
Common World Inc.
@CommonWorld
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Funds the Rwanda Build Program (#RWBuild đˇđź @RwandaBuild), a startup techhub in Kigali, Rwanda; two+ decades tech/business consultant/developer company
Upper-MidWest USA
Joined November 2008
Perspective check: If you hired 250,000 people in one go, youâd instantly become one of the 10 largest private employers on Earth. And Amazon does it every year just for Q4. When I see startups pitch âscalability,â this is what true scale looks like.
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Behind every hire is an algorithm. AI predicts order volume, warehouse throughput, delivery routes, and even weather impacts. Humans execute, but the system is orchestrated by data. Thatâs what big data and modern infrastructure looks like.
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Hiring 250,000 people isnât about headcount, itâs about capability. Most companies struggle to onboard 25. Amazon can recruit, train, and deploy 250,000 in weeks. Thatâs logistics, HR tech, and data execution at planetary scale
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Amazon is hiring 250,000 people for the holidays 𤯠Most startups donât have 250,000 users; Amazon hires that many people for one quarter - as temps! Let that sink in - a quarter million temporary hires. Thatâs an entire mid-sized city hired just to keep up with holiday shopping
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đ What if the next big innovation⌠flew? The Innovate Africa Challenge on Civil Drones supports African innovators turning ideas into real-world solutions for agriculture, green infrastructure, and climate action. âď¸ From ideation to implementation â gain mentorship, business
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15/ Investing thesis: back firms that (i) convert AI gains into outcome pricing, (ii) re-architect org/process to capture productivity, and (iii) in Africa, channel AI into capability upgrades over layoffsâcreating durable moats as talent matures.
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14/ Final: Software will keep compounding, but the bigger re-rating is laborâŚ
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13/ Investor takeaway for Africa: near-term upside is quality liftâfewer bugs, faster iterations, better documentationânot mass headcount cuts. AI narrows the seniority gap and lets junior-heavy teams meet global standards faster, if paired with training and governance.
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12/ Funding stabilized in 2024 ($3.2B equity+debt; $2.2B equity), but supporting roles (product, QA leadership, design ops) are thinner than in the U.S./EU. AI copilots + better process can raise quality per person more than cut staff in the near term.
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AFRICA LENS (JUNIOR-LEANING TALENT, THIN SUPPORT LAYERS) 11/ Africaâs developer base is growing but junior-skewed: 700k+ developers (2021); ecosystems maturing amid funding cyclicality. Youth underemployment and skills gaps remain broad.
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10/ Early signals: âcomputer programmerâ roles (distinct from developers) have fallen sharply post-pandemic as routine code work automates, while developer roles are steadier and increasingly AI-augmented. (Multiple factors at play; AI is one driver.)
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LABOR HIT MORE THAN TECH 9/ $11T wage pool means small % automation hits far more dollars than $250â300B SaaS pool. Expect material labor-hour reductions in clerical, documentation, coordination, and some frontline tasks, while software headcounts tilt to higher-leverage roles.
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8/ Investor read: AI push will compress software production costs, accelerate cycles, and shift pricing toward outcomes (features delivered, reliability, risk reduced). Value accrues to vendors who wire telemetry + governance into contracts. (Macro productivity theses above.)
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7/ Bottom line for software orgs: same headcount can ship more. Atlassian + field data: teams report >10 hours/week saved for many devs, but bottlenecks (knowledge silos, fragmented workflows) mute benefits unless leaders fix flow.
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6/ Measured productivity: controlled studies show 55% faster completion on scoped coding tasks with AI pair programmers (Copilot). Gains vary by task/org maturity but are real, and comped by process debt.
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SOFTWARE MARKET CHANGES 5/ Software roles arenât âgone,â theyâre reshaped. BLS: Software developers/QA/testers +15% (â24ââ34), faster than average, even as routine âprogrammerâ roles shrink. Expect fewer rote tasks, more orchestration.
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4/ U.S. jobs baseline: BLS projects +5.2M jobs (â24ââ34) overall. Slow growth but not a collapse. Healthcare leads; tech remains above-trend. Translation: headline employment holds while task-mix shifts hard.
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3/ Macro impact: credible estimates point to multi-trillion value capture from AI-driven productivity, $2.6â$4.4T/yr (McKinsey) and +7% global GDP over a decade (Goldman). The mechanism is task automation across all functions, not just tech.
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2/ Even one slice of labor, registered nurses, shows the scale: median RN pay $93.6k (May â24) across millions of workers = hundreds of billions in wage outlays annually. That alone rivals/surpasses SaaS revenue bands.
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