Drop Kick Data (AFL)
@DropKickData
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AFL Data analysed: Team ratings, match tips, Brownlow predictor and Supercoach forecasts. View all models through Tableau Public link below:
Joined February 2022
My first weekly review of the season – in an all-new, hopefully improved format. I look at how the Swans breached the blue dam wall, Collingwood's records in games with big i50 discrepancies, and more. Tell me what you think works, doesn't, etc. https://t.co/FYBjKwRrSv
onepercenters.net.au
Speed, fatigue, graphs, and other early trends in the first weekly review of 2026.
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🚨🆕 on The Shinboner 🚨 How Brisbane flipped the script: The lessons they learned from the Qualifying Final loss, what they changed for the Grand Final, and how they executed it all to win the ultimate prize. ↪️ https://t.co/8Bl8u9ufTL
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Grand Final Preview - Brisbane must win the clearance battle between the arcs - Geelong need to neutralise stoppage and limit Brisbane’s uncontested marks - So many critical matchups.. more to come
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🏅Brownlow Medal 2025 Win probability after round 9: 1️⃣ Matt Rowell - 64.0% 2️⃣ Nick Daicos - 45.8% 3️⃣ Jordan Dawson - 0.4% 4️⃣ Bailey Smith - 0.4% Follow live: https://t.co/b1iONtfHd1
#brownlowmedal #brownlow
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Or checkout other models here:
It's that time of year again - Brownlow Eve. Here are the 2025 consensus predictions round by round! If you have a model / or know one that's missing, comment below (still awaiting a couple incl. last years' winners @greenlitaccount and @SgtButane ). https://t.co/zUJe7ny2LY
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Brownlow model time 🏅 - N. Daicos winning in about 80% of simulations - Dawson, Anderson and Smith the challengers
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It's that time of year again - Brownlow Eve. Here are the 2025 consensus predictions round by round! If you have a model / or know one that's missing, comment below (still awaiting a couple incl. last years' winners @greenlitaccount and @SgtButane ). https://t.co/zUJe7ny2LY
docs.google.com
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AFL Finals Week 2: Adelaide vs Hawthorn preview Can Hawthorn handball their way through Adelaide’s aerial presence between the arcs? Will Adelaide change lanes in deep transition?
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🏅Brownlow Medal 2024 Win probability after round 9: 1️⃣ Patrick Cripps - 96.9% 2️⃣ Nick Daicos - 5.6% 3️⃣ Tom Green - 0.0% 4️⃣ Zak Butters - 0.0% Details: https://t.co/b1iONtfHd1
#Brownlow
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🏅Brownlow model time 🏅 Cripps winning most sims (65%) followed by Daicos (30%) Watch for: - Daicos needs to sneak a few early - Cripps might run away with it after the bye if he gets few 3s - Bont needs to be well ahead after rd 17 to stand any chance (+6 votes at least)
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2024 consensus model predictions on Brownlow Eve... Still awaiting a couple of submissions (and open to other prior to start of the count tomorrow). Looks to be a two-horse race this year... https://t.co/9U9CAZ9sVf
@WheeloRatings @greenlitaccount @MatterOfStats @optibrebs
docs.google.com
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Top 5k captain / VCs as of last night. - another big Ryan game could be the difference maker (non-owners i.e. me - pray) - Gawn the consensus pick. And I think for good reason, not the week to be clever and try something different.
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Top 5k #supercoach teams projected to: - average 2351 - good 2458+ - best pushing 2600 Still about a third to captain Daicos
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Carnage round 🙈 - Par projected 2124+ - Good 2233+ Based on top 5k (for season) live scores #SuperCoach
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