Ivan Snurer
@IvanSnurer
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Investing at the Intersection of Quantitative and Behavioral Finance
Joined January 2012
A brief history of how U.S. bull and bear markets impact financial markets and the economy #SP500 #Bonds #Commodities #WallStreet
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Who’s panicking? The oil gauge signals investors are nervous, fearing an escalation of the Iran-Israel conflict The key factor driving the market volatility is the potential impact on global oil supplies #SP500 #CrudeOil #WallStreet
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Widening the view #FactorInvesting works better with European #Stocks than American Lower economic growth > lower corporate profits > lower #StockMarket returns > greater need for generating excess return > more focus on distinct factors #Value #Size #Momentum #LowVol #Quality
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Wall Street’s turmoil The S&P 500 eyes bear market territory as Trump’s tariffs triggered a global sell-off #WallStreet #SP500 #Nasdaq #Volatility #Gold #OIl #BondMarkets
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The Big Five of factor investing Factors help investors understand differences in long-term returns Factor investing targets securities with specific characteristics and can be used to enhance returns or manage risk #Value #SmallCap #Momentum #LowVolatility #Quality
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European stocks haven’t kept up with #WallStreet since 2009, but are on a roll The #EuroStoxx50 is the benchmark of 50 blue-chip companies from 11 countries in the eurozone The #SP500 tracks the performance of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States
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Teddy bear or Grizzly The current correction could morph into a #BearMarket Bear markets occur every seven year on average If the current correction continues, this will be the third bear market in less than seven years #SP500 #WallStreet #Bonds #Commodities
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Risk on, Risk off Donald Trump’s election victory was seen as the swan song for #European #Stocks Forget #MAGA, Investors want MEGA [Make America/Europe Great Again] and are now betting it could actually be the opposite #WallStreet #StocksInFocus #MarketsOnTheMove
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Since 1980 #WallStreet experienced 6 bull & bear markets Bear markets declined on average 36% in 14 months Whereas bull markets middling lasted 6.2 years and returned 333% Yet, nobody knows when the ongoing #bullmarket will end and how severe it will be #SP500 #Bonds #Commodities
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Get to know: the new S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Family Almost two decades after the introduction of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats S&P Global launched last September the S&P 500 Quality FCF Aristocrats #SP500 #Aristocrats #Dividend #Quality @WallStreet
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Is the #MagnificentSeven still a good bet for 2025? The Bull Case sees the #Mag7 reaching 34193 pts, a rise of 41.4% The Base Case predicts 27514 pts, an increase of 13.8% The Bear Case foretells a drop to 20574 pts, a loss of 14.9% #WallStreet #SP500
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The markets are doing well this year, and some stocks do very well. That invites #WindowDressing. Not only do #momentum stocks gain strength as the year progresses, the also perform well in the last three months of the year, traditionally the strongest quarter. #SP500 #WallStreet
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Concentration vs Diversification Apparently Harry Markowitz found a free lunch in finance #Diversification involves investing across various assets #Concentration focuses on a limited number of assets What wins in the long term: Index fund or Top 10 S&P stocks? #WallStreet #SP500
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Although there are regional differences in the first half of 2024, #Momentum stocks outpaced the broad market, and #Quality became a momentum trade. #LowVolatility is along with Enhanced #Value the worst performing factor. #SP500 #WallStreet #European #StockMarket
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In theory a stock split compares to cutting a piece of cake. It doesn’t impact a company’s fundamental position and therefore creates no additional value In practice the number of shares outstanding increases. This will boost its stock’s liquidity #WallStreet $NVDA
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The more #Volatile your #Equity #Investments, the more you benefit from #Diversification By including different #AssetClasses, you increase the probability that your investments will provide satisfactory returns Yet, diversification does not solve the lack of knowledge
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Momentum is the premier market anomaly and contradicts the strategy of buying low and selling high The #momentum factor prevails in the market due to irrational behavioral biases of investors such as herd mentality, fear, greed and confirmation bias #SP500 #WallStreet
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