Dr Bob is one of the most profitable and respected handicappers in the nation. Featured on ESPN, CNBC and the Wall Street Journal. See website for details.
@EmmanuelAcho
@TexasFootball
Oregon would be favored by 7 points over Texas on a neutral field. Plus, using comparative scoring is elementary math. Texas lost to Oklahoma, who lost to Oklahoma State, who lost to South Alabama by 26 points. I guess Texas is worse than South Alabama then, right? Your logic is…
@chrisfallica
FYI Chris, Teams with a conf win pct of <.150 are now 116-68-1 ATS in Conf Tourneys vs teams with a >.400 conf win pct. Teams like NC Asheville (and Oakland last night) simply look past the teams that have been horrible in conference.
NFL is a contrary league. Starting wk 6, NFL teams with a combined average margin of -20 points or more are 82-36 ATS since 2000. Denver is -6.2 points per game & the Rams are +15.0 points per game. That’s a 21.2 combined average margin and triggers that system play on Denver.
I have a 59-14-1 Preseason angle I play every year and it's 14-4 the last 5 years since I've been posting them on my site. Hopefully, the angle wins again.
Low NFL totals typically go over in Wk 3 as the market tends to overreact to poor offensive performance in the first 2 weeks. Wk 3 overs are 73-34-1 since 2000 when the total is 42 pts or less. You don't have to play them, just avoid the temptation of going under on those games.
The Patriots are 45-8 straight up in their last 53 regular season games following a loss (and 3-1 SU in the playoffs) and they’re an amazing 30-2 ATS in those games off a loss when not favored by more than 6 points.
Be careful if you're predicting the demise of the Patriots. New England is 30-4 straight up and 27-6-1 ATS when they enter a game with a losing spread record, including 13-0 ATS if they also lost their most recent game. I'm not on NE, but I'm also not against them this week.
@andrewssports
@beatingthebook
Chris, I just got my book in the mail and I'm looking forward to some fun Summer reading! Thanks for sharing your 4 decades of stories.
The better team usually performs best on a short week in the NFL, as Thursday favorites are 59% Against the Spread the last 20 seasons (114-79-5 ATS) if the opponent is not off a bye, including 22-11-2 ATS the last 3 seasons (2-0-1 this season).
@chrisfallica
Teams that make the playoffs with losing records have won their home games straight up and home dogs of more than 3 points with a worse win percentage than their opponents are 4-0 STRAIGHT UP, including wins by dogs of +10 and +8. I am not on Wash but I wouldn't bet against them
The Dr Bob Sports Podcast Episode 1.
Our team presents a preview of the NFL's AFC West Division and I discuss my College Football methodology for calculating my initial college ratings for each team.
GSW is 29-4 straight up & 19-11-3 Against The Spread without Durant and with Curry playing (26-1 SU & 18-5-3 ATS more recently) - 2-0 SU ATS in the playoffs. The Under is 22-8-3 in those games. Just 26-18 SU (17-27 ATS) w/o Curry but with Durant (5-8 SU, 3-10 ATS this season).
For those of you that think Kevin Durant is the star of the Warriors consider this:
GSW is 27-4 straight up and 18-10-3 Against The Spread without Durant and with Curry playing and just 28-16 SU (18-26 ATS) without Curry but with Durant.
College Football Leans are 18-8 this season and 873-709-31 since 2013 on my College Football Free Analysis page. I've just posted a Lean on the Nevada at Texas State game.
Warriors actually have a higher win percentage (.871) when Durant doesn't play (with Curry playing) than when he does play (.786 with Curry also playing). Oh, and the Warriors won the most games in history the season before Durant arrived.
Boston Celtics are now 4-26 ATS when favored by 8 points or more. I first tweeted that out this season when it was 4-23 and they've failed to cover all 3 times as a big favorite so far. I'm not playing PHX but I'd steer clear of BOS tonight.
I rarely recommend an app but you should check out
@juice_reel
. The app syncs with your sportsbook and gives you insights into your own betting patterns. You can also find out what the apps best and worst bettors like on each game.
@beatingthebook
@SportsFacts246
@VSiNLive
Thanks Gill. I'm hoping to end up in the same retirement home as you one day so we can spend hours every day boring the nurses with stories about the good ol' days.
