Michael Fiddle
@FiddlesPicks
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I host a WNBA Sharp Betting Live Show at 12 noon ET streamed right here on my X Mon/Weds/Thurs. NBA Contributor @ActionNetworkHQ 🏀 @FiddlesBot tracks all plays
Joined March 2022
🏀 WNBA Best Bets Sunday July 13th 🏀. NY Liberty -3.5 (-112, 0,75u).NY Liberty -4 (0.5u).ATL Dream @ NY Liberty Ov 166.5 (0.5u).CON Sun @ LA Sparks Ov 161 (0.75u).Caitlin Clark 15+ Points (-186, 0.2u).Caitlin Clark Triple Double (+3100, 0.1u). CC TRIP DUB TO BRING ME 3K!. Ps: my
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We were really all told it was going to be one of the craziest NBA Summers ever and KD gets traded for pennies and Myles Turner drama has taken center stage. .
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People know I am not afraid one bit to lay whatever juice on a bet. As long as the expected hit rate exceeds the implied probability, I'm in. That being said here are the avg odds I am betting into, separated by every month this year, and weighted based on my exposure. July:.
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^the average odds weighted to bet size is -101 to add context. 35% hit rate could be great if i was betting +300s regularly.
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5 straight losing days in the WNBA. -3.5u cumulative loss through the stretch, so its not a big problem, its the fact that through 42 bets I'm +CLV on 86% of them and those are hitting at a 35% rate. Just annoying variance. Capping great, crushing the market, losing bets. Ugh.
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Aces -2 pushes on the most insanely fucking ridiculous backdoor push/cover for the Valkyries. Back to back quick shot 3s, an offensive rebound to barely get a shot off down 4 with 0.1 seconds remaining deep 2 goes in for the push. SOOOO ANNOYING.
I care about betting -2 and the line closing at -4. Literally nothing else. Out of my hands from here. Beautifully done. Go Aces.
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Chauncey Billups 10000% court side at the Valkyries @ Aces game. Obviously hes in Vegas helping with Blazers Summer League stuff, but nice to see him randomly on camera behind Becky Hammon during this game.
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The Fiddle method is just PRICE SENSITIVITY. It means:. I dont give a shit what side you want, get the best number for whatever you bet, and use the right bet type. it doesnt mean tail me at 2 points worse a number. Fine with Valks +4 if u want it.
@FiddlesPicks I’m 100% a believer in the Fiddle method, but I can’t tell you how much I want Valkies +4 right now.
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I care about betting -2 and the line closing at -4. Literally nothing else. Out of my hands from here. Beautifully done. Go Aces.
@FiddlesPicks @UnderdogWNBA Aja may play but they might restrict her minutes tho.
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CBS BROADCAST ON A'JA WILSON. THIS JUST IN, AJA WILSON WILL PLAY. SHE IS IN THE STARTING LINEUP. @fiddlespicks faster than @UnderdogWNBA 👀.
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SHES IN!!!!!!!!!!!!.
A'ja Wilson is gonna play. ???.
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Upgraded to 1u. Played both the DK and CZ lines. Shes warming up without a brace. There are videos circulating.
I took a -2. 0.5u. CZ and DK have it.
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I took a -2. 0.5u. CZ and DK have it.
A'ja Wilson is gonna play. ???.
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As an Angel Reese supporter, its nice to see all the love shes getting for playing another great game today. That being said, this was the one fucking day I bet her Points Under prop. 🤦♂️.
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During the dog show is iconic. RHYNE HOWARD DAWGGGGGG MENTALITY.
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