Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)
@IHME_UW
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A research center at @UW quantifying global health challenges like #COVID19 : & making the #GBDstudy : #PopulationHealth
Seattle, Washington
Joined September 2009
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Pinned Tweet
@Trevornoah
interviewed IHME’s Dr. Emmanuela Gakidou for the first episode of a new series called "The Prompt"😎
Check out their conversation on the importance of mapping populations around the world.
#AIforGood
»
@Planet
@AIforGood
@Microsoft
@BradSmi
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Racism and discrimination are critical public health issues that demand an urgent response.
#BlackLivesMatter
Read our director’s statement:
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NEW—
#GBDstudy
Improving road safety measures (helmets, seatbelts, obeying speed limits, and avoiding drunk driving) could save half a million lives every year WORLDWIDE.
@TheLancet
@LancetPH
#RoadSafety
#InvestInYouth
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1K
In 2014
#GBD
collaborator, Dr. Shuhei Nomura was awarded the "Japan Symbol of Tomorrow" for his reconstruction work following the
#Fukushima
disaster. His work involved local community grassroots, policy advising, & more. 🇯🇵
#CollaboratorSpotlight
|
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How do we combat negative
#vaccine
sentiments & misinformation like the now-debunked rumor that
#MMR
vaccine causes
#autism
?
The health community MUST keep pace with the digital revolution, write
@ProfHeidiLarson
, Emmanuela Gakidou & Chris Murray in
@NEJM
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#GBDstudy
provides 1st-ever comprehensive burden of disease estimates at a provincial level in
#Indonesia
🇮🇩, looking at Indonesian health since decentralizing many fields of governance—including health—to provinces, districts & municipalities in 1999
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New
#GBDstudy
finds that
#alcohol
consumption carries SIGNIFICANT health risks and NO benefits for young people while some older adults may BENEFIT from drinking a small amount of alcohol
@TheLancet
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""COVID is now the No. 3 cause of death in the U.S. -- ahead of accidents, injuries, lung disease, diabetes, Alzheimer's, and many, many other causes"
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🆕 Prof.
@DrRafaelLozano
, senior author of IHME's
#HumanResourcesForHealth
Report reveals how many more doctors, nurses & midwives, pharmacists, & dentists are needed to provide basic universal health coverage."
#GBDStudy
@TheLancet
Read the study here »
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How strong is the evidence between smoking &
#LungCancer
? Or low vegetable consumption & type 2
#diabetes
? Analyzing the strength of evidence between 180 pairs of risk factors & health outcomes, we developed a ⭐ rating system on a 1-5⭐ scale
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Our Director, Dr. Chris Murray, calls for complete
#COVID19
data to be released from United States federal agencies. It's especially urgent now, so we can plan for the winter months ahead, when our model is projecting a surge in cases and deaths.
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Mukti Bosco received the 2022
#RouxPrize
at the Guildhall in London the other night! Bosco was recognized for her innovative and impactful use of
#GBD
data to empower women and improve access to rural
#health
care in
#India
. Congratulations 👏 👏
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New study published in
@JAMA_current
: 6.2% of people with symptomatic
#COVID
who survived acute episode in 2020 & 2021 experienced at least 1 of 3
#LongCovid
symptom clusters 3 months after
#SARSCoV2
infection.
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public health includes reproductive health.
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@UN
@UNRSC
understands that
#RoadSafety
is a public health crisis.
According to our 🆕
#GBDstudy
, road deaths affect the youngest & poorest hardest—almost HALF of adolescents killed in road collisions in 2019 lived in
#LMICs
@TheLancetPH
@amyepeden
🚘⬇️
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More than half of police killings in the United States are missing from the official data system & Black Americans experience fatal police violence at a rate 3.5 times higher than white Americans, according to our new
#GBDstudy
published in
@TheLancet
.
🔗
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Data can tell a compelling story—if you know how to translate data insights into a clear narrative.💡
Our Data Visualization team creates ~15 tools annually on diverse topics, but where does their inspiration come from?
The following tools are the team's favorite data inspo ✨
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New maps show updated dates at which we believe states can relax social distancing measures, assuming containment strategies are in place given currently available public health resources. More updates:
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Racism and discrimination are critical public health issues that demand an urgent response, wherever they occur.
#BlackLivesMatter
Read our director's statement:
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🆕 Pre-COVID study from
@NIMHD
&
@NIH
and IHME found that Americans were living longer, but an analysis of racial/ethnic groups in 3,110 counties revealed large and persistent disparities exist
@TheLancet
»
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@DrEricDing
If universal mask coverage (95%) were attained in California this week we project 1,200-5,600 fewer cumulative COVID-19 related deaths compared to our reference scenario (or what we think is most likely to happen) by November 1.
