📊 Market Cycles Explained — Dec 19, 2025 • Markets rotate through 4 phases shaped by liquidity & psychology: • Accumulation: Quiet positioning, range trading works • Expansion: Trend develops, breakout & trend‑following thrive • Distribution: Momentum fades,

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📊 Dec Week 3 Recap • Lending protocols up 10x 📈 • Sovereign funds buying BTC long-term 🏦 • Fed cuts rates again → most dovish since 2021 🕊️ • BTC fair value at $184K vs price ~$90K 📊 • Smart money & black bulls both active 🔁 • Permanent holders stacking sats

📉 BTC Pullback: Key Levels & Smart Money Playbook After the Dec 1 liquidity grab, BTC is retracing into the 50–78.6% discount zone. I’m watching 50% / 61.8% / 78.6% for ✅ bullish acceptance + LTF order‑flow (1m–5m). A break below the local 78.6% ❌ invalidates the long

📉 Altseason? Probably Never Again. • Influencers hype alts daily, but the era of “everything pumps” is over. • 25x more coins than 2017 → liquidity too thin for real altseason. • BTC is now institution-driven; altcoins are fragmented, speculative, and fading. • Most

📊 Crypto & Economy Recap – Dec Week 1 • Japan carry trade stress → BTC‑JPY correlation surges • Stablecoin/BTC ratio signals cash ready for buys; Binance BTC holdings at all‑time low • Fed ends QT Dec 1 → QE expectations rising • SEC plans “innovation exemption” →

📊 Crypto & Macro Recap – Nov Last Week • BTC panic selling hits FTX‑like levels; whales buying as retail suffers • Fed QT ends Dec 1; rate cut bets surge → “If Fed stinks, buy crypto” • Hedge funds show biggest net buying in 2 years • Stablecoin supply rising again;

📈 BTC Update – Bull Cycle or Pullback? • Daily still bearish, but short-term longs active • Key levels:🔻 Support: 90,892.60 → 88,118.70 🔺 Resistance: 91,497.25 → 96,066.89 • Volume favors breakout; LWC momentum strong • 4H channel = bearish

📊 Crypto & Economy Recap – Nov Week 3 • BTC short-term holders panic sell → losses & exchange inflows • Coinbase Premium Gap at 2025 low • Perf DEXs forecast: fast, cheap, 24/7, no intermediaries • Liquidity rising as TGA funds flow out 💧 • BTC < 90K triggers

📊 Ethereum Short Squeeze Setup • Fib math points to $2880–2890 as key squeeze zone • HTF Fib + Volume Profile show strong confluence • Spot A/D reveals hidden accumulation • CVD flips positive, shorts still loading → fuel for squeeze • USDT.D weakness signals capital

🗞️ Crypto & Macro Recap – Nov Week 2 🔥 DeFi season returns, while RWA & meme coins fade. 📊Altcoin rally likely after BTC nears ATH (Wintermute). 💸Stablecoin inflows remain strong despite fear. 📈Ethereum nears key accumulation level ($2.9K) — 2M ETH unstake in 35 days .

📉 Bitcoin Post-Dump Outlook BTC dumped, but recovery is underway. 🔍 Spot CVD shows real buying — not just a squeeze. 📈 Rising OI = volatility ahead. 📌 Key zone: 107.3–108K. 🎯Targets: 109.25K → 112K → 118.5K. ⚠️ Below 100.2K = risk of sweep to 98K. Everything’s

📈 What is Technical Analysis? TA uses price & volume history to forecast market moves. 🔹 Support = price floor where buying may stop a drop. 🔹 Resistance = price ceiling where selling may halt a rally. 📐 Trendlines = lines connecting highs/lows to show direction. 📊

Crypto Market Outlook – Nov Week 1 Highlights 💸 $400M flows into Solana ETF. 🔗 Altcoin growth tied to rising US interest payments (liquidity until 2028). 📉 30% of BTC holders at a loss — similar to past cycle bottoms. 📈 Crypto lending hits $73.6B in Q3. 🧳

🚨#Bitcoin breaks below $100K — $1.1B in longs liquidated in a brutal sweep. 📉Liquidity flush + fakeout = potential reversal zone. 📊 USDT dominance breakout supports bullish momentum. 🎯 Long setup with 1:5 risk-reward now in play. Time to watch the charts closely. 👉

📉 Despite rising liquidity, Bitcoin's price remains flat. SSR shows BTC is undervalued vs stablecoins. 🏦 TradFi giants are entering crypto fast, while $3.37T exits gold — equal to BTC+ETH+BNB+SOL+XRP combined. 📊 Copper/gold ratio suggests BTC is near a macro bottom. 🇺🇸🇨🇳