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@GavinPartridge
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Latest short, medium and long range weather forecasts for the UK from GavsWeatherVids (GWV) owner Gavin Partridge. Mouth Cancer Survivor (2022)
Northants. United Kingdom
Joined September 2009
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Hey everyone, just want to fill you in about a little issue that's been going on with me that I can finally talk about!
For about a couple of months I've had an an ulcer at the back of my tongue, but close to where I had mouth cancer in 2022.
3 weeks ago I had a biopsy and this
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Tomorrow we're saying goodbye to my lovely mum so I'll be dropping off the scene for a few days if that's OK with everyone?
Once again I want to say thank you so much for all of your love, support, kindness & concern these past days, weeks & months. You've all been incredible ♥️
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Hey everyone, just wanted to let you all know that my lovely mum - the amazing, formidable and indomitable Mrs P - passed away this afternoon.
Thank you so much for all your support and concern during her recent illness. You have all be amazing. ❤
Partridge family.
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Tonights GFS 12z looking a LOT better for Glastogoers who want very warm/dry weather - Is the stingy GFS finally starting to shift?
Third Glasto update tomorrow - Will be an important one methinks! 🙏
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Hey everyone thanks so much for all of your best wishes.
Operation to remove my
#mouthcancer
went well and I'm now recovering on the ward. Hoping to get home in 2 or 3 days.
Thanks everyone.
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So as I announced in my vlog last night, yesterday's results day went very well. Clear margins were achieved from the tongue cancer and the lymph glands in the neck were all clear from cancer too. This means no more treatment is required at this point...
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Right, final lateral flow test done (negative) so I should be good to go to have the operation to remove my
#mouthcancer
later this morning
Thank you so much everyone for all of your lovely messages since my diagnosis. You've all been amazing
#LetsGo
#BeatingCancer
#NoSurrender
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Hey everyone from NGH
Hospital beard is coming along nicely 😂
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Snow Watch season off to an early start this year if GFS 00z is correct...
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The past few months have been the worst of my life as I have dealt with one disaster after disaster. Through it all you have all been there for me and I thank you all so very much. You have all been so kind and amazing. ♥️
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Morning from NGH. Operation to fix my broken ankle is done.
Everything went well.
Should be heading back to the Towers soon 🙏
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Hey everyone, I'm now home from hospital and feeling pretty well to be honest.
Thank you so much for all your amazing messages of support and concern.
I've done a little vlog so you can see how I am.
#BeatingCancer
#NoSurrender
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I don't want to worry anyone and this will come as a shock but an ulcer on the side of my tongue has been diagnosed as a small (hopefully) stage one mouth cancer!
Treatment begins soon and I'll keep everyone posted.
Watch out for a video here tomorrow:
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Just had my one year anniversary appointment at NGH to check my mouth.
Everything looking good with my mouth, tongue and neck.
That's the first year post treatment out of the way.
👊
#OralCancer
#BeatingCancer
#NoSurrender
👊
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OK a little bit of
#Glasto
weather news. CFS V2 weeklies have now reached 19th to 25th June on week four time-frame - Glastonbury Festival week.
Caveats: These charts update daily, it's four weeks away and the CFS is often unreliable beyond two weeks out... but todays chart
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Need to say hello all my lovely Twitter Followers.
Amazing that in September I'll have been on Twitter for ten years (joined September 2009) and in this tenth year of Tweeting the weather I've now reached 10,000 followers!!!!!
Big thanks to all of you. 👍
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The Big Three (ECM, GEM and GFS) all have Greenland Blocking in one form or another around day ten - Long way out and still time for downgrades (or even upgrades 😉 ) but certainly noteworthy as this kind of agreement doesn't happen very often with a blocked pattern.
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If someone had told me two weeks after an operation to remove my tongue cancer I'd be tucking into burger and chips I'd never have believed it!
#BeatingCancer
#NoSurrender
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Gosh! Check out wind gusts in the channel from latest hi-res UKV hot off the presses like two minutes ago! 😮
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Hola from NGH where I’m currently waiting for swelling to go down before I can get my ankle fixed.
Hopefully I’ll have my operation by around Wednesday.
Will keep you all informed and thanks so much for all your lovely messages of concern and support.
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ECM 12z (which has dragged it's feel at times in the past few days when it comes to "seeing" this cold pattern) now looking pretty epic fo next week from a cold perspective! 🥶
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Extended GFS 12z run now out to
#Glasto
Saturday (24th June) - Chart looks a bit mixed with a risk of low pressure bringing showers from off the Atlantic though the Azores High is still ridging into the south which could leave Glastonbury reasonably dry and warm.
Is kind of an
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As I said at the start of today's 10-14 dayer I'm taking a couple of weeks off from Monday (8th August) to Monday 22nd August. It's been a very "difficult" few months and I've decided I need a bit of a rest to recharge and recalibrate. Hope everyone is OK with that?
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Well then, who's ready for several days of high pressure bringing mostly dry, sunny and warm weather starting from Tuesday and lasting right through to next weekend? 👌
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How's everyone doing? Not too cold? Enjoying the snow?
