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Emma Schubart Profile
Emma Schubart

@ESchubart

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Data Manager @ASI

Joined February 2021
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@rcolvile
Robert Colvile
2 days
Haven't really stopped laughing since I read this
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
3 days
We should expect a Muslim sectarian sweep across the country in the May council elections. It's already happened in Lancashire, whose councillor says she wants to "prevent free-mixing" between sexes. My piece on the Muslim sectarian electoral strategyšŸ‘‡
@TheCriticMag
The Critic
3 days
ā€œGaza Independents are organising a parallel political project,ā€ argues @ESchubart, ā€œWith a fundamentally non-civic conception of representationā€ https://t.co/Sc7RvSm2qt
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@rorygeo
Rory Geoghegan
3 days
With so much public concern about public safety, immigration and integration, cutting back on crime statistics doesn't seem particularly sensible. The ONS has decided to "substantially narrow" their work, including "reviewing funding" and "broader work" on crime statistics.šŸ‘‡
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
4 days
So if Muslim sectarian candidates manage to avoid running against each other this time, their number of council seats (and later parliamentary seats) will likely jump.
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
4 days
This matters because in May, council elections will take place in areas with significant Muslim populations (e.g. Tower Hamlets: 40% Muslim; Newham: 35%; Redbridge: 31%).
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
4 days
But in Leicester South (37% Muslim) a Gaza Independent actually won, despite splitting the vote with another Gaza Independent candidate.
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
4 days
And Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood came within 3,000 votes of losing her seat to a Gaza Independent in Birmingham Ladywood (53% Muslim).
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
4 days
And where the Gaza Independents didn't win, they closed huge gaps. Just look at Ilford North, (33% Muslim) where Health Secretary Wes Streeting held the seat by only 528 votes.
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
4 days
And in Ilford South (44% Muslim) Labour managed to beat out 2 Gaza challengers running against each other.
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
4 days
And in Bethnal Green and Stepney (50% Muslim) Labour came within 1,000 votes of losing the seat. Had the 3 Gaza Independents coordinated, they could have at come much closer to closing that gap.
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
4 days
And in Bradford West (62% Muslim), Labour only won by 707 votes. Had the 3 Gaza Independents combined, they would have won easily.
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
4 days
Like in Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley (58% Muslim) where Labour won with 12,798 votes. But 3 Gaza Independents ran separately. Had they combined, they could have beat out Labour with 13,301 votes.
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
4 days
Even the campaign network behind the Gaza Independents (called The Muslim Vote) says that the number of Gaza Independent MPs could have doubled in 2024 if they had simply coordinated and unified their ballots.
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
4 days
In the last General Election, Gaza Independents were often losing because: 1) they competed against each other, splitting the same vote and/or 2) low Muslim turnout So the Gaza Independent seat count in Parliament could have easily been much higher.
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
4 days
In 2024, 5 Gaza Independents made it to Parliament. But in reality they nearly won double that number, and likely will do so next time. A 🧵on how the Muslim sectarian voting shift has actually been understated so far:
@TheCriticMag
The Critic
4 days
The Gaza Independents are winning because they are pursuing an organisational strategy. But that strategy can be countered, argues @ESchubart
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
5 days
Hope Not Hate has received at least £224,900 from the Joseph Rowntree Charitable Trust since 2018. It pays to be an activist charity in the UK.
@ClaireCoutinho
Claire Coutinho
5 days
Philanthropy is broken. Big charities are captured by radical activists and increasingly misused for political aims. The great Victorian philanthropists (like Rowntree) built schools, hospitals, parks and homes. Now we get Ā£92k salaries for 35 hours a week on ā€˜reparations.’
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
6 days
So why does this matter?Ā Because it means that the British State cannot describe the country it governs. @StateDept should assume that the UK is no longer a reliable narrator of its own internal reality.
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
6 days
We’re told it’s a data privacy issue. But countries with the same GDPR regime publish far more detailed integration statistics. Germany runs national studies on Muslim integration. Canada cross-tabs religion with earnings and education.
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
6 days
Meanwhile, the UK is rolling out a fully digital immigration system (eVisas) with the tech to link records securely across services, yet still claims it cannot publish core integration indicators.
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@ESchubart
Emma Schubart
6 days
And what about radicalization trends? We only have data from Prevent (UK’s terrorism prevention program) but that only records referrals, not convictions. Plus, this data misleadingly implies that "extreme right-wing" radicalization is a greater threat than Islamism.
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