James Fransham
@JamesFransham
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Data journalist @TheEconomist covering everything under the sun, but now with a British focus.
London
Joined July 2011
The latest cover of @theeconomist features a tool that I built which takes a forensic look at Britain's electorate. (1/10).
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Which company should you work for if you want to get ahead? . To find out The Economist has created a new index with the Burning Glass Institute, a think-tank. Explore how 151 of Britain's biggest and most well-known firms are rated, here: .
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RT @MarieSegger: 🗳️📈🇩🇪 We have just launched @TheEconomist’s German election poll tracker. This is where things currently stand ⬇️ https:/….
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RT @EconObservatory: #economicsfest: How can the UK’s new government kickstart the economy? by @JamesFransham - JUST PUBLISHED on the Econo….
economicsobservatory.com
Restoring economic growth after a long period of stagnation is a key part of the solution for the UK’s many social challenges, including struggling schools, poor health and rising child poverty. The...
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You think the two-child cap is the cause of poverty? Some new research -- from my elder brother and colleagues -- demonstrates that the overall benefit cap in concert with cost of housing is the biggest impediment to reducing poverty ↓↓↓.
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RT @ArchieHall: One (surely!) straightforward policy win for Labour -- dig up some money and fix the fact that it now takes four months to….
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About 28m Britons who could have voted at last week's general election chose not to. (20m non-voters + 8m not on electoral register) .Why not? .Some combination of apathy and disillusionment.
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One-in-three people don't contact their GP when they're ill because they don't think they'll be able to acess them. Perhaps most of this has few long-term consequences for health; but maybe we're storing up worse health down the line. more charts here:
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Though pollsters got the "narrative" of the election spot on; last week's GE was the biggest polling miss since 1992. My latest: .
economist.com
The biggest miss since 1992
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But there's likely to be a few surprises. Follow our live results page from 10pm BST here: .(free to view!).
economist.com
Follow the election returns as they come in
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Labour likely to be largest party in each region (ex. N. Ireland)
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. look under the hood and there's quite a narrow range of most likely outcomes
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Mid-point forecast:.Lab = 427.Con = 112.Lib = 50.And although those CIs might loook wide.
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A few MRPs dropped overnight; so this really is our final prediction. 🧵 .A 204-seat majority.
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More here (no paywall).
economist.com
We break down the polls to explain how Britons might vote in the next general election
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