Michael Dubner
@Dubner_Michael
Followers
2K
Following
8K
Media
1K
Statuses
6K
Fantasy Football Analyst @RotoViz & @LegendaryUpside | Best Ball Exposures Tracker https://t.co/IjAzQWUyhm
New York, NY
Joined March 2017
🏈 Best Ball Exposures Tracker 🏈 ✅ Player exposures ✅ Roster constructions ✅ Stacks + Week 17 correlation ✅ Combinatorial ownership ✅ The ONLY results tracker ✅ Works across all platforms ⬇️ Download here ⬇️ https://t.co/Fc4Mb8Zaat
2
0
6
Not even wrapped up with the 2025 best ball playoffs and already deep into 2026 @LegendaryUpside sims, now itching for the new season
That's a wrap on Best Ball 2025✌️ I tracked every contest across every platform. Highlights include: 📈164+ tournaments 🔢7,000,000+ entries ⭐️$71,000,000+ in total prizes 🥇$10,500,000+ in 1st place prizes 🏆33 six-figure winners Can't wait to see what's in store for 2026!
0
0
4
🚨 Negative Rake Alert 🚨 Overlay is the MOST +EV thing to look for in contest selection Expecting 15% overlay in the @DraftersFantasy Main Event Take advantage of their promos + overlay for a -6% rake tournament Promo code DUBS: first-time $100 deposit match
⚡️FINAL DAY MAIN EVENT FLASH BONUS⚡️ Every 5 Main Event Drafts = $25 Bonus Cash💸 Earn Up To $100 Bonus Cash (Added Tomorrow)🤑 Main Event = $2.5M In Prizes, $500K To 1st… And It’s Only 80% Full👀 Massive Overlay Incoming 🚨 Draft Now Before Kickoff! 👉
0
0
1
That's a wrap on Best Ball 2025✌️ I tracked every contest across every platform. Highlights include: 📈164+ tournaments 🔢7,000,000+ entries ⭐️$71,000,000+ in total prizes 🥇$10,500,000+ in 1st place prizes 🏆33 six-figure winners Can't wait to see what's in store for 2026!
2
1
28
Overlay massively increases the Contest Score Drafters Main Event just 75% filled Promo code DUBS for $100 first-time deposit match
The @DraftersFantasy Main Event is just 60% full Only 8 Days until Lock 🔒 With an estimated 5% overlay (very conservative), the Main Event contest score SKY ROCKETS from a reasonable 43 ➡️to a very strong 55 Promo code DUBS gets you a 100% first-time deposit match
0
0
1
The @DraftersFantasy Main Event is just 60% full Only 8 Days until Lock 🔒 With an estimated 5% overlay (very conservative), the Main Event contest score SKY ROCKETS from a reasonable 43 ➡️to a very strong 55 Promo code DUBS gets you a 100% first-time deposit match
0
0
1
Got caught up on grading several new Best Ball tournaments Also after several updates, DK Is now added back into the Contest Score
6
0
16
The MOST +ev thing in best ball tournament selection... chase overlay Here's how the Contest Score for the @DraftersFantasy Main Event improves with overlay Stack the overlay with promo code DUBS for $100 deposit match & their draft 5/get 1 promo
2
0
2
Little Dalmatian 2 is extremely top-heavy 🔷20% to 1st 🔷2.7% Breakeven Rate is one of the lowest you'll see Week 17 is all that matters for this tournament... ...Plus, you're not spending the time drafting a $1 contest for a min cash anyway
@Dubner_Michael Little Dalmatian 2 just launched for $1 entry. Looks the same as the first one? Slightly more fair/EV there?
2
0
5
Just 42% full -- expect a lot of overlay on Drafters With free entries on top, this tournament will be very +EV https://t.co/cmDltJoTFY Promo code DUBS gets 100% deposit match up to $100 (better than their public offer)
0
0
6
The best part about having my Exposures tracker being in google sheets, is being able to run queries like "show me my top-5 latest Judkins shares" https://t.co/NwARR1qC1l
🏈 Best Ball Exposures Tracker 🏈 ✅ Player exposures ✅ Roster constructions ✅ Stacks + Week 17 correlation ✅ Combinatorial ownership ✅ The ONLY results tracker ✅ Works across all platforms ⬇️ Download here ⬇️ https://t.co/Fc4Mb8Zaat
0
0
2
My latest drafted Quinshon Judkins team was in a Flock contest - pick 184
1
0
4
Underdog released The Great Dane 2 💰$30,000 top-prize ✅Easy advance rate structure 👌9.4% rake (higher end for high-stakes, but still reasonable in general) ⚠️Just 10% of max-enterers will breakeven *Note the structure differs from The Great Dane 1
0
0
3
Looking through the Roster Finder and found my favorite teams this year ⭐️5-6 turn Treveyon - Harvey is a must. Here's a 5th - 14th round combo in the Pre-NFL Draft period ⭐️Multiple major CLV hits ⭐️No major CLV losses for a pre-draft team ⭐️Drake Maye and Bowers, of course
0
0
4
One of my favorite aspects of the new Contest Score is being able to update the model based on Expected Overlay Here is how the Drafters Main Event score changes with 0% versus 10% overlay
Ever wonder how to objectively rank the quality of Best Ball tournaments? My updated Contest Score helps skilled drafters enter the best tournaments. ✅Maximize ROI ✅Minimize risk ✅Boost upside Let's break it down step-by-step 🧵
2
0
2
At this time, the linked spreadsheet still shows some old metrics (e.g., 10th-to-1st ratio), which are not used to calculate the new Contest Score (which is done on the back-end and is not visible in the spreadsheet).
0
0
0
Big update: New contest score uses more reliable financial/poker/dfs models New contest score uses more comprehensive tournament data. This resolved a bias in the old contest score which had a bias for small field contests (<10).
1
0
1
♦️Top Prize Multiplier to make sure you get paid off in the event of a big score ♦️Podium equity and evaluating top-percentile prize distributions to make sure you get paid fairly with a near 1st-place miss ♦️Payout Depth: How many places get paid out
1
0
0
Structure, Risk, & Upside Score: 🔶Advance Rate: Rewards easier paths to the finals 🔶Breakeven sim: 1M simulations to find odds of a max-enterer to breakeven
1
0
0
Profitability Score 🔷Rewards low-rake 🔷New update: ability to simulate impact of expected overlay.
1
0
0