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A premier independent research & publication think-tank dedicated to political, diplomatic & security analysis in the HoA region. @HornDialogues @analyticanew

Addis Ababa
Joined May 2021
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Resurgent piracy in the Gulf of Aden reveals a hard truth: Ethiopia cannot afford permanent dependence on foreign naval patrols. Port diversification and maritime capability aren’t optional - they’re strategic survival, writes Samiya Mohammed. https://t.co/fMOnsImYNW
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A lately series of maritime incidents off the coast of Somalia has drawn renewed international attention to the perennial challenge of piracy in the Western Indian Ocean. The attempted boarding of a...
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Ethiopia’s proximity and mediation record give it leverage in Sudan’s civil war. Bezawit E. & Mahder N. argue Addis Ababa can stabilize aid corridors, influence actors, and advance a Sudanese-led settlement while managing regional risks. https://t.co/S8doWpNMvj
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As Sudan’s civil war enters its third year, the conflict shows no sign of abating. Renewed offensives have deepened a humanitarian catastrophe whose scale constrains every political option. Humanit...
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Egypt’s renewed activism in the Horn raises questions about stability and sovereignty. Abdeta Dribissa (PHD) argues that sustainable peace requires rejecting zero-sum rivalries in favor of African-led cooperation and shared regional security.
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By Abdissa Dribissa Beyene (PHD) Recent Egyptian diplomatic and military initiatives in the Horn of Africa have drawn attention, framed publicly as contributions to regional peace and maritime...
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Beyond headlines, Ethiopia’s policies reflect an interlinked strategy: stabilizing federal governance, maintaining credible defense, and securing lawful maritime access in a turbulent Horn of Africa. Read further analysis on the link below. https://t.co/HTGX1fR5U1
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Ethiopia’s strategies - domestic, security, and diplomatic - are often interpreted through isolated events or selective narratives, but a closer, integrative analysis reveals a carefully calibrated...
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Djibouti shifted from Gouled’s cautious survival policy to Guelleh’s assertive regional diplomacy, leveraging ports & foreign bases. Ethiopia, as an ally, must thus engage constructively & balance dependency with strategic partnership - writes Rebecca M.
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Djibouti's foreign policy represents an interesting case study of how a small nation can have significant regional influence based on its geographical position, handling multi-ethnic and political...
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Israel’s exclusion of Turkey from any Gaza deployment is more than a tactical decision: Bezawit Eshetu shows how it restructures regional alignments, complicates UN-backed stabilization concepts, and reinforces long-standing trust deficits. https://t.co/YGxxMSrYhT
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When Israel’s spokespeople declared in early November 2025 that “there will be no Turkish boots on the ground,” they did more than reject a single state’s offer to help stabilize Gaza: they set a...
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Rebecca Mulugeta situates Egypt’s energy expansion within broader regional geopolitics, highlighting how gas development, water management, and alliance-building intersect with Ethiopia’s hydropower rise. https://t.co/I04nQxS2pt
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For centuries, the Nile River has been the lifeblood of civilizations both for Ethiopia and Egypt, shaping the destinies of nations along its winding course. Egypt’s construction of the Aswan High...
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By contextualizing the Talara seizure within Iran’s evolving deterrence posture and proxy-linked activities in the Red Sea, Samiya Mohammed outlines the emerging strategic symmetry between the Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb theaters. https://t.co/IW3I9rREmj
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Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps intercepted the Marshall Islands flagged tanker Talara in the Strait of Hormuz. The vessel carrying high sulphur gas oil from the United Arab Emirates to...
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Today, we had the honor of hosting Zerihun Megerssa, an emerging Ethiopian diplomat who served in Cairo & Asmara, to share his rare insight into the strategic & interpersonal challenges inherent in engaging with adversarial states.
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Decades of structural exclusion, institutional failure & armed factionalism might render Sudan incapable of reunification anytime soon, added to the geopolitical factors driving protracted fragmentation - writes Tsega'ab Amare.
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The devastating conflict in Sudan represents far more than a conventional power struggle; it marks the terminal institutional collapse of the post-colonial state.  The violence that erupted in April...
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Eritrea’s Deadly Game: How Isaias Afwerki Weaponizes Totalitarianism to Destabilize the Horn. Amanuel Tadesse unpacks how Eritrea’s authoritarian rule & the ‘Isaias Doctrine’ drive regional interference, threaten peace & shape the Horn’s fragile order. https://t.co/LvIJ5alZm8
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The Horn of Africa holds a decisive geostrategic position in global politics, serving as an axis where the rivalries of established and emerging global powers intersect. Its proximity to the Red Sea,...
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Somalia’s e-visa breach exposed deep governance and security gaps. Bezawit Eshetu examines how a digital failure quickly became a regional concern. https://t.co/lIDgJjCPzW
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Somalia’s e-visa catastrophe is far more than a technical malfunction. It has crystallized a convergence of governance failures, regional power contests, and the dangerous ways in which digital...
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Ethiopia’s regional power and influence is often misunderstood. Mahder Nesibu explains why the country functions less as a hegemon and more as the Horn’s stabilizing anchor. https://t.co/xQWbC9mBe5
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The debate over Ethiopia’s regional role oscillates between two central ideas: hegemony and anchor statehood. Both have circulated for decades in the language of international relations and foreign...
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El-Sisi has transformed the GERD dispute into a political shield - to divert attention from repression & economic strain, turning the dam into a national litmus test. Bezawit Eshetu unpacks how hydropolitics is deployed to fortify authoritarian rule. https://t.co/fHuAug9Tfj
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The controversy over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) has been transformed from a technical negotiation into a political instrument. Under President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi, the GERD functions...
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We were honoured to host Dawit Yohannes (PHD), Senior Researcher & Project Manager at the Institute for Security Studies @issafrica for a discussion with our young researchers - on the existing & emerging challenges shaping Peacekeeping Operations in the Horn of Africa & beyond.
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