View our model ⤵️
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🏴Scotland appears to be experiencing its 2nd
#DeltaVariant
wave. We think this is likely due to transmission occurring at schools given the % of people under age 18 who are infected.
Schools opening elsewhere could be a significant driver for accelerated
#COVID19
transmission.
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This Saturday, March 11, we mark the 3rd year of COVID-19 officially being declared a global pandemic by the
@WHO
.
Dr. Chris Murray, director of
@IHME_UW
, and
@PeterHotez
of
@bcmhouston
&
@TexasChildrens
discuss lessons learned.
Listen to the full convo👇
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What's new this update?
➡️ Updated projections for all locations
➡️ 309,918 COVID-19 deaths by December 1 in the United States
➡️ New mask use chart 😷
View the latest projections 📈
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This morning, we're releasing a major change in our COVID-19 model (➡️). We're now incorporating excess mortality to approximate the total COVID-19 death rate worldwide.
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"The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation projects that over the next three months universal mask wearing alone could save 49,000 lives, while the vaccine rollout would save 33,200."
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NEW—Global estimates of
#ExcessDeaths
indicates that 18.2 million people may have died because of the
#COVID19
pandemic by December 31, 2021, according to our analysis published in
@TheLancet
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New data from several states indicates a decline in the overall deaths we predict for the US. It’s important to note that our forecasts range from 126,703 to 31,221 deaths. As data comes in, our estimates will change, much like weather forecasts adjust.
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We're thrilled to announce that Dr. Richard Horton, Editor of
@TheLancet
, is the recipient of the 2019
#RouxPrize
for his contributions to
#globalhealth
. Read more:
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📣 Reminder: If you wear a face shield, you MUST also wear a mask. A face shield is *additional* protective gear — and particularly great for those who commute on public transit — but it does not replace a mask. (h/t to IHME faculty
@VinGuptaMD
for initially highlighting this)
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✨🆕–The
#COVID19
pandemic led to a stark rise in depressive and anxiety disorders globally in 2020 w/women & younger people most affected, according to a new study by our researchers & collaborators published today in
@TheLancet
.
#GBDstudy
#MentalHealth
»
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Our model projects that universal mask use would save hundreds of thousands more lives than vaccination by April 1, 2021 even if vaccination scales up rapidly. As our director Dr. Chris Murray said on
@donlemon
, the vaccine will get us back to normal ✨eventually.✨
#WearAMask
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📊⚖️
@AliHMokdad
&
@DrEricDing
write for
@ThinkGlobalHlth
about the data pointing to the need for COVID-19 vaccine boosters & how the U.S. government needs to put the groups who can benefit most from these boosters at the front of the line.
#VaccineEquity
📄
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🆕
#GBDstudy
finds that regional health inequalities in
#Norway
🇳🇴have reduced over the past 30 years, with life expectancy increasing ⬆ across 11 counties between 1990-2019
@TheLancet
@TheLancetPH
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Congratulations to
@PeterHotez
and Maria Elena Bottazzi on their
#NobelPeacePrize
nomination. Your commitment to achieving global health equity through vaccine development and research continues to inspire.
Houston researchers Dr. Peter Hotez and Dr. Maria Elena Bottazzi among Nobel Peace Prize nominees for COVID efforts |
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"New projections from (IHME) suggest that 80,000 more people in the US are expected to die of COVID-19 from now until November — more than a 60% increase from where our death toll stood on Friday, at 132,000."
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Wearing a mask and following social distancing guidelines are the easiest ways to reduce transmission as
#COVID19
vaccines begin rolling out. Dr.
@VinGuptaMD
explains more about these new vaccines and why people must remain vigilant following vaccination.
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"(IHME) currently projects that more than 360,000 Americans will die by the close of 2020... But it does not have to be this way. An “autumn reset” promoting the use of masks, contact tracing and social distancing could still save 100,000 lives."
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Congratulations to IHME faculty member
@VinGuptaMD
for winning Novim's 2021 Science Awareness Award! We're proud of the important work you've done as a science communicator through the COVID-19 pandemic.
🎉➡️
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Thanks to more data and better models, our COVID-19 hospital planning tool is becoming more accurate. Learn more
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El análisis proporciona una medida de la fuerza de la evidencia para una variedad de riesgos para la salud en una calificación ⭐
Más de la MITAD de los pares de riesgo recibieron una calificación de ⭐ o ⭐⭐, incluidos
#CarneRojo
e isquémica del ♥️
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Introducing a new visualization tool we've made in partnership with
@TheCOVIDCollab
that shows data on people’s openness to receiving a
#COVID19
vaccine by ZIP code and county for the entire United States.
