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Dirk Krueger Profile
Dirk Krueger

@IERJournal

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Twitter account of the International Economic Review

Philadelphia, PA; Osaka, Japan
Joined March 2022
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
12 days
Do the cultural traits that promote the pursuit of material goals contribute to economic transformation? This study models the interplay between culturally-driven material aspirations and productivity growth – offering further insights into the economic take-off and beyond.
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
12 days
The International Economic Review has just published a new exciting paper by Evangelos Dioikitopoulos & Dimitrios Varvarigos on Material Aspirations, Cultural Change, and the Transition Toward Sustained Growth. It is available through @WileyEconomics here:
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We highlight the role of economic materialism as a cultural phenomenon of significance in relation to economic transformation and development. By inducing material aspirations, an endogenous cultur...
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
12 days
We study debt ceilings in a political-agency model with uncertainty about both policymaker type (benevolent or selfish) and economic state (good or bad). Fiscal transparency per se does not make constant debt ceilings more effective; state-contingent ceilings do improve welfare.
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
12 days
The International Economic Review has just published a new exciting paper by Randolph Sloof, Roel Beetsma and Alina Steinweg on Debt Ceilings With Fiscal Intransparency and Imperfect Electoral Accountability. It is available through @WileyEconomics here:
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We study optimal debt ceilings in a political-agency model with uncertainty about both policymaker type (benevolent or selfish) and economic state (good or bad). Elections generate disciplining and...
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
18 days
We study optimal income taxation under parameter uncertainty about preferences and wage dynamics. Estimating a life-cycle model on U.S. data, we find it raises tax progressivity—widening the marginal tax rate gap by 5.5 pp—and imposes sizable welfare costs.
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
18 days
The International Economic Review has just published a new exciting paper by Minsu Chang and Chunzan Wu on When in Doubt, Tax More Progressively? Uncertainty and Progressive Income Taxation. It is available through @WileyEconomics here:
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We study the optimal income tax problem under parameter uncertainty about household preferences and wage dynamics. We derive conditions characterizing how such uncertainty affects optimal tax...
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
19 days
Why do capital-rich countries keep importing capital? This paper shows that technological specialization creates a capital Matthew effect, where tech choices amplify rather than reducing global capital imbalances.
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
19 days
The International Economic Review has just published a new exciting paper by Dan Su on The Capital Matthew Effect: Directed Technical Change and International Capital Flows. It is available through @WileyEconomics here:
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This study shows that technological specialization is one plausible driver of long-term international capital flows. Capital scarcity raises marginal returns but also steers countries toward capita...
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
21 days
The paper reveals that increased demand for electric batteries is linked to increased child labor and reduced education in mining villages. It's crucial to enforce child labor regulations to mitigate these impacts.
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
21 days
The International Economic Review has just published a new exciting paper by Maurizio Malpede on The Dark Side of Batteries: Cobalt Mining and Children's Education in Sub-Saharan Africa. It is available through @WileyEconomics here:
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Although extractive industries have been associated with women's empowerment and lower infant mortality in Africa, this article provides evidence that the rapid increase in the demand for lithium-i...
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
28 days
How do policies spread across countries? Using financial reforms as a case study, our new IER paper shows that geopolitical alignment and learning drive global policy contagion. A novel 90-country dataset (1973–2014) sheds light on these reform waves and reversals.
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
28 days
The International Economic Review has just published a new exciting paper by Nan Li, Chris Papageorgiou, Tong Xu and Tao Zha on Policy Contagion: What Do We Learn From Financial Reforms?. It is available through @WileyEconomics here:
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We use financial reforms as a case study to understand the temporal clustering of policy changes across countries, shedding light on the broader phenomenon of global policy contagion. We construct a...
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
1 month
We test the buffer stock model in an experiment with varying liquidity constraints & income variance. Our results align with most predictions, but we do not find the expected impact of constraints on savings. Debt aversion, learning, and cognitive differences explain departures.
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
1 month
The International Economic Review has just published a new exciting paper by John Duffy and Andreas Orland on Liquidity Constraints, Income Variance, and Buffer Stock Savings: Experimental Evidence. It is available through @WileyEconomics here:
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We test the buffer stock model of savings behavior using a three-period intertemporal model. In one treatment, liquidity in the second period is constrained (borrowing not possible), while the...
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
1 month
Exchange economies must conflate a continuum of goods into a finite set of commodities. The conflation design constrains trading opportunities and may have surprising consequences. For instance, expanding the number of commodities may make everyone worse off.
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
1 month
The International Economic Review has just published a new exciting paper by Niccolò Urbinati and Marco LiCalzi on Market Allocations Under Conflation of Goods. It is available through @WileyEconomics here:
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We study competitive equilibria in exchange economies when a continuum of goods is conflated into a finite set of commodities. The design of conflation choices affects the allocation of scarce...
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
1 month
Paper was part of a 2025 conference organized by Peking University HSBC Business School and IER. Will be part of special issue on Financial Frictions for Firms and Households: Implications for Economic Development and Government Policies that the IER will publish in December 2025.
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
1 month
Financing fiscal deficits by rolling over debt is feasible with slow-moving debt when interest rates are low. For temporary deficits, it causes persistent inflation but dominates conventional debt policy in welfare. The opposite is true for permanent deficits.
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
1 month
The International Economic Review has just published a new exciting paper by Jianjun Miao, Zhouxiang Shen and Dongling Su on Inflation and Debt Rollover Under Low Interest Rates. It is available through @WileyEconomics here:
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We provide a New Keynesian model with overlapping generations to study the impact of temporary and permanent increases in fiscal deficits financed by debt rollover policy when interest rates are...
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@IERJournal
Dirk Krueger
2 months
How do candidates choose positions if adjusting during the campaign is costly? Model shows they may hedge by diverging from the center early on, and moderate later if the race turns out to be competitive. Small shifts by a favorite candidate to secure victory are the most likely.
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