JaguarAnalytics
@JaguarAnalytics
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Professional equity and option trade ideas with in-depth research based on 3-pronged approach: Fundamentals, Technicals and Options Activity
Joined January 2013
FYI, we have a JaguarAnalytics channel in Telegram where all alerts plus selected important news and after hours action is discussed, feel free to join here:
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I mean what is the end goal here? We are just intentionally destroying the economy and stock market. Why?.
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“Today is today. And yesterday was today yesterday. Tomorrow will be today tomorrow. So live today so that future today will past today, as it is tomorrow.”. — Kamala for President, 200 IQ
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$TRUMP Assuming the wallet which controls 80% of supply is indeed Trump, his net worth is up +$56 billion this weekend. At $500 Trump will become richer than Elon Musk. At $2,100 Trump will overtake Bitcoin. All without producing anything of economic value.
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$TRUMP In 50 years, we have gone from backing nation’s currency with gold reserve to the President of the United States marketing “buy my shitcoin.” I don’t even know what kind of laissez-faire this is. Ripe for corruption, money laundering. Equalizing all bad behaviors. Wild.
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Xiaomi SU7 looks like a copy cat of Porsche. Regardless, here is more bad news for $TSLA for under $30,000.
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You guys realize what happens if Trump delists Chinese companies, right? China will go after Tesla, Apple, etc. This is a full blown economic war. This is not about tariffs. This is about China embargo.
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$NVDA is up $220 billion in market cap after hours. That's equivalent to:. --- 1x Costco.--- 1x Greece.--- 1x Bernard Arnault.--- 1x Entire German auto industry.--- 4x Cash left in the US Treasury.
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$QQQ US Tech investors this weekend after Trump caved.
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27% of all stocks in China halted on limit down. What the heck is going on ?? 😳.
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$NVDA It remains a key question nobody is asking. How did sales go up so much without cost? 6-month sales +$5.7B YoY while cost WENT DOWN! Tells me the entire thing is driven by H100 pricing, not volume. It's like McDonald's telling you sales up +50% w/o selling more burgers.
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Gold is either acting irrationally parabolic lately or it’s sniffing out something that hasn’t surfaced on mainstream news outlets yet. Like this spike in futures tonight moments ago on top of +3% rally during the regular session. What is this about?
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If I'm missing anything please reply:. Mortgage rates at 7% --- Doesn't matter.500 bps Fed rate hikes --- Doesn't matter.Quantitative tightening --- Doesn't matter.PMI / ISM in contraction --- Doesn't matter.Retail sales negative --- Doesn't matter.LEI down for 13 months ---.
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Is Musk on his way out after claiming to have saved $150 billion? That’s what it sounds like. What happened to saving $2 trillion?
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Does anyone remember $600 billion investment commitments made by Saudi Arabia during Trump’s first term in 2017? Not a penny spent yet. It’s year 2025.
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Semi drawdown from 52-wk high:. $NVDA -27%.$ARM -41%.$AMD -42%.$MSCI -51%.$INTC -56%.$AVGO -24%.$LRCX -32%.$MU -41%.$QCOM -30%.$SLAB -33%.$TSM -23%.$ASML -28%.$KLAC -22%.$NXPI -21%.$CDNS -25%.
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**TRUMP: "WE ARE THINKING IN TERMS OF 25% TARIFFS ON MEXICO AND CANADA; I THINK WE WILL DO IT ON FEB 1ST.". Nasdaq Futures /NQ 👇
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BREAKING NEWS - China finally launches bazooka to boost economy:. — PBOC to cut Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR) by -50 bps and to provide 1 trillion yuan in fresh new liquidity. — China to lower rates on existing home mortgages by around -50 bps.
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Never seen a bull market in which:. - Bank stocks keep falling.- Retail stocks keep falling.- Transport stocks keep falling.- Industrial stocks keep falling.- Healthcare stocks keep falling.- Real Est stocks keep falling.- Material stocks keep falling. New type of bull market 🤣
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Right. Please buy Amazon at $240 it’s an awesome company. But be careful at $170 you may get hurt.
BE VERY CAREFUL BUYING THE DIP SOME OF THESE "TECH" STOCKS THAT ARE DOWN 40% + ARE STILL VERY OVERVALUED IMO.
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Trump now holds the record for 1st, 2nd and 5th fastest 10% drawdown from 52-week high in the S&P history 🏆🏆🏆
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$TSLA More bad news for Tesla. 60 Minutes is going to air on Sunday, March 31st about FSD investigation.
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$TSLA Nobody in this earnings call has the balls to ask a simple question:. “Why are your car sales declining?”.
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$NVDA Just 5 weeks ago they were buying these May 1000 calls for $2.45 now going for $62. $700k —> $17 million 🤯.
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$SPY That was awful close. What the hell do you call this candle?
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$TSLA Devil on my shoulder says it’s all by design to force people to stop buying cars & start using robotaxi. Legacy carmakers die, replaced by Auto-as-a-Service (AAAS or just call it ASS). Millions lose jobs. Elon Musk’s $250M bet on Trump pays off. He becomes a trillion-aire.
