Evan Abrams
@EvanHAbrams
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Media & Research Director for @ActionNetworkHQ | Previously: @NBA @ESPN @SportsCenter @ESPNStatsInfo @Bloomberg @DonBestSports | ๐๐ป: https://t.co/89P8myJX0L
New York, NY
Joined May 2010
โข Super Bowl Chaos: 17 teams under 50-1 ๐ฎ โข Highest TNF total since 2020 ๐ โข Teams w/ 60%+ bets: 46-78 ATS (37%) โ ๏ธ โข Lowest O/U history, wind games, 2-21 vs. Mahomes & more Welcome to Week 14 @ActionNetworkHQ โคต๏ธ https://t.co/OrER8wnPxb
actionnetwork.com
A fantastic Thursday Night Football game, seven divisional matchups and two great night games highlight a great Week 14. Also, we have a total of 33.5 and a total
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Since 2010, we've only seen two NFL O/Us close at 33.5 or less in freezing temperatures -- which Titans/Browns is sitting at currently: โข Jets/Patriots: 28.5 in 2023 (17-3 final) โข Saints/Browns: 32.5 in 2022 (17-10 final)
๐ป Titans vs. Browns opens with a Total of 33.5. Thatโs the lowest Total this season, per @EvanHAbrams
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Nuggets have now lost four straight home games, with all four coming as a 7+ point favorite... They are just the third team to do that since 2000, joining the '22 Celtics and '01 Spurs.
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Giants & Jets have now played a combined 43 night games since the start of the 2019 season... They are ๐-๐๐ ๐๐ in those games, including 1-19 on the road. Just a terrible stretch.
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going LIVE with @EvanHAbrams & @D_Payne101 to talk about that absolutely riveting day of football, plus takeaways from all the holiday games, Monday Night Football preview, and Hot Read at @ActionNetworkHQ
https://t.co/6MkpE6RfBr
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The Bo Nix heist continues ๐ ๐ Nix as a favorite 2025: 7-1 SU, 2-6 ATS 2024: 8-0 SU, 8-0 ATS He's 15-1 SU as a favorite career, 15-0-1 in a 7-pt tease as a fav. as well -- worst QBs as fav. this year โคต๏ธ
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We had a week of NFL windy unders... ๐ฌ๏ธ โข Games w/ 7+ MPH winds went 7-1 to the under this week, 9-1 the last two weeks & 18-6 since Week 10. โข Games w/ 10+ MPH winds are 20-8 to the under this yr & 125-70 (64%) since 2022 (data via @Bet_Labs).
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Justin Herbert is now 21-9-1 ATS vs. the AFC West in his career, covering the spread in 8 straight... He hasn't lost ATS vs. AFC West since 2023. Since he was drafted in 2020, Herbert is the best QB ATS vs. his own division โคต๏ธ
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Panthers have 7 outright wins as an underdog already this year... That is tied w/ 2016 Bucs for most wins as a dog thru 13 games in the Super Bowl era
Panthers upset the Rams as 10-pt underdogs... + McVay had been 20-0 SU as a road fav of 4+ pts before today, winning 15 straight as a road fav overall + Carolina wins 2 games as a double-digit dog in same season for 1st time since 1996
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Panthers upset the Rams as 10-pt underdogs... + McVay had been 20-0 SU as a road fav of 4+ pts before today, winning 15 straight as a road fav overall + Carolina wins 2 games as a double-digit dog in same season for 1st time since 1996
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Saints are now 1-11 against the 1st quarter spread (0-11-1 1Q ML) this season, worst mark in the NFL... New Orleans has been outscored 92-19 in the twelve 1st quarters.
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No NFL game today currently has a total of 46 or more... This would be the first NFL Sunday since Week 1 of 2011 without a total of 46+ -- talking wind, totals & more @ActionNetworkHQ โคต๏ธ https://t.co/NhqcHVchvj
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Favorites of 4+ pts went 40-6 SU in CFB rivalry week (27-19 ATS). Among Power 5, they went 22-1 SU w/ SMU-Cal.
@EvanHAbrams I think SMU is the only P4 favorite over 3 pts to lose this rivalry weekend. Seems like an outlier weekend for favorites SU
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Underdogs are now 22-28-1 SU in any primetime window this year -- night, International, etc -- a $100 bettor would be up $1,276 taking each dog outright (25% ROI).
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Ben Johnson is now 7-4-1 ATS as head coach of the Bears, profiting a $100 bettor $250 this year. That is currently the highest ATS mark for any Bears head coach since Mike Ditka, who was there btwn 1982-92.
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Joe Burrow has closed as an underdog of 3 pts or more 21 times now after tonight... He is 18-3 ATS & 13-1 ATS since 2021
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Packers +2.5 โ
Cowboys +3.5 โ
Bengals +7 โ
For the first time since 2003 & just 3rd time since 1990, underdogs go undefeated outright on Thanksgiving.
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In the Wild Card era (since 1990), favorites of 7 points or more on Thanksgiving are 30-5 SU and 25-10 ATS per @EvanHAbrams โ
@Ravens -7 vs. Bengals on Thanksgiving Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Matt LaFleur is now 21-18 SU as an underdog as coach of the Packersโฆ The only coach above .500 SU as a dog with this many games in the Super Bowl era.
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Under LaFleur, Green Bay is now 19-6-1 ATS as an underdog of 3 points or more per @EvanHAbrams What a bad loss for the Lions.
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