Michael McDonald
@ElectProject
Followers
89K
Following
2K
Media
2K
Statuses
49K
Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections.
Gainesville, FL
Joined September 2012
I've updated my CPS turnout rate demographics and posted analysis
2
2
16
I still post here to relay my substack postings that may be of interest to those not on B lu esKy, but really, if you're still here you need to rethink being on a platform that is actively controlling the information you see
techcrunch.com
Elon Musk’s X (formerly Twitter) is blocking links to Signal.me, a URL shortener used by the private messaging app Signal that allows users to send out a
2
4
26
With a Florida 2024 voter file with vote history released, I analyzed Florida's party registration voting patterns from 2020 to 2024
1
1
15
North Carolina posted the records of who voted in the 2024 election, which makes it possible to examine changes in turnout among voters who are registered with a political party
1
2
9
RT @BillKristol: “Debra OConnell, the Disney executive who directly oversees ABC News, dined with Mr. Trump’s incoming chief of staff, Susi….
nytimes.com
The outcome of the lawsuit marks an unusual victory for President-elect Donald J. Trump in his ongoing legal campaign against national news organizations.
0
55
0
I visualized Georgia voters' changing method of voting from the 2020 to the 2024 presidential elections
0
1
9
I made a first cut pass on the dynamics of Trump's and Harris' support by voting method in four states where election results are reported by voting method
0
2
12
I made an update pass through the states for the 2024 turnout rate. The initial estimate was based on incomplete information on projected turnout. This is based on actual turnout and outstanding ballot reports. The turnout rate is now estimated at 62.3%
9
24
45
My initial turnout rate estimate for the 2024 presidential election is a turnout rate of 64.5%. This number will likely change since not all states have fully reported yet, particularly mail ballot states
9
14
43
New Mexico as of 1pm central time shows same pattern as Florida. More no-party/minor party Election Day. Larger drop-off among registered Republicans than Democrats
4
11
55
RT @hansilowang: NEW: The elections director of Fayette County, Pa., says in a court filing that a township election judge allegedly plans….
0
36
0
RT @AlexanderShur: BREAKING: Milwaukee is going to recount every absentee ballot that had been counted because of this issue. They had alre….
0
1K
0
What if the real disinfo source was the presidential candidate we met along the way?.
From colleague @holmeslybrand: The Philadelphia Police Department told CNN they were not aware what Trump was referring to and did not know of any issues with voting that required a law enforcement response.
4
68
348
CNN hasn't posted exit polls yet, which is a good thing
cnn.com
See all exit polls data for the 2024 US elections. For more information on voting and election results, visit cnn.com/election.
5
3
36
Exit polls are used to help us understand why people voted the way they did. They are not to project who will win. Use the actual election results to know who wins.
5
35
153
Among other things. the wave three surveys from the afternoon/evening are not in yet and the survey results have not been weighted to the actual precinct results (eventually, they'll be weighted to the statewide results, too).
1
1
39
In advance of exit poll crosstabs going live on the networks at 5pm
9
57
313
RT @kyle_ingram11: .@NCSBE voted to extend voting by 30 minutes in two precincts, one in Wilson County and one in Burke County. In each c….
0
25
0
RT @BenWessel: Dawg, if you don’t think we are calling, texting, DMing, showing up at people’s houses, literally screaming into the void, t….
0
22
0