ConstrainedOptimization
@Dynam_Optimiz
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one of the most interesting episodes of the lex intellectual journey ever thx boss.
Here's my conversation with Risto Miikkulainen about neuroevolution and evolutionary computation. Evolutionary algorithms are fascinating in that they regularly exhibit creativity and find solutions that are truly surprising (and sometimes hilarious).
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RT @hubermanlab: Huberman Lab Podcast out now: How Our Hormones Control Our Hunger & Satiety. How light and meal timing modulate appetite,….
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RT @lexfridman: I propose a new cryptocurrency: LexCoin. It is infinitely scarce, only zero available ever, but it does exist as a Platonic….
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Am i tripping or do u just not get ads if u use tweetdeck instead of twitter?!?!.
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For this new polymarket:.Calculating average and Standard deviation tells us that the market is now right! The two most valuable outcomes are the most likely ones. I know his will cost me some profit but I will wait a few more days to enter myself tho.
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RT @lexfridman: Reality is an illusion that exists only in your mind. You are the only conscious being here. The rest of us are NPCs that….
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RT @Insight_Predict: So, we at Insight Prediction are getting closer to launching. Bookmark our page here: and als….
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RT @lexfridman: "If freedom of speech is taken away, then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter." - George Washington,….
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Interesting, lets see how they implement this. Tbh it could be really cool or really bad. If it supported a smart-contract type of system we could finally get rid of many unnecessary financial frictions in real markets, like the labor market etc.
(THREAD) At the ECB we are committed to understanding people’s needs and ensuring the digital euro would be widely accepted, writes Executive Board member Fabio Panetta with Ulrich Bindseil in The ECB Blog 1/3
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Btw, sold 101-110, bought 70-80. Made some small profits on the selling of 101-110:).
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What is this market on polymarket even?????.Ezest 15% profit by just putting everything on Jeff. The man has a NW of 20bil $ more than Elon rn. I don't understand who is taking the other side of this trade but who cares free money:)
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New polymarket twitter market = new money!!.Same process as always calculate AVG and STDEV.S. This leads to best option being to buy in the 81-110 range. (mean outcome is 91-100).Have fun and thank me later see ya.
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To get to the 80-95 outcome, 1 day at UB of distribution is needed (and none below). To get even above that, 4 days at UB are needed. This is super unlikely!! .At the odds rn buying the two lowest outcomes (below 80, 80-95) should be ez money, thank me later.
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For this polymarket bet:.Through calculate .@mtgreenee tweets x day AVG~12.5, with STDEV.S~6.2. Starting from yesterdays tweets (1373) and with 6 days to go, get Expected N=1448 (75 above benchmark)
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Still, STDEV almost never reaches LB, (up to 60 tweets/day, only once below 20).Defo not going be below 236-250 outcome .ez money gonna buy both top outcomes to secure income gg.
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