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Forward Guidance

@ForwardGuidance

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Macro Investing Podcast Hosted by @fejau_inc Telegram: https://t.co/cccyP3IXAA

Joined June 2022
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
14 hours
🎙️NEW POD: Why Today’s Economy Serves Assets, Not Workers We Cover: 🔸 Asset-driven feudalism 🔸 Why Main St. only had 6 days 🔸 Broken market structure 🔸 Where real growth is hiding 🔸 AI capital misallocation & more! @kuppyskorner @Tyler_Neville_ Links Below ↓
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
14 hours
Apple 🎙️: https://t.co/wNBczUJzOj Spotify 🎙️: https://t.co/wFlYJ6LuWM YouTube 🎥:
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
20 hours
The “massive rate-cut cycle” narrative is fading @themarketradar Terminal rates are roughly where they were last summer, yet the 10-year is ~50bps higher, meaning term premium has widened Cut the front end for the wrong reasons and the market will simply reprice the long end
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@10minutedrill
10 Minute Drill
2 days
🎙️New Episode: December 18, 2025 -President Trump’s address to the nation -Brown shooting investigation mishaps -Trump admin’s shift on China and chips -Chinese billionaires exploiting surrogacy in America -The latest celeb touting socialism -Eric Swalwell’s major milestone
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
2 days
“True QE” is about suppressing the long end to force certain behavior @themarketradar By buying duration, the Fed disincentivizes saving, bond-buying, and cash hoarding, pushing capital back into risk and spending to avoid deflation. Without long-end QE, liquidity stays
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
2 days
ICYMI NEW POD: How To Position In A "Slowdown" Regime We Cover: 🔸 Growth & inflation impulses 🔸 The Fed’s inflation dilemma 🔸 Signal from conflicting inputs 🔸 Right way to think about liquidity 🔸 2026 predictions @themarketradar @fejau_inc Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction
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@themarketradar
Market Radar
3 days
Was a pleasure chatting again on @ForwardGuidance Understanding the current regime is extremely important right now
@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
3 days
🎙️NEW POD: How To Position In A "Slowdown" Regime We Cover: 🔸 Growth & inflation impulses 🔸 The Fed’s inflation dilemma 🔸 Signal from conflicting inputs 🔸 Right way to think about liquidity 🔸 2026 predictions @themarketradar @fejau_inc Links Below ↓
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@fejau_inc
fejau
3 days
Excited to announce that I will sitting down with @SteveMiran for a fireside chat at the upcoming @blockworksDAS !
@blockworksDAS
Digital Asset Summit 2026
3 days
ANNOUNCING Federal Reserve Board Governor @SteveMiran will join @fejau_inc for a fireside chat on Day 2 of DAS NYC 2026 March 25th. Don't miss it.
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
3 days
The Fed is truly stuck between a rock and a hard place @themarketradar Taking inflation from ~2.9% to 2.0% likely requires over-tightening and risking a 20–25% equity drawdown But is that last 90bps of inflation worth trillions in destroyed wealth?
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
3 days
🎙️NEW POD: How To Position In A "Slowdown" Regime We Cover: 🔸 Growth & inflation impulses 🔸 The Fed’s inflation dilemma 🔸 Signal from conflicting inputs 🔸 Right way to think about liquidity 🔸 2026 predictions @themarketradar @fejau_inc Links Below ↓
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
6 days
We talk a lot about “controlling volatility” in markets, but volatility doesn't just disappear, it migrates into society through politics The bottom 50% owns a rounding error of total assets, leaving them with a "nothing to lose" attitude and growing affinity for incendiary
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
6 days
@Tyler_Neville_ @qthomp @fejau_inc Check out the full episode & more below! ↓ ➤ YouTube 🎥: https://t.co/9YWchf8yVK ➤ Apple🎙️: https://t.co/QKiOpJZ4y1 ➤ Spotify🎙️: https://t.co/zzFZkDqYOa
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
6 days
@Tyler_Neville_ @qthomp @fejau_inc Key Takeaways: • The Fed has entered a quiet liquidity-support regime. • Volatility is being suppressed and transmuted into society (politics). • Market leadership is rotating away from megacaps. • Social-political pressure is the unintended consequence of financial
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
6 days
@Tyler_Neville_ @qthomp @fejau_inc The sad irony is crypto should thrive in this environment but isn’t. Most assets were inflated by VC markup culture, DAT leverage, and speculative froth. The purge is painful but necessary. Bitcoin’s structural bid may return once affordability and "young liquidity" returns,
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
6 days
@Tyler_Neville_ @qthomp @fejau_inc This is why extreme political voices are suddenly mainstream: economic stagnation for the bottom 90% meets financial repression for savers. You cannot suppress financial volatility without creating social volatility. Something eventually gives.
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
6 days
@Tyler_Neville_ @qthomp @fejau_inc And right now that volatility is migrating into society. Wealth concentration is the highest on record. Boomers own the balance sheet; younger generations are stuck with the income statement. Suppressing market vol simply pushes pressure into social and political fractures.
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
6 days
@Tyler_Neville_ @qthomp @fejau_inc A big part of this is volatility is being mechanically suppressed. Implied correlation is collapsing, FX vol is pinned, and equity vol is bleeding lower. Policymakers and systematic allocators both depend on a low-vol regime. However, volatility never disappears, it just
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@SoFi
SoFi
2 months
Enhanced yield without high-risk bonds.
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
6 days
@Tyler_Neville_ @qthomp @fejau_inc Meanwhile, credit markets remain pretty calm. High-yield spreads sitting near cycle lows. Yield-to-worst is sub-7%. Refinancing windows are open. In a world where even weak companies can cheaply fund themselves, default cycles get deferred.
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@ForwardGuidance
Forward Guidance
6 days
@Tyler_Neville_ @qthomp @fejau_inc However, asset selection is still critical. Precious metals and cyclicals are leading. Mega-cap tech looks extended as the market is beginning to discount high CapEx, rising supply of competing AI chips, and stretched multiples. Narrow leadership is losing dominance and we're
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