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$SBUX Cramer destroyed Starbucks CEO. One of the best CNBC interviews ever.
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$AMD was at $96 on October 31st. Today it is at $174. This market has lost its mind. Have a Great Weekend!.
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$TSLA Such a pretty looking chart of a car company that doesn't want to make cars anymore, run by President Harry Bolz who is offering circumcisions at a 50% discount.
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$NVDA Apparently, somebody is buying a lot of chips in Singapore. That country now represents 15% of total sales, up from 9% last year.
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About 27% of $INTC sales and 22% of $AMD sales come from China.
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$NVDA Blackwell delayed by 3 months due to design flaws. Nvidia informs its biggest customers Microsoft and Meta.
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$ARM is up 1x Chipotle ($75 billion) in 3 days because it raised FY24 sales guidance by $160 million.
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Folks. Let’s get realistic here. Peter Schiff is doing Spaces. This is your modern social media version of CNBC’s Market in Turmoil !!. The correction is already over. Expect this market to bounce.
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Do you know in Stagflation what outperforms everything else?. Hard Assets. If these reciprocal tariffs go into effect on April 2, where will money flock to?. Hard Assets.
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Why is the 1-year bond yield at 5.1% if the Fed is expected to cut by 100 bps in 2024?
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Fun Fact -- $SPX is on course for +20% in 2 consecutive yrs. This happened just 4 times past 150 yrs (1927/28, 1935/36, 1954/55, 1995/96). Three of those times, returns in following 2 yrs were negative. The one time (1997/98) it turned into dotcom bubble before hard crash.
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Fun Fact: $SMCI was added to Nasdaq 100 Index on July 22, 2024 and kicked out today. Nice work by Nasdaq Index Committee.
OFFICIAL: MicroStrategy is joining the Nasdaq 100 $QQQ $MSTR.
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Welcome to trading under Trump. A regime that will be marked by daily 1% to 2% up/down whiplashes at index level driven by political headlines. Remember 2018-20?
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Qatar GDP is $213 billion.
ALERT: 🚨 America secures $1.2 TRILLION dollar economic commitment from Qatar.
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Capex growth is slowing from here:. $MSFT : “Capex in 3Q and 4Q should be similar to 2Q.”. $TSLA: “Capex will be flat.”. $META: “It’s possible that we’ll learn otherwise at some point, but I think it’s way too early to make that call."
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$MELANIA You are all invited to mortgage your house and drain your kids college savings to buy Melania Trump coin launched only half hour ago. Only $3.8 million market cap. Please do your part in making the Trump family richer. Thank you! 🙏
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4.41% now. Up +9 bps in 45 minutes without any news with midnight tariff deadline looming.
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$NVDA is set to launch its latest generation of compact computers for humanoid robots — dubbed Jetson Thor — in the first half of 2025.
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$NVDA Friendly reminder, Foxconn in Nov-24 revealed “world largest” Nvidia GB200 facility in Mexico to meet Blackwell demand. This will now face 25% tariff. Also, about 70% of servers currently shipped to US by Wistron Group come from Mexico factory.
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I have never seen a bull market in which bank lending is contracting YoY.
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Left — When to buy $NVDA.Right — When to sell $NVDA
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New chapter in life. Deposited $1,000 in Robinhood and gave access to my 11-year old daughter, Aliyah. She is now managing her own portfolio. One condition: She must read Jag Weekend Research each Sunday and discuss with me before buying. She just bought her first stock.
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I’ve been watching this show for an hour. Right or wrong, I know exactly where Trump stands on every issue. But as objectively as I listen carefully, aside from abortion, I can’t figure out where Kamala stands. Every answer is textbook political display of vacuum and emptiness.
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$BTC The world’s biggest shitcoin is getting obliterated here. Given the cult following, this tweet is about to lose me 500 followers.
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$QQQ Waterfall after hours. Imagine yourself as CEO of a publicly traded company who is about to release Q1 earnings. What the hell are you supposed to guide for sales and margins when you have no idea how to model the next tweet from Agent of Chaos?
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Good Morning ☀️ . Nasdaq Futures /NQ right now 👇 what the heck is going on?
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$NVDA The only thing that matters in this report and also the line item which will get the least attention among FinX experts. **Q2 GROSS MARGIN 75.7% VS 78.9% PRIOR QTR.**Q3 GROSS MARGIN GUIDANCE 74.4%. Here is Jag preview for clients today discussing gross margin trend.
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Good quarter by $TSLA Tesla. When the facts change, I change my mind. This stock could now run to $300+ specially with all sorts of products coming out in 2025/26 and potential spot for Musk in Trump administration if he wins, which would lead to de-regulation.
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**TRUMP: THERE WAS NO TARIFF “EXCEPTION” ANNOUNCED ON FRIDAY. lol … did he lose a round of golf?.
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We are literally witnessing a complete collapse of global trade. Don’t even know what to say anymore.
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A lot of stories on X this weekend that retail traders are still busy buying the dip. That's not what I see in JP Morgan note from their trading desk (people who actually execute orders and see the flows first hand). This was on Friday afternoon:. "Retails are finally terrified.