#DataViz
#VaccineHesitancy
➡️
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North Dakota presently has one of the highest COVID-19 death rates in the world.
North Dakota election officials say Republican candidate David Andahl, who died on Oct. 5 after he had been sick with COVID-19, won a seat as state representative for District 8.
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The
#RouxPrize
is awarded annually to an individual who has used health evidence “in bold ways to make people healthier”. Congratulations to the
#RouxPrize2022
winner, Mukteshwari “Mukti” Bosco, CEO and Founder of Healing Fields Foundation! »
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🆕 Dr. Annie Haakenstad, lead author of IHME's
#GBDStudy
about the global
#HealthWorker
shortage talks about the human cost to both patients and healthcare workers if shortages of the latter are not remedied.
#HRH
#UHC
@TheLancet
Read study here »
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Should you wear a mask when leaving the house? Always. Wearing a mask can reduce the risk of respiratory illnesses like COVID-19 by 40-50%. Download the infographic:
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How worried should we be about the Omicron variant? Instead of worrying, our director Dr. Chris Murray says governments should focus on what works:
➡️ Getting populations vaccinated + boosted
➡️ Promoting mask-use 😷
➡️ Testing, testing, testing!
Blog🗨️ »
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"Researchers say the payoff [of wearing masks] would be enormous. If 95% of Americans wore face masks in public, it could prevent 33,000 deaths by October 1, according to the
@UW
's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation."
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We just updated our COVID-19 model with the latest data & updated our policy briefings for over 200+ world locations.
We've got good news to confirm about Omicron.🧵
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It is critical that people receive both doses in the appropriate timeframe to develop protection against the novel coronavirus, explains Dr.
@VinGuptaMD
speaking about his experience receiving the
#COVID19
vaccine.
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We are thrilled to announce the winner of the ✨2021
#RouxPrize
✨ for using health data in innovative ways to improve population health: Professor Zulfiqar Bhutta of
@AKUGlobal
&
@sickkids
! 🎉🎉🎉
➡️
#PopulationHealth
#MaternalHealth
#ChildHealth
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🗨️“We are acting with
#Omicron
as if it’s the last variant, but it is not the last,” said
@JNkengasong
,
@AfricaCDC
Director, and
#IHME
collaborator, at the recent Conference on Public Health in Africa
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After incorporating new data sources, our models indicate that
#socialdistancing
is working. Removing measures before the end of May could result in a rapid increase in transmission. Learn more:
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"An influential modeling group at the
@UW
in Seattle estimates that only 13% of cases are being reported to health authorities in the U.S. — which would mean more than a half-million new infections every day," writes
@laura_ungar
for
@AP
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The University of Washington has named the new Population Health building the Hans Rosling Center for Population Health to honor Rosling's work in global health data. Read more about Hans Rosling and the Population Health Initiative:
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Published today in
@TheLancet
, a new study shows any amount of
#alcoholconsumption
increases the overall risk of health loss, especially developing
#cancer
.
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Dr. Christopher Murray, Director of IHME, and
@WHO
Director-General
@DrTedros
signed a memorandum of understanding earlier this morning calling for both organizations to collaborate on the annual Global Burden of Disease.
#GBDStudy
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The rollout of vaccines will not be scaled up rapidly enough to have an impact on the ongoing winter surge in
#COVID19
cases and deaths. With vaccines and increased mask use, more than 66,000 lives could be saved by April 1, 2021.
View our projections:
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You might know lung & ICU doctor
@VinGuptaMD
from his TV news appearances, but did you know that he is also:
◾ Faculty here at IHME/
@UW
◾ A major in the Air Force Reserve Medical Service Corps
If you don't know Dr. Gupta,
@seattletimes
invites you to:
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We are in the midst of modeling what happens when social distancing measures are removed in the United States and Europe. Our director, Dr. Christopher Murray, explains:
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Accounting for excess mortality, we estimate that there have been about 12 million deaths globally due to COVID-19.
#COVID19
#DeltaVariant
#GlobalHealth
🦠📈Model:
Details on excess mortality methods➡️
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Congratulations to Mukteshwari “Mukti” Bosco on the 2022
#RouxPrize
🏆 for turning evidence into health impact! Founder & CEO of Healing Fields Foundation, Bosco has trained thousands of women leaders and enabled them to be health advocates »
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Herd immunity without a vaccine "simply means letting an awful lot of people die... and it’s not really a strategy at all," says our Director Dr. Chris Murray.