I've been enjoying New York including
#EmpireStateBuilding
but I'll be heading home soon so I'll see you all on Tuesday OK?
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The GFS control run looks pretty epic for Christmas Eve - Don't forget we'll be bringing back Ensembles Watch: LIVE 🔴 this Sunday from 6pm! 👀
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Oooo latest extended GFS 12z run looking lot better for
#Glasto
compared to yesterday.
Think we'll have an interesting second update for the
#GlastonburyFestival
tomorrow evening..
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Would like to wish all GWV viewers and followers a very merry Christmas.
Hope you all have a magical time and this Christmas is everything you wanted and wished for. 🥂
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Well now... there's something you don't see on every day... (12 days away so usual caveats apply)
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ECMWF seasonal signalling a possible switch from La Nina to El Nino starting as early as this summer
Last time we went from a triple dip Nina straight to Nino was... 1976! 🤫
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Remembering all those loved ones that are no longer be with us - but very much remain part of our Christmases - On this Christmas Eve ❤️
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Tonight's ECM 12z run finished up with most of the UK covered in snow by 23rd January!
The return of
#SnowWatch
soon? 😮
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Ooo.. ECM 00z has trended Thursday and Friday's low southwards... More of the country kept in the cold and greater snow potential (as long as the low doesn't end up in France lol 😂 )
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*Whisper it* 🤫 Looks like we have agreement from UKMO, ICON, GFS, GEM and ECM for a potentially cold and wintry start to next week! 👀
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Evening everyone from NGH. Yes I’m still alive lol! 😂
I hear the weathers turned a bit on the chilly side? 🥶
Think we’ll have a lot to discuss when the vids return later this week… Watch this space 👀
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GFS 18z opening the door to easterly winds via a Scandinavian High by the middle of next week.
Winter. Is. Coming. 🥶
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Have to say JMA 500z height anomaly for February looks pretty darn epic if you like cold weather... Milder weather on the way but winter 2023/24 may still have a lot more left to give...
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Epic GFS 18z (aka the Pub Run) with massive Greenland blocking and northerly winds by day ten 🥶
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All I Want For Christmas Is...
A Sudden Stratospheric Warming? 😮😀
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Thanks so much to all of you for your lovely messages. The funeral went very well and we gave my mum the send off she would have wanted and deserved. ♥️
Now it's time to go on... so from tomorrow all of the videos will return and...
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When I was younger, spending the whole night at my bedroom watching the outside lights to see if/when rain would turn to snow or it would start snowing.
Don't do that anymore as it's not easy to last all night when you're 46... 😇
What’s something you do as a weather enthusiast that non-enthusiasts will never understand?
Mine is probably setting a 3:30am alarm to watch the 00z outputs at times of very interesting weather, usually snow.. 😬
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Who remembers this?
"Pitch up your tents and soak up the atmosphere"
I've not said it since 2019... Been a long three years hasn't it?
But...
Glasto. Updates. Are. Coming.
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GFS starting to become quite consistent with the possibility of a northerly blast in around ten days! 👀🥶
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ECM, GFS and GEM all building in high pressure next week - Not necessarily all that warm (at least initially) but a significant pattern change to something much drier and potentially warmer could be on the way?
Spring proper about to commence? 🤞
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Hey everyone, look who's back 👀
Very Cool And Unsettled June Continues.
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Good morning from NGH (we're early risers here 😉 )
Thanks so much everyone for all of your lovely messages. You are all incredibly kind.
Recovery from my
#mouthcancer
operation continues and I'm hoping to get home tomorrow.
#beatingcancer
#NoSurrender
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GWV is 6 years old today so Happy Birthday to us!!!!!!! 😀
Anyone for cake?
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Thanks so much for all the support, love and kindness you've given to me this year. You've got me through some of the worst moments in my life and I thank you all so very much. ❤️
I'd like to wish you all a fabulous, prosperous and healthy 2023.
Happy New Year. X
Gavin
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GFS 12z not all that far away from unleashing The Beast between Christmas and New Year 😮
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I'm so sorry everyone but I'm afraid I'm in too much pain with my tooth/mouth/jaw/face etc etc to be able to do any more videos or livestreams today. Going to take the afternoon off and rest up.
I'll let everyone know how I am tomorrow.
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GFS 00z shows an SSW (Sudden Stratospheric Warming) for the first time this season (and it's VERY early in the Winter to see this showing up in the model output)
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Extended GFS model is now out to
#Glasto
Thursday (22nd June) - 384hrs - That's a LONG way out and is classed as unreliable timeframe... but overall the most recent 12z run doesn't look too bad with a nice ridge from the Azores High just to our south west...
Glasto updates begin
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GFS 18z control run is epic for cold/snow potential for mid-January... ❄️
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Gosh GFS 18z looking very snowy for parts of Wales, the Midlands, northern and eastern England over Christmas! 👀
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Big snow event doe some parts of central England on Thursday with tonight's hi-res ICON 18z - Expect many changes in the coming days so
#WatchThisSpace
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Would like to wish all GWV viewers and followers a lovely new years eve and all the best for 2024. 🍾🥂🥳
Hopefully 2024 will be a wonderful year of good health and prosperity for all of you.