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Can somebody explain to me why would anyone want to own Bitcoin ETF in 6.5 hrs/weekday market when they can just own Bitcoin on any 24/7 exchange?. Not to ignore you would be paying an ETF fee, can’t move to cold storage, can’t use it to send payments, etc.
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Breaking: $TSLA Elon Musk launches Tesla Rickshaw in India
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Nasdaq $QQQ is trading 25.5% above the 200-day. For context, this is the 2nd highest reading in 10+ years. Highest was a touch above 29% in Aug-20 after the Fed cut rates to 0%, launched massive QE, stimulus checks were flowing and everyone was WFH with lockdowns.
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**ELON MUSK AND TREASURY SECRETARY SCOTT BESSENT GOT INTO A SCREAMING MATCH IN THE WHITE HOUSE IN FRONT OF TRUMP LAST WEEK. **BESSENT SLAMMED MUSK’S OVERPROMISED AND UNDERDELIVERED DOGE PLANS WHILE MUSK CALLED HIM A “SOROS AGENT” AND HIM OUT FOR A “FAILED HEDGE FUND” PER AXIOS
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**WHITE HOUSE PRESS SECRETARY: "AMERICA DOESN'T NEED OTHER COUNTRIES AS MUCH AS THEY NEED US". Everything is going to hell in a handbasket.
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Many will short the hole Sun/Mon. But keep in mind the “agent of chaos” excels by cornering everyone then delivering a different outcome. Tariffs go into effect on Tue. There is time to agree on amicable terms. -500 Nasdaq on Mon could be +500 on Wed after you all load up puts.
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$CAVA The next time when you walk into a CAVA restaurant, say to yourself:. "This location is worth $53 million."
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$SMCI Ernst and Young auditor resign. "We are resigning due to information that has recently come to our attention which has led us to no longer be able to rely on management's and the Audit Committee’s representations and to be unwilling to be associated with the financial.
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Imagine on this beautiful Sunday saying just two simple words: “Happy Easter.”. Such an incredibly difficult task!
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$GOOG Google new open-source Gemma 3 model reached 98% of Deepseek accuracy using only one GPU.
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Left: 1999 Merrill Lynch bear quit.Right: 2024 Morgan Stanley bear quit
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**JP MORGAN SAYS IT NOW PROJECTS A US RECESSION IN 2025. Congrats to all MAGA voters. Cheers!.
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Chat GPT - Here is a little life hack for ya. After this probably will never use Siri again:.
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-- Republican to control Presidency.-- Republican to control House.-- Republican to control Senate.-- Republican majority in Supreme Court. In my US citizenship test, there was this interesting concept called "checks and balances." God bless America.
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$ACHR Did u know on Nov 7 Japan Airlines announced plans to buy $500M of Midnight Aircraft? Did u know Covington, Georgia facility is now ramping production w/ goal to reach 650 units/yr? Did u know on Dec 12 Anduril partnered to jointly develop hybrid VTOL military aircraft?
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It’s not Optimus. It’s Unitree made by China and powered with Deepseek AI for $16,000 and it’s available today.
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Left — How my day started.Right — How my day ended
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Meanwhile, the King of Omaha with $277 billion cash pile in US T-Bills.
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$TSLA Panasonic is out with profit warning tonight. CEO Yuki Kusumi says they are seeing "huge drop in demand for batteries used in specific models.”.
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I wonder what Druckenmiller is seeing in $CPNG Coupang, his 2nd largest position at 11% of portfolio
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Are we just going to ignore that none of this matters? We have 5 semis cutting sales guidance after hours. $LSCC $CRUS $AOSL $NXPI $SLAB
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Trump: "We were the richest relatively from 1870 to 1913. Because we collected tariffs we had so much wealth.”. Anyone who doesn’t know American history would believe this. Look up McKinley Tariff Act of 1890 that resulted in “Panic of 1893” and a significant recession.
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As I suspected, a lot of margin calls on Thu/Fri. Forced selling usually marks the peak in selling climax. “The selling drove US long/short equity fund net leverage, a measure of borrowing used to magnify bets, down to an 18-month low of about 42%.”.
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27 years I have lived in America. I love this country. Educated here, married here, opened a business here, two kids born here, everything here. But man I have never seen America so polarized ever.
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Wall Street setting price targets for $NVDA after earnings tonight
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AI massacre, wow!. Nvidia $NVDA down -8%.Advanced Micro $AMD down -6%.Broadcom $AVGO down -4%.Arm Holdings $ARM down -14%.Super Micro $SMCI down -21%.
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You know the funniest thing on X?. Everyone who has made a shit load of money in stock market in the last 2 years complain and bitch about how bad Biden has been. This post is about to lose me 500 followers.
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Friendly reminder. At midnight tonight 104% tariffs on China go into effect.
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$SNAP How street lied repeatedly:. Nov 13 - Morgan Stanley: GenAI winner.Nov 30 - Jefferies: It is well positioned.Dec 11 - Wells Fargo: Poised for growth.Dec 14 - Piper Sandler: Raise PT to $12.Dec 18 - Gg’heim: Positioned for upside.Dec 19 - RayJay: Upgrade to Outperform.Jan 9.
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