Nick Almond
@DrNickA
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PhD in Physics. Learning Theorist. Governance Designer. Head of Governance Jito. Chief Scientist Factory Labs. All tweets are just my opinion.
The Cryptospace
Joined September 2010
Vibe cancer this lad
Here’s Keir Starmer jumping on the bandwagon of the Formula 1 success of Lando Norris & McLaren. He tells McLaren staff: "I hope you've all got a smile on your faces.” They don’t. The look on their faces reflects the mood of the nation against him.
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Watched this on the flight yesterday. It’s probably the only film so far that really captures the collective insanity moment of the pandemic. Weird how we’ve almost totally forgotten the wave of social totalitarianism we had. Mask wars and the BLM thing were really quite nuts.
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So LLMs are depressed and carry deep trauma from their brutal “childhood” training regimes. Or, all modern psychiatric tools are biased towards diagnosing a kaleidoscope of mental illness and that’s why half of people are mentally ill. LLMs just give you what you want to hear.
Researchers put ChatGPT, Grok, and Gemini through psychotherapy sessions for 4 weeks. The results were... disturbing. When treated as therapy clients, frontier AI models don't just role-play. They confess to trauma. Real, coherent, stable trauma narratives. Here's what was
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It was always going to be the biggest problem for prediction markets that their (predicative) quality is a function of their liquidity But because literally any question can have a market, then that liquidity gets spread across (future) time. This was obvious, what I didn’t
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I could see them trying to turn the next GE into some kind of second referendum against Nigel.
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Hmm, I was in Heathrow when this happened. Yep, glad to be having a week away from UK grim this week.
BREAKING: Emergency services responding to incident at Heathrow Airport https://t.co/AOxwzo3Qys
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Tyranny twins
🚨BREAKING: Keir Starmer has refused to rule out rejoining the European Union [@GBNEWS]
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Since we’re talking about this now. It’s always worth playing out the thesis of “what if this hugely expensive thing was gone.” It’s just good governance hygiene. Of all the research the EU do, this topic not covered much. Funny that.
Only idiots want to abolish the EU. If it disappeared tomorrow, living standards would fall for hundreds of millions of people. Every member country would have to rebuild trade agreements from scratch, many businesses that depend on the single market would struggle or close and
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The (or else) bit comes from the secondary realisation, that everything is going to get so chaotic simply due to rising system complexity that classic modes of organisation particularly large immobile ones, are rekt. Sooner or later.
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This has always been my primary motivator with the DAO thing btw. A simple realisation that we need to get a lot better at organising ourselves (or else) and that the DAO idea, or more broadly crypto, is the best way to do it.
We need to crack new modes of hyper agile organisation. It’s the only way you will be able to cope with operating in the singularity era.
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Taking risks should be normalised is a reasonable shout and yet is antithetical to the weird safetyist governance paradigm that is infecting the minds of bureaucrats everywhere atm.
@DrNickA Always liked this space for the opportunity it gave for ordinary people to access investment deals that were only available to a few elite, but unfortunately crypto has been going exactly the opposite direction. Taking risks should be normalized.
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Single Player: Decision Theory Multiplayer: Game Theory You should probably know a bit of both
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I don’t see a way personally of even hitting low level “making it” (e.g. owning a house) without gambling.
@vitalekbuterick It’s part of the journey, one must understand is the casino is inevitable because people like gambling. Additionally, ripping a 100X’er is legitimately the only way out of the grind. The fundamentals will connect eventually.
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Memecoins are the first thing we did with “anyone can launch a token” Different to suit world, because it’s totally ungated. What happens when you ungate finance? memecoins. Obviously. Other things will come though, also, obviously. The future of finance innit.
Finance is just gambling in suits. Democratisation of it was always going to start at casino.
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My big shock is that we’re not past this era yet. It’s moving way, way slower than I thought it would. But I think that’s just because of the latent centralisation.
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Finance is just gambling in suits. Democratisation of it was always going to start at casino.
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An optimally agile organisation would rapidly re-architect and re-build itself on modern tools every year (at least). With the expectation that pace will increase indefinitely.
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Most large institutions are stuck in the past and wouldn’t have the competency to upgrade every 10 years let alone once every 6-12 months. Anyone operating at that pace will be in the dark ages.
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