Josh Linville
@JLinvilleFert
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Vice President of Fertilizer @StoneX_Official, 20+ yrs experience in US/International Fertilizer Markets, All tweets are my own, RT≠Endorsements.
Kansas City, MO
Joined June 2019
Corn between Kansas City and St. Joseph is looking good.
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Fertilizer markets are strangely quiet, and that is a good thing. - urea quiet following India's 1.5M ton purchase.- phosphate quiet with little India purchasing.- potash just turned back to potash. Now, the question is how long this lasts.
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I'm likely headed to the farm to get sweet corn this evening. Will pull some field ears and share. How many rows in do I pull from so I do not face the wrath of ag twitter?!?!.
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My apologies. We uploaded the wrong video today!!!. Here is the correct link for this week's StoneX youtube fertilizer video hitting on:. - India's successful urea purchase.- Chinese June export data pleases/disappoints.- Potash mine delay in Canada.
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Have I mentioned lately that Mike Castle (@mike_castle2) is a great follow on here?!?!.
Grain markets are mixed at midday on Tuesday. We take a look at grains, fertilizer markets and talk trade with Mike Castle (@mike_castle2) from @StoneX_Official in our @markettalkag Midday Commentary for Tuesday.
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Just got this week's StoneX youtube channel fertilizer video knocked out. Hitting on:. India's urea purchase tender.China's June export data.New potash mine getting delayed due to higher cost/ample supply outlook. Come for the info, stay for juicy gossip.
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Remember that China has stated their 2025 export intention is to hit 3M tons. If true, that is a lot of tons that need to flow out in half a year.
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Why are global urea values so high?. China is one of the biggest exporters normally. Their June export total was 66K tons. That was 6 times bigger than January through May total. The current 3-year average is 624K. The 2022 3-year average thru June was 2M. That hurts.
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Tomato plants have gone insane. I'm moving my corn yield prediction to 273 national average. I'll die on this hill!!!. Before those who were born without a sense of humor, it's a joke.
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If the last 2 weeks have taught me anything here on twitter, it is that I should be stupidly long corn!!!!. Really wish I could break my "no investing in the market I work in" rule!.
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"But how will I know when it is time to short the wheat market?". ". there will be signs if you know how to look for them.".
You want to be a #Canadian Agronomist? Can you out run a Grizzly Bear? photo credit to @voss_ag @NutrienAgCda Coaldale, Alberta
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If you are bored, here is this week's fertilizer video on the StoneX youtube page. Is there good news? Yes. and no!!!!. I'll try to make a case that the corn national average will be 250 next week!!!!!.
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3.5" of rain just north of the Kansas City airport last night. Concrete areas of the city got upwards of 5 - 6". This should be the last necessary rain to finish the corn around here. Barring wind/hail/etc., this should be another huge crop. This will test fert app rates.
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One of the world's largest fertilizer buying countries just had an issue. Uproar over low perceived stockpiles. An issue we have been watching for a while. finally coming to a head. Not great if they suddenly start leaning heavier into buying.
timesofindia.indiatimes.com
The Chhattisgarh Assembly faces turmoil as Congress MLAs protest fertilizer and seed shortages affecting paddy farmers. 23 MLAs suspended then reinstated, highlighting the growing unrest over...
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I've heard this guy might be the keynote speaker at this fertilizer conference!!!!
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For those asking if Russia matters to U.S. fertilizers:. Urea - yes.UAN - OMG yes.NH3 - no w/ Russian exports very low.Phosphate - still blocked w/ U.S. duties.Potash - 2nd largest supplier.
For those saying today's threats of tariffs on Russia don't matter because the US "doesn't trade with Russia," look to the #fertilizer sector. Russia is our top origin for both #urea & #UAN imports, with their market share growing substantially in recent years. #oatt
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If you haven't watched yet, here is my video for this week on StoneX youtube channel. While low likelihood today, peace between Russia/Ukraine could be the lynchpin that helps solve high fertilizer prices.
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RT @cropcastpod: @JLinvilleFert of @StoneX_Official with @sean_nettleton, breaking down everything American farmers need to know about fert….
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