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EvenSteven

@EvenSteven

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Pro bettor 📊 | Helping bettors win smarter with +EV & arbing strategies | Focused on discipline, edges, and bankroll growth | Book a 1-1 session 👇

Indiana, USA
Joined August 2020
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
29 days
October Results... what an INSANE month 📈 Pikkit Verified: +$29,024 Offshores/Exchanges (non-Pikkit): +$-2,673 @Kalshi :+$153,000 ‼️ Bonuses / Cashback: +$7,421 @bookiebanditgg + Partnerships: +$35,600 👀 GRAND TOTAL $222,372 My best month yet BY FAR, and I have to give a
@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
2 months
September Results 📈 Huge month across all avenues this month: Pikkit Verified: +$61,995 🔥 Offshores/Exchanges (non-Pikkit): +$4,931 Kalshi/Prediction Markets :+$3,050 Bonuses / Cashback: +$12,307 🤯 @bookiebanditgg + Partnerships: +$1,788 ➡️ Total September Profit: +$84,071
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
1 day
fun times occasionally
@accnetwork
ACC Network
1 day
PITT BEATS OHIO STATE AT THE BUZZER 🚨 😱 @Pitt_MBB | #SCtop10
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
6 days
CFB saturday was pretty stellar on Kalshi again 🤝 100k month on there after this past week. some big wins, including a 4K middle 🤑 goat live betting tool below, check it out 7-day free trial: https://t.co/ST2BUBgJrK
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
7 days
sometimes its just meant to be 🤷‍♂️💸
@LegionHoops
Legion Hoops
7 days
The Hawks tried to run out the clock but Derik Queen had other plans 💀 (h/t @Fullcourtpass) https://t.co/s1F18WNEGm
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
9 days
when it actually goes through the hoop
@CBBonFOX
FOX College Hoops
9 days
USC WINS IT AT THE BUZZER IN TRIPLE OVERTIME 🤯🤯 @USC_Hoops
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
10 days
fwiw, here's a writeup from KPMG from earlier this year on this topic: https://t.co/AOYXoXkDCV
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
10 days
‼️Need someone to say this louder…. There needs to be more discussion on this.. Are sports contracts bought/sold on CFTC regulated exchanges considered gambling? ….because it changes the net tax effect dramatically for many US pros next year. I personally believe sports
@goldenpants013
GoldenPants13
10 days
@rxgamble @ZakTheCPA I am not a CPA and obviously biased. But I can't see how someone could reasonably believe these to not be Futures Contracts without specific clarification from the IRS. They are approved & listed by the CFTC - and if they are not 1256 contracts then they are....swaps? Which
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
15 days
okay sure.... but can you at least put some live CFB/CBB lines up for more games? pretty atrocious offering😂 let alone there are ZERO for CBB right now as of this tweet.
@bet_105
Bet105
15 days
BREAKING: bet105 will NEVER partner with Kalshi and their AWFUL lines Kalshi partners with everyone. We're focused on what actually matters: delivering better lines, tighter spreads, and zero limits on winning play bet105 = Bettors First EVERY SINGLE TIME💰
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
18 days
These edges don’t last long. The books are not gonna let you win infinite money... But once you understand why they happen — you can find them weekly, across multiple games and books. You just need to take the time to look. I personally spend about 15-20 hours a month looking
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
18 days
...but every week, the formula stayed the same: 1️⃣ Build a correlated base (QB/WR, TDs, and game total) 2️⃣ Add one conflicting leg (under WR receptions/yards) 3️⃣ Watch for payout spikes 4️⃣ Cross-check with Pikkit Pro (or manually to other books) If it’s paying way above
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
18 days
Through my own work, kiosking, and a close group of trusted individuals, I was able to profit over $65k across 2,500 bets or so. ...was also left on the hook for about 15 more SGPs for $100K or so. still upset by that 🤣 looking at you Noah Fant.... 😢 would have needed a
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
18 days
And this process works repeatedly. Here’s 2 examples I hit for $12.4K and $9.5K following the exact same principles 👇 6-leg SGP on Dak Prescott + George Pickens + Jake Ferguson +12400. 5-leg SGP on Sam Darnold + Cooper Kupp + Jaxon Smith-Njigba +12700 From there, I applied
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
18 days
When I cross-checked on Pikkit Pro Lineshopper, no other sportsbook was anywhere close to that payout. FanDuel, BetRivers, Hard Rock — all clustered near the fair +3000 range. Caesars? Still showing +28,000. That’s what a true SGP edge looks like. 📈
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
18 days
In reality, Goedert going under his yards but scoring a TD while Hurts throws 2+ TDs is rare — but not impossible. The SPG engine treated it like random chaos instead of a slightly reduced probability. That’s where the mispricing came from...
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
18 days
Then I added one more leg: 👉 Goedert Under 35.5 Receiving Yards And suddenly, the SGP payout jumped from about +3000 to over +28000 on Caesars. The book’s algorithm was breaking — it didn’t know how to handle negative correlation inside a very correlated parlay 🤯
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
18 days
It started simple. I built a correlated SGP on Pikkit, just messing around for a 25% odds boost I had on Fanduel... Hurts Over 196.5 Passing Yards ✅ Hurts Over 1.5 Passing TDs ✅ A.J. Brown Anytime TD ✅ Dallas Goedert Anytime TD ✅ Over 40.5 Total Points ✅ Everything looked
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
18 days
A few weeks ago, I said I’d start revealing some of my best edges this year 👀 Well, here’s one — a wild SGP pricing error I found using Pikkit Pro's Lineshopper, and more importantly, how I profited LARGE it before it disappeared. 🧵👇
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
18 days
cats tonight 🐱
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
20 days
more competition is good! let’s go @PlayProphetX!
@PlayProphetX
ProphetX
20 days
Big day at ProphetX. 📈 We’ve officially filed with the @CFTC to become a Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization. The first step toward launching a regulated, sports-native prediction market in the U.S. Here’s what that means👇
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@EvenSteven
EvenSteven
20 days
goat live betting tool as always 🐐 clean sweep in 1H for SNF 🧹 get in for the 2nd half tonight 👇
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