David Macdonald Profile
David Macdonald

@DavidMacCdn

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Senior Economist, Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives @CCPA For the lawyers: Opinions expressed on twitter are my own. RTs are not endorsements.

Ottawa, Ontario
Joined March 2011
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
15 days
Budget are about choices. We don't have to choose these cuts, we can choose to invest in Canadian priorities instead. Today our Alternative Federal Budget includes 100s of costed programs we should be choosing: https://t.co/NHFjbYddCL 7/x
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policyalternatives.ca
What true Canadian sovereignty and independence might look like when the public good is at the heart of budgetary planning
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
15 days
So what's at risk? We've compiled over 120 programs that are going to sunset in the next three years. Many climate change programs, women fleeing violence, airline complaints resolution, student jobs programs are at risk 5/x
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
15 days
One of the ways depts will get to their 15% cut target will be to just sit on their hands and let programs sunset. It will be an accident of timing of what will be lost 4/x
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
15 days
Depts of Women & Gender, Transport & environment the majority of programs are sunsetting in next 3 yrs. Although you can see the full list here: https://t.co/P5vppwPtUV 3/x
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datawrapper.de
Departments have to cut 15 per cent of expenditure. Many departments have far more than that in sunsetting programs in the next three years.
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
15 days
Many fed programs aren't permanent, they have to be renewed every few years. Over the next 3yrs, almost no programs will be renewed due to the 15% cuts. This "sunsetting" affects some depts more than others. 2/x
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
15 days
Budgets are meant to be good news docs. This one will downplay all that will be lost with 15% cuts in most depts. We've scoured dept docs to identify programs likely to be "sunset" and the 52 depts likely to use this strategy @ccpa 🧵👇👇👇
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
3 months
Now that fees are falling fast, the real challenge is space creation. Without strong public planning, for-profits will keep expanding in the easiest places—not where kids actually live. We need more proactive planning to hit the targets and do it with non-profit spaces. (8/10)
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
3 months
Many cities still struggle badly: ��� 75% of kids in Kitchener, Oshawa, Fort McMurray live in child care deserts • Calgary: half of kids in deserts, • Quebec cities & Charlottetown are near universal access Find your city in this interactive map: https://t.co/ppcLjODBdf (7/10)
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policyalternatives.ca
Canada’s federal child care program, which began rolling out in 2021, has two main goals: lower fees to $10 per day per child, and expand the amount of space available in licensed childcare facilit...
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
3 months
The program was supposed to grow public and non-profit child care. Instead, it’s become a cash cow for private operators who dominate the growth: • 57% of new spaces since 2022 are for-profit • Only 30% are non-profit or public (6/10)
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
3 months
But the real issue isn’t just how many spaces are created—it’s whether parents can find one. The fed benchmark is 5.9 spaces per 10 kids. Only Quebec and PEI are already there. Many provinces won’t hit it, even if they hit their space creation targets (which many won’t). (5/10)
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
3 months
That being said, child care deserts—blocks with almost no nearby child care spaces—are shrinking, but still widespread. BC, Alb, Sask, NL, Ontario have all rapidly reduced the number of kids living in child care deserts 4/10
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
3 months
Overachievers who are above their space creation targets: NB, BC & PEI Already have decent coverage: Quebec and PEI Strugglers: MB & SK: only a fraction of their goals Progress is uneven—and often behind. (3/10)
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
3 months
The fed’s goal isn’t just $10-a-day fees by 2026—it’s also 210K new full-time child care spaces by April 2025. So far, provinces are short 57,030 spaces. Some prov are on target or ahead. Others are far behind. (2/10)
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
3 months
Canada’s $10-a-day #childcare program is cutting fees—but is it creating enough spaces? My new report from @ccpa shows big promises, mixed results, and a growing role for for-profit care. Here’s what the data tells us🧵👇👇👇
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
4 months
So the point is that this will be a mindless chainsaw through services that Canadians rely on. All in trade for more defense spending and a tax cut. These are Trump-approved priorities when we need Canadian priorities. Here's the full analysis: 8/x
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ottawacitizen.com
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
4 months
While the service impacts will be country-wide the employment impacts will be biggest in #ottawa and #gatineau where over 24,000 jobs could be lost by 2028. Here's the projected impact by region 7/x
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
4 months
Cutting that many people would almost certainly affect service levels. Folks will likely notice it in longer wait times on the phone to get help with your taxes. No help if your EI claim gets fouled up. Backlogs once again to get a passport. 6/x
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
4 months
These dept would see the highest cuts as they are service heavy. You need alot of people to process personal and biz tax returns, deal with missing transfer payments, help people get EI and their pension, as well as help people deal with passports and immigration issues. 5/x
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