Stan Samuel PhD
@CuriousSultan
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The modern world invites exploration. Why not you and me? | Tortoise Trekker | Democratizing Health | Sustainable Energy | Entrepreneurship | GoBlue
Grand Rapids, MI
Joined February 2009
Unserious folks Take self too seriously Hold ego lightly
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It is true that Social Security as it's currently structured is untenable for future generations. Something has to be done. Maybe the debate is helped by changing/augmenting the language from "delay retirement age" to "what sources of support do you have in retirement?". Only
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Folks are currently valuing $TSLA as an EV company like they did with $AMZN in 2002 without understanding the true value and growth potential for its AWS business. We don't quite grasp the impact of the Supercharger Network, Tesla Energy, Dojo/FSD, and Optimus.
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We are too far-sighted with our past and too short-sighted with our future.
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"If only" enslaves If only I had that thing I would be happy
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Notice how many "leading" companies you read about? If everybody's leading, then by definition everybody's average.
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IMO one of the structures that needs to be shattered and rebuilt is that of research data. Academic research is quite fragile because the materials and methods are so finely tuned as to provide outcomes in line with hypotheses. Nearly impossible to replicate outside that lab. And
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Airdrops seem to be having the same effect on human psyche as the fed stimulus checks did. "When is the next one coming?" "Why didn't I get enough?" "It must be the airdropper's fault that the price is dropping." We don't value what is given to us freely which is probably not
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How entitled are we to consider boomers who choose to stay in their paid-off homes, rather than selling to us, as being selfish? This is the country, where I just became a US citizen after decades of immigration process, where early immigrants created their future. Go build yours
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May be unappreciated in crypto-fi but this is something tradfi is aware of...it is a promising sign if your investment is behaving like this. Building a base is a good thing, shall I even say necessary, for new gains. This is true for all things in nature.
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AUM for ETFs/Passive Funds have grown from $3.4 Trillion in 2013 to $11.3 Trillion by end of 2022, an AGR of 12.72% compared to 1.66% for Active Mutual Funds. This is a big reason for elevated PE ratios. There is always a bid for these companies' stock regardless of valuation.
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The former assumes processes are set in stone; the latter assumes that our understanding is evolving and growing.
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"Trust the process" sounds catchy but I'm wondering if "Assess the process" is what makes us better.
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How often have you heard the phrase, "You're the average of the 5 people you surround yourself with"? Sounds zero sum if really true. If the other 5 are raising your average, then you are lowering theirs.
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We are steadily supplanting critical thinking with critical care thinking. We seem to be going from one crisis mentality to another all the while shedding ourselves of the ability and environment to ask good questions.
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Wish I knew all along that an asterisk is the key to unlocking the veracity of any statistic. Who has the time to read the accompanying tiny font?
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The premise here is that if the System being studied is small enough, then what's going on inside can be decently approximated. Assume F1 and F2 each have a certain level of measurable impact on the System ksi. Additionally, F1 can have an effect on F2's impact and vice versa.
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I'm going to start the MoHy model design in simple fashion...with a System ksi (bounded in purple box) and two factors: F1 and F2. Examples of System can be the human body, farming, etc. F1 and F2 could be sleep and exercise (for body) or water and nitrogen (for farming).
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This is a graphical representation of my Moderation Hypothesis {MoHy} which I hope to turn into a mathematical representation this year. The assumption is that the model is multi-factorial (eg. food, sleep, etc), applies to each factor, which in turn affects all other factors.
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