Happy New Year.
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The 2024
#GlastonburyFestival
will be within full extended GFS timeframe tomorrow so the countdown to
#Glasto
gets underway @ GWV tomorrow evening 👀
#GastoWeather
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I know I shouldn't... But I can't let this pass without comment - Ladies and gentlemen I give you tonight's GFS 18 (Pub Rub)
O.M.G!!!!!!
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It's now 45 years since the famous New Year blizzard of 1978/1979!
The wait continues...
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Wow, wow, wow latest update from ECMWF extended model which has just updated this evening looks very interesting for December.
Will have a video going through this update tomorrow at 7pm but here's a couple of little teasers for you!
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ICON 12z has shifted markedly towards a cold Christmas:
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GFS 12z going for a sudden stratospheric warming for the start of December! 😲
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As everyone else had posted it I might as well...
Tonight's EC 12z certainly set the cat among the pigeons!
If it verified November would end very cold and we'd expect
#uksnow
in places.
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I'd like to wish all GWV viewers, followers and supporters a very merry Christmas.
Have a wonderful time everyone. ❤️
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Final Tweet of 2018 - Huge thanks to all of you for your constant support and kindness.
GWV this year (GWV website served over 2 million page views for the first time ever this year while YT channel is nearing 2 million video views)
Big thanks to all of you. Happy New Year.
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Hi-Res UKV 12z now going for 43C (109F) on Tuesday 😱
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DWD ICON trends Wednesday's low and snow possibilities further north again... Notice the snow over northern England on a cold front too?
Now wouldn't it be interesting if the cold front met of channel low somewhere over southern England?
Wed/Thu still one to 👀
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Hey everyone, just to let you all know I'm fine but my mum (Mrs P) has become very poorly again and had to go back into hospital, so that's why I'm not updating/uploading at the moment.
Thanks as always for your concern and I'll keep you all posted of course. ♥️
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Well here we go then... Here's the fourth update for the 2023 Glastonbury Festival
#Enjoy
#Glasto
#GlastoWeather
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Happy New Year to all of your from GWV.
See you next year
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Strat getting ready to pop between Christmas and New Year? 👀
#SSW
#SuddenStratosphericWarming
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BOOM!!!
Here's the second update for the
#GlastonburyFestival
from GWV...
See what you think to this.
#GlastoWeather
#Enjoy
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Well I may have ruined people's Christmases and made their kids cry... but I'll still wish everyone a Merry Christmas lol!
Hopefully your day will be amazing and everything you could possibly have wished for (whether it snows or not)
#MerryChristmas
from all of us at GWV
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Not going to verify (probably) but tonights GFS 12z managed to produce a White Christmas for large parts of the country. ❄️🎄
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RIP Queen Elizabeth II.
Thanks for all you did. You did great.
Rest in peace.
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Outbreaks of heavy and persistent snow pushing in from the east on a strong east to northeasterly wind - Been a while hasn't it? 😲😉👀❄️
#uksnow
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DWD/ICON 18z forecasting heavy snow for parts of England and Wales on Saturday night/Sunday morning
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UKMO 12z gives a fresh plot twist by having the cold air significantly further south than most of the model output on Christmas Eve (and it's about to run a secondary low into the cold air...)
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Cold and very wet start to November with the GFS 06z.
Do I spy a little bit of northern blocking sending the jet and the areas of low pressure southwards as well? 😂
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ECM 12z is one of the hottest runs I've ever seen tonight!!!! 😲
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Whether the UK and Ireland are included is another issue due to our proximity to the Atlantic, but there are increasing signs much of northern Europe could be plunged a big freeze for Christmas.
Watch this space! 🥶
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Hey everyone, I’m fine but currently in hospital l with a fractured ankle.
Expected to be here until next week. Will keep you informed.🤙
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Oh dear, oh dear, oh dear. Look away now if you've for plans for Saturday
Latest UKV is suggesting there will be torrential rain, +70MPH winds (which will potentially cause mayhem with the trees in full leaf) and cold temperatures barely scraping the teens Celsius in places!
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Thank you so much everyone for all of the support in 2021 - You have been so kind and generous.
I want wish you all a happy, healthy and prosperous 2022.
May all your dreams and wishes come true in the coming year.
Gavin
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Looking at tonight's 12z model runs I wonder of next week could see something similar to early March 1995 when southerly tracking lows brought a snow event at the end of an otherwise very mild and wet winter?
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A new milestone has been reached for GWV today as the GWV YoTube Channel how now passed 4 Million video views! 😲
Big, big, big thank you to all of you! 😃
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Gosh, SSW (Sudden Stratospheric Warming) showing up on GFS 06z run in the first week of January.
Long way out so may not verify but it could be one to 👀over Christmas.
#SlowBurner
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Hmmmmmmmmm... The Big Three (GFS, GEM and ECM) all looking poised at day ten - Tuesday 21sy January - to start pulling down northern winds?
Something brewing?
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