Daryl Fairweather, PhD | Chief Economist
@FairweatherPhD
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Chief economist @Redfin🏡, author of HATE THE GAME📕 @UChicagoPress, @Forbes contributor ✍🏽, Mama👦🏽👧🏽, Funkateer🛸🎶, @UChicago & @MIT alum
HateTheGameBook.com 📕 🛒
Joined September 2018
If you are looking for a present 🎁 for a college or early-career family member or friend, consider gifting my book: Hate the Game: Economic Cheat Codes for Life, Love and Work. Steven Levitt called it "Fabulous--unlike any economics book I've ever read!"
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Throwback to my 2012 Becker Friedman Institute talk. Proof that getting a PhD doesn't have to age you.
Two weeks ago I lectured at my alma mater, the University of Chicago, about my book, Hate the Game: Economic Cheat Codes for Life, Love, and Work. I was stunned by the hundreds of attendees; dozens had to stand! The talk is now on YouTube. Check it out:
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Two weeks ago I lectured at my alma mater, the University of Chicago, about my book, Hate the Game: Economic Cheat Codes for Life, Love, and Work. I was stunned by the hundreds of attendees; dozens had to stand! The talk is now on YouTube. Check it out:
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🚨 Actress Diane Keaton’s Cause of Death Revealed Read more
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Prediction 11: AI Will Become a Real Estate Matchmaker Generative AI will increasingly help people decide where to move, identifying neighborhoods and homes that fit users’ budgets and lifestyle criteria.
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Prediction 10: NAR Will Let Local MLSs Call the Shots, Sparking Consolidation NAR, for its part, will focus on advocacy. Putting local MLSs in the driver’s seat will accelerate consolidation with many smaller branches joining bigger networks.
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Prediction 9: Climate Migration Will Go Hyperlocal As climate-driven events like floods and wildfires become more frequent and intense, climate will become a more popular reason to move. Some will move cross country, but many more will move to less vulnerable parts of the same
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Prediction 8: NYC Outskirts, Great Lakes Region Will Be Hot … Zoom Towns Like Nashville and Austin Will Not The Midwest and Great Lakes regions have wide appeal because they’re fairly affordable and provide relatively safe havens against climate-related events like wildfires
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Comfort never looked this good. From chill mornings to late nights out — this sweatshirt’s got your back. Get it now 👉 https://t.co/k2oozr3Wcp
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Prediction 7: More Americans Will Refi and Remodel We expect U.S. mortgage refinance volume to increase more than 30% annually in 2026, ending the year at a total of $670 billion. More Americans will refinance largely because 20% of mortgaged homeowners have a rate above 6%.
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Prediction 6: Affordability Crisis Will Unite Policymakers Across Party Lines The YIMBY movement will pick up more supporters across party lines, opening the door for initiatives that increase housing supply.
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Prediction 5: High Housing Costs Will Reshape Households, With More Roommates and Fewer Babies. We expect a surge in multigenerational renovations as families consolidate to save money.
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Prediction 4: Rents Will Rise As Demand For Apartments Rises and Supply Falls Demand for apartments will rise as supply falls in 2026, leading to rising rents in many metro areas. Nationwide, we expect rents to rise about 2% to 3% year over year by the end of 2026, roughly the
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Prediction 3: Home Sales Will Rise 3% We predict that sales of existing homes will end 2026 up 3% from 2025, with sales coming in at an annualized rate of 4.2 million.
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Prediction 2: Homebuying Affordability Will Improve As Wages Grow Faster Than Prices This is the turning point. It won't be an instant fix for affordability, but the gap between wages and housing costs will finally start to close.
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Prediction 1: Mortgage Rates Will Dip to Low-6% Range, One Factor Improving Affordability Mortgage rates will continue their slow slide but remain high relative to the pandemic era. The 30-year fixed rate will average 6.3% for the entire year, down from its 2025 average of 6.6%.
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Redfin just finalized our 2026 Housing Market Predictions. We are calling the year ahead "The Great Housing Reset." It won’t be a crash, and it won’t be a boom. It is the beginning of a long, slow recovery where the math finally starts to change.
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Recently, Zillow made headlines by removing climate risk information from their listings. At Redfin, we are taking a different approach. We are keeping this data because we believe knowledge is power—not just for buyers (which I posted about earlier), but for current homeowners
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Why Redfin is keeping climate risk data (even if others aren't). There is a divide forming in the real estate world regarding data transparency. Recently, Zillow removed climate risk data following pressure from agents concerned about impact on home values. At Redfin, we took a
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If you are looking for a present 🎁 for a college or early-career family member or friend, consider gifting my book: Hate the Game: Economic Cheat Codes for Life, Love and Work. Steven Levitt called it "Fabulous--unlike any economics book I've ever read!"
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