LINK: . It's here! SPC meteorologist Chris Broyles & I discuss his High Risk forecast for the April 2, 2025 tornado outbreak. Chris details what he saw in the forecast synoptic environment and several in-house SPC tools in the days leading up to the event.

Supercells expected to develop, move off higher terrain from SD to CO, where SPC has outlined Slight Risk (level 2/5). Here, a belt of enhanced flow aloft should coincide w/ regionally high moisture in upslope regime. Greatest risk for tornadoes/very large hail across SE WY/NE CO

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Currently working on some hurricane content for Storm Chaser Coaching to be released over in our Chaser Academy next week. If you're interested in getting into hurricane chasing (or, of course, storm chasing in general), subscribe to the Chaser Academy today (link in replies)!

Heightened threat for excessive rainfall/flash flooding exists across Mid-Atlantic today, where WPC has drawn Moderate Risk (level 3/4), incl DC/Philly/NYC. Slow-moving band of storms, some possibly severe, expected this afternoon w/ rainfall rates > 3"/hr in most robust storms.

A stunning tornado-warned supercell hovers over the open plains near Fort Morgan, CO, on June 14.

RT @TornadoCoaching: 🌪️ March 2nd looked like a bust. 🥶 Cold core setup. 💧 Meager moisture. ⏰ Early storms. But then?. ⚠️ One HP supercel….

Some satellite eye candy this morning from the Pacific as Hurricane Iona rapidly intensifies out over the open ocean. It's now entering Category 4 status and has some more time to intensify further before cooler waters and wind shear wreak havoc on the system.

LINK: Forecast discussion on today's elevated derecho potential across the northern Plains/Midwest. Initial supercells should morph into an intense MCS this evening, posing a risk for significant damaging winds and a couple tornadoes.

Today’s risk has been upgraded to Enhanced (level 3/5) given increasing chances for damaging winds this afternoon/evening. Supercells have already begun developing across western Minnesota, posing an all-hazards risk.

A few supercells are expected ahead of an upper trough and sagging cold front across Minnesota this afternoon, posing a risk for all hazards, including a few tornadoes. Eventually, upscale growth is likely, at which point the main threat will transition to damaging winds.

Which severe weather events from 2025 would you like me to cover with a meteorological breakdown? I’ve already been compiling a list, but I’d love to hear what events y’all would like to see! They don’t just have to be tornado events either, and underperforming events count, too!

Along with the flooding threat from eastern Kansas into northwest Missouri, SPC has bumped up tornado probabilities in this corridor. A few supercells are possible this afternoon ahead of an MCV/along a surface boundary, with threat for mainly damaging winds and a tornado or two.

Another day of excessive rainfall and heightened flash flooding potential is expected to play out across parts of Kansas and NW Missouri today, including the Kansas City metro. Additional storms may train along a stationary frontal zone, where the ground is already saturated.

Kansas City metro included in new Moderate Risk (level 3/4) for excessive rainfall/flash flooding today. Thunderstorms should train along stationary front through the day, taking advantage of very moist atmosphere. Already saturated ground will exacerbate flash flooding risk.

The new journal article that I was a part of that analyzes the 2021 Selden, KS, tornado using photogrammetry and mobile radar data is now open access! If you have a few minutes, give it a read!.

Mainly linear convection expected along a front draped from Great Lakes into Central Plains today, posing a risk for damaging winds/a couple tornadoes. Across the NE Wyoming vicinity, a few supercells w/ large hail/damaging winds expected w/in post-frontal upslope regime.

RT @TornadoCoaching: 🚗💨 5 Chase & Explain episodes now live inside the Chaser Academy. 🎯 Targeting strategy.🌪️ Tornado structure.📉 Forecast….

Check out the incredible three-body scatter spike on the supercell just north of Barcelona right now! Large hail likely!.

Awesome structure near Tilden, NE, back on July 10. Nebraska always provides the goods! #newx

Beautiful tornado just north of Mullen, NE, last Tuesday. This storm formed directly on a boundary and very quickly ingested the vertical vorticity along it, aiding in tornadogenesis.