@TheAthletic
@gmraynor
@TheAthleticCFB
@ClemsonFB
There aren't enough good teams because top recruits that want to play for a championship keep going to the same 4 or 5 teams that get picked for the playoffs every year. If more teams are allowed in the playoffs then the talent would spread out, which is what Dabo is afraid of.
I don't base regular season bets on trends but I do find them useful in the preseason. I have an NFL week 2 preseason trend that is 62-16-1, including 17-6 since I've been posting them each year (2014). 5 teams qualify this week. Find out more at
@beatingthebook
@Kyle_RBW
That's in reference to college basketball, but NFL double-revenge teams are 8-14 straight up and 11-10-1 ATS (8-2-1 ATS as dog 6+ and 3-8 ATS otherwise).
I had Clemson Team Total Under 28.5. That final play multi-lateral play by FSU that resulted in a Clemson defensive TD spoiled that good play. Clemson also covered the spread with that. Brutal!
Tom Brady is 38-8 ATS after a loss when not laying 7 points or more, including 4-0 ATS with the Bucs. That includes a 19-3 straight up record (21-2 ATS) when his team is favored by 2 or less to an underdog.
I'm not on Tampa this week but that's something to consider.
Bill Belichick is 56-24 ATS in games against teams that beat the Patriots in the previous meeting, including 7-0 ATS in such games without Tom Brady at quarterback.
The NFL Week 9 Dr Bob Sports podcast is up.
Tanner and Grant discuss the impact of this week's trades, discuss some key games and give out a prop bet with value.
Boston Celtics are now 4-25 ATS in their last 29 when favored by 8 or more, including 0-2 this season, a 2 point win laying 9.5 at NYK and a 3 point home loss to Orlando as an 11 point favorite.
@VSiNLive
@TexasLonghorns
@CowboyFB
@beatingthebook
@KelleyBydlon
Nice that you start the clip with "let's give people a chance to complain about you again". Makes it sound like people have a reason to complain. They missed the part before about why people have no reason to complain about my 70-49-1 record on football picks on your show.
Today's Dr Bob Sports podcast covers the NCAA Tournament.
Tanner and Grant analyze the top teams in this year's tournament and discuss potential Cinderellas for your bracket
@RufusPeabody
Sorry to lash out at your Rufus, but you've commented with an unnecessary sarcastic remark on more than one occasion when I've posted something I thought was interesting but never said was particularly relevant. I hear you're killing it in golf, so well done there.
As football season is starting it seems like a good time to remind everyone to have a money management strategy. Check out the Money Management section on the site, which includes advanced topics on the subject.
My Week 2 Preseason angle is 17-5 the last 6 years since I've been posting those plays each year on my site. One qualifying play to the 62-15-1 ATS angle this week.
@beatingthebook
@djslybri
I had the under in that game and wrote it off a loser. I didn't know I'd won until I checked the final score an hour after the game was over.
For what it's worth, the Boston Celtics are just 4-23 Against The Spread when favored by 8 points or more the last few years, including 0-8 ATS on the road.
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State College Football Betting analysis.
I have a Lean on this game. Leans on the Free Analysis page are 42-34-1 this season and 899-736-32 since 2013.
@RufusPeabody
I know 4-0 doesn't mean much, and I didn't say it did. He asked which team he'd be concerned with in his 3 team parlay and I thought the fact that losing teams have won straight up was interesting - despite the small sample.
Houston playing 1st game of the season tonight, but teams playing their first game of the season are 227-192-8 ATS against teams that have already played at least one game (since 1980), including 16-4-1 ATS so far this season. Tulane has no film on HOU, which is an advantage.
I don't have any plays this week but I do have a lean on one of Saturday's games. The Leans on my College Free Analysis page are 856-702-31 the last 10 years and this week's analysis is up now.
Ohio State's elite talent makes them a live underdog. The Buckeyes have covered the spread 15 consecutive times as an underdog of 3 points or more while going 11-4 straight up, including 7 outright wins in a row and a win as a 9-point dog to Bama in January of 2015.
This week's Dr Bob Sports Podcast reveals a couple of week 1 College plays with value and discusses the significant news from the preseason (i.e. changes since our division previews).
I have posted a Free NBA play on my Basketball Free Analysis page. Free plays are already 2-0 this season and they're a profitable 447-376-12 over 3-plus seasons.