#COVID19
#HerdImmunity
Full remarks:
Given widespread discussion of the possibility of herd immunity,
@IHME_UW
analyses show that the percentage of infected in the US is still well below the levels needed for herd immunity. Wear your mask, watch your distance, and wash your hands.
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We project that demand for hospital beds in many European countries will exceed supply. For example, we project that the UK will need 102,794 hospital beds at the peak, compared to 17,765 available, a shortage of 85,029 beds.
#COVID19
📈
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Dr. Richard Horton, the “activist editor” of the
@TheLancet
, is the recipient of the 2019
#RouxPrize
for his accomplishments as one of the world’s most “committed, articulate, and influential advocates for population health.”
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📣✨ 3 global studies on
#smoking
published today in
@TheLancet
&
@TheLancetPH
using data from 3,625 surveys
#GBDstudy
.
🚬 Latest data finds nearly 8 million deaths from smoking in 2019 & 90% of new smokers addicted by age 25.
📄➡️
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Several US states are projected to fall below 1 prevalent case of COVID-19 per 1 million in the first week of May & may be able to safely ease social distancing measures:
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The most comprehensive global health study, analyzing 286 causes of death, 369 diseases & injuries, and 87 risk factors, the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, is now available in
@TheLancet
.
#GBDstudy
View The Lancet GBD 2019 Special Issue:
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Encouragingly, data from Italy and Spain indicates that social distancing policies worked faster than they did in Wuhan. This new data has caused us to project an earlier epidemic peak in several US states. Learn more
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Our latest study, "Mapping disparities in education across low- and middle-income countries," was just published in
@Nature
. Read the
#openaccess
article online:
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@DrEricDing
Thanks for sharing our data
@DrEricDing
. Our 2019
#GBDstudy
found that women who experience intimate partner violence are 1.6x MORE LIKELY to acquire
#HIV
& ~1.54 times more likely to suffer from
#depression
Read more in our
@ThinkGlobalHlth
article:
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NEW—The social & economic effects of the
#COVID19
pandemic threaten to reverse progress in
#GenderEquality
by widening gender gaps that already existed in employment, education & gender-based violence, according to our new study in
@TheLancet
🔗
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📄📌PRESS RELEASE: Our new COVID-19 forecasts show the possibility of a spring spike in United States deaths if variants spread widely and people let down their guard.
Details in the thread ⤵️
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We are updating our model with new data daily, and now our estimates predict that 93,765 deaths from COVID-19 will occur in the US during this first wave of the epidemic. This is 11,624 deaths higher than our estimate on 3/31. Model updates:
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When can social distancing be relaxed? Dates range between May 4 and early July, assuming the current level of social distancing is in place until infections reach below 1 per million, and containment strategies are implemented.
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New data from the
#GBDstudy
shows that 1.27 million deaths were caused by antimicrobial
#AMR
in 2019 – we urgently need greater action.
#AMRSOS
Learn more in the
#GRAMPaper
published today in
@TheLancet
➡️📄
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Correct—in the northern hemisphere, we estimate only 2-5% of infections are reported 🔗
@EricTopol
Many places across the US are not counting rapid home tests at all. Experts at
@IHME_UW
estimate
#COVID
cases in US are likely 20 to 25 times higher than are being reported.
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"More than 30,000 deaths could be avoided by October if 95% of Americans wear face masks in public, according to research by the
@UW
. Even homemade masks act as a barrier to potentially infected droplets... expelled when people cough, talk or breathe."
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Our latest forecasts project nearly 135,000
#COVID19
deaths in the United States. These projections reflect increased human mobility and the easing of social distancing measures in many US states. Read our press announcement:
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🆕—
#COVID19
has been an “epidemiological mystery” with mortality higher in wealthy countries than poor nations, deaths varying dramatically.
@TheLancet
💡Why? Our
#GBDstudy
shows that lack of trust has helped fuel the pandemic uniquely in 177 countries
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✨📅 Save the date✨ for a 1-hour webinar to help you determine if
@UW
’s Master of Science in Health Metrics Sciences' interdisciplinary curriculum is right for you.
#HealthData
#BurdenofDisease
Friday, November 5, 2021
12:00pm-1:00pm PT
Register now »
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"The Global Burden of Disease is showing us the scale of the challenge we face and the scale of dedication and innovation we need to build the healthier, safer, fairer world we all want," says
@WHO
's
@DrTedros
.
⚕️📃
#GBDstudy
publishes today in
@TheLancet
at 3:30PM Pacific Time!
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The
#GlobalHealth
community must keep pace with the global digital revolution to address the growing
#VaccineHesitancy
as it emerges across budding social media platforms, write IHME’s
@ProfHeidiLarson
, Emmanuela Gakidou, & Chris Murray for
@NEJM
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