Emma Schubart
@ESchubart
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We should expect a Muslim sectarian sweep across the country in the May council elections. It's already happened in Lancashire, whose councillor says she wants to "prevent free-mixing" between sexes. My piece on the Muslim sectarian electoral strategyš
āGaza Independents are organising a parallel political project,ā argues @ESchubart, āWith a fundamentally non-civic conception of representationā https://t.co/Sc7RvSm2qt
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With so much public concern about public safety, immigration and integration, cutting back on crime statistics doesn't seem particularly sensible. The ONS has decided to "substantially narrow" their work, including "reviewing funding" and "broader work" on crime statistics.š
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So if Muslim sectarian candidates manage to avoid running against each other this time, their number of council seats (and later parliamentary seats) will likely jump.
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This matters because in May, council elections will take place in areas with significant Muslim populations (e.g. Tower Hamlets: 40% Muslim; Newham: 35%; Redbridge: 31%).
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But in Leicester South (37% Muslim) a Gaza Independent actually won, despite splitting the vote with another Gaza Independent candidate.
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And Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood came within 3,000 votes of losing her seat to a Gaza Independent in Birmingham Ladywood (53% Muslim).
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And where the Gaza Independents didn't win, they closed huge gaps. Just look at Ilford North, (33% Muslim) where Health Secretary Wes Streeting held the seat by only 528 votes.
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And in Ilford South (44% Muslim) Labour managed to beat out 2 Gaza challengers running against each other.
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And in Bethnal Green and Stepney (50% Muslim) Labour came within 1,000 votes of losing the seat. Had the 3 Gaza Independents coordinated, they could have at come much closer to closing that gap.
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And in Bradford West (62% Muslim), Labour only won by 707 votes. Had the 3 Gaza Independents combined, they would have won easily.
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Like in Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley (58% Muslim) where Labour won with 12,798 votes. But 3 Gaza Independents ran separately. Had they combined, they could have beat out Labour with 13,301 votes.
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Even the campaign network behind the Gaza Independents (called The Muslim Vote) says that the number of Gaza Independent MPs could have doubled in 2024 if they had simply coordinated and unified their ballots.
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In the last General Election, Gaza Independents were often losing because: 1) they competed against each other, splitting the same vote and/or 2) low Muslim turnout So the Gaza Independent seat count in Parliament could have easily been much higher.
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In 2024, 5 Gaza Independents made it to Parliament. But in reality they nearly won double that number, and likely will do so next time. A š§µon how the Muslim sectarian voting shift has actually been understated so far:
The Gaza Independents are winning because they are pursuing an organisational strategy. But that strategy can be countered, argues @ESchubart
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Hope Not Hate has received at least £224,900 from the Joseph Rowntree Charitable Trust since 2018. It pays to be an activist charity in the UK.
Philanthropy is broken. Big charities are captured by radical activists and increasingly misused for political aims. The great Victorian philanthropists (like Rowntree) built schools, hospitals, parks and homes. Now we get Ā£92k salaries for 35 hours a week on āreparations.ā
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So why does this matter?Ā Because it means that the British State cannot describe the country it governs. @StateDept should assume that the UK is no longer a reliable narrator of its own internal reality.
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Weāre told itās a data privacy issue. But countries with the same GDPR regime publish far more detailed integration statistics. Germany runs national studies on Muslim integration. Canada cross-tabs religion with earnings and education.
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Meanwhile, the UK is rolling out a fully digital immigration system (eVisas) with the tech to link records securely across services, yet still claims it cannot publish core integration indicators.
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And what about radicalization trends? We only have data from Prevent (UKās terrorism prevention program) but that only records referrals, not convictions. Plus, this data misleadingly implies that "extreme right-wing" radicalization is a greater threat than Islamism.
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