David Macdonald Profile
David Macdonald

@DavidMacCdn

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Senior Economist, Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives @CCPA For the lawyers: Opinions expressed on twitter are my own. RTs are not endorsements.

Ottawa, Ontario
Joined March 2011
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
4 days
There is much more in the full analysis including cuts to new Canadians integration, biz sectoral and regional supports. Read it all here:
www.policyalternatives.ca
Supports to First Nations, veterans, new Canadians, and international aid could be on the chopping block—just for starters
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
4 days
Oddly these are Trump's priorities for Canada. Defence, RCMP and Border services are whitelisted, needing few if any cuts. But what should be our priorities: Indigenous reconciliation, Vets, Science and our standing in the world --- are cut to the bone. 7/x.
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
4 days
Research grants to universities & colleges as well as graduate scholarships face $764 million in cuts to pay for tax cuts and miliary spending. The Tri-council agencies providing those funds just won an increase in the last budget, but that will be completely undercut now. 6/x.
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
4 days
International assistance is clearly on the block. We've never hit Lester Pearson goal in terms of aid to lower income countries. We'll fall further behind over the coming years. Almost $800 mil in that aid is now on the block. 5/x.
Tweet media one
www.datawrapper.de
2025-26
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
4 days
Shockingly Veterans supports will be hard hit as well. Just under a Bil a year is on the block including disability benefits and Vets health care. A cruel irony that active military see a raises paid for by Vets facing cuts. 4/x.
www.datawrapper.de
2025-26
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
4 days
Indigenous services will be hit hard. A stunning $4.5 bil in cuts, 1 of 5 dollars in cuts is just reduced transfers to First Nations to provide police, ed and health care. Gutting Indigenous social programs is not an "ambitions" way to find "savings". 3/x.
www.datawrapper.de
2025-26
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
4 days
In each of the following graphs for transfer heavy dept, you have to play a terrible game (that Ministers are doing right now) of getting to the required red cuts bar using the existing transfers 2/x.
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
4 days
The cuts are rapidly expanding and more than half will come from fed transfers to other govs, persons, non-profits and biz. Big transfers like equalization and health transfer are protected, but there's more than those transfers. 1/x.
Tweet media one
www.datawrapper.de
Create interactive, responsive & beautiful charts — no code required.
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
4 days
The fed gov cuts to pay for military and wealthy tax cuts have rapidly expanded. My new analysis shows that most of the cuts will now be on transfers to other govs, non-profits and people. A stunning 1 in 5 dollars is just cuts to FN govs for basic social programs. @ccpa 🧵👇👇.
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
14 days
What can be feasibly cut or in-sourced, which is mostly salaries, would face a historic 24% cut, something that will absolutely have a massive impact on quality and service levels. 4/4.
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
14 days
What ministers will likely find is what my analysis found, much of the denominator isn't things that can be feasibly cut, you aren't going to stop construction or engineering outsourcing, or skip out on the building rent or utilities. 3/x.
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
14 days
This is exactly what I calculated last week. These are well more than the Harper 2010 cuts (5-10%) and in line with the Martin 1995 cuts (18.9%) 2/x.
www.policyalternatives.ca
The Liberal campaign platform promised big public sector “productivity” savings, but if you compare it to federal data, a concerning picture emerges. Some key highlights:
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
14 days
Well, well, well, it looks like my big projections on federal cuts are coming . worth 15% of spending. @ccpa 1/x.
www.theglobeandmail.com
Ministers have been instructed to cut 7.5 per cent from program spending next year, growing to 15 per cent by 2028-29
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
21 days
Hope you like chatGPT, because it may soon be answering tax questions, Old Age security issues and EI foul ups. 70% of the time its right, 30% its totally making it up, you have no idea which is which 8/x.
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
21 days
Tie it all together and you have to cut $13 bil from $55 bil in or 24% of what's left. Martin cut 18.9%, Harper: 5% to 10%. 7/x
Tweet media one
www.datawrapper.de
Excluding DND and excluding unlikely types of operating expenditures.
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
21 days
So you want to "insource" IT, legal and temp help. Great, you'd save 25% in doing so and save about $1 bil, not $13 bil. 6/x.
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
21 days
Sure cut: IT, management consulting and legal outsourcing, but are you going to cut Health services for military, engineering or construction? NOPE 5/x.
Tweet media one
www.datawrapper.de
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
21 days
But what's in that pie that matches what the Libs want to cut. Can't cut utilities, repair and rent. But maybe Professional and special service (contracting out). 4/x.
Tweet media one
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@DavidMacCdn
David Macdonald
21 days
Op exp actually jumped $8.6 bil just last week as the military went to 2% of GDP. Are the feds going to cut DND now, I seriously doubt it. DND makes up a quarter of all op exp, they're out, all else has to be cut 15% 3/x.
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