
729
Unless someone claims Alex Leatherwood the
#Raiders
will owe him an additional $5.9M and cap will jump to $7.86M this year. $14.39M contract was fully guaranteed. As bad as you can do with a 1st round pick
52
108
721
Teams with the most estimated salary cap space in 2021
1. Jaguars- $76.8M
2. Colts- $66.5M
3. Patriots- $64M
4. Jets- $60.5M
5. Football Team- $50.6M
6. Ravens- $44.7M
7. Broncos- $29.5M
8. Dolphins- $27.7M
9. Bengals- $26.9M
10. Browns- $24.7M
49
151
697
About 83% of Dallas' current roster began their career with the
#Cowboys
, which is the most in the NFL. Rams are 2nd with 80% followed by the Ravens, Packers, and Bucs all around 73%
21
119
715
I think my favorite contract stat of the season involves the
#Seahawks
Seattle has $42.4M per year invested in safety and special teams. That is more than their combined investment in corner, edge, and quarterback ($37.5M)
28
63
711
NFL scoring performance relative to their schedule through week 5
Top right= Good offense and defense
Top left= Bad offense, good defense
Bottom right= Good offense, bad defense
Bottom left= Bad offense, bad defense
37
239
674
Since the
#Bears
picked up the salaries of Quinn and Smith I now have them at nearly $85M in dead money this year. Complete purge
13
60
690
At the end of the day Diggs 2022 extension has now become a one year, $43.1 million contract extension, all of which was guaranteed. Just an absurd win for a player.
32
81
695
Last one. Here are the teams running it back with the most similar rosters to 2022
1. Bengals/Bills- 75.9%
3. Ravens- 75.4%
4. Chargers- 75%
5. Jaguars- 73.8%
6. Commanders- 73.4%
7. Vikings- 72.9%
8. Dolphins- 72%
9. Giants- 70.9%
10. 49ers- 69.5%
26
123
695
A $15M contract for Kyler Murray would be on par with being the 14th pick in the NFL draft.
34
163
661
There are 19 Giants from 2020 on other teams this year. The only two who make significant money are Dalvin Tolmlinson and Kevin Zeitler. 8 are on a PS. The rest are around the minimum, so Im not sure how many are really doing this.
32
110
688
LaDainian Tomlinson signed for $8 million a year back in 2004. So RBs are essentially back at 2004 levels when cap was around $80M
47
332
652
Top 10 Salary Cap Hits in 2022
1. Matt Ryan- $48.7M
2. Aaron Rodgers- $46.1M
3. Kirk Cousins- $45M
4. Deshaun Watson- $40.4M
5. Ryan Tannehill- $38.6M
6. Russell Wilson- $37M
7. Patrick Mahomes- $35.8M
9. Dak Prescott- $34.5M
10. Jared Goff- $31.2M
80
85
670