🚨💃🏻 PLEASE SHARE💃🏻🚨 Im on the JM 2 move closer 2 family in Lyon- all jobs with direct flight / train to Lyon are interesting. I’m currently working on 3 funded promising projects on AI 🤖 My JMP is under review at QJE has been covered by the Economist etc more info->

Excited to share Patrizia’s JMP! She shows how elder care subsidies not only improve health outcomes for the elderly but also protect their children’s careers from further disruptions. Overall, the Swedish reform ended up paying for itself.

I'm excited to share my JMP "The Optimal Design of Climate Agreements" where I study carbon taxation and trade tariffs in the presence of free-riding incentives and inequality, which is related to current discussions on trade policies and climate action #EconTwitter #COP29 🧵1/10

Check out Claire's JMP on the crucial issue of low take-up in welfare programs. She finds that better information, not just higher benefits, is key to increasing participation.

Claire Leroy JMP: "Raising Take-up of Welfare Programs: Evidence from a Large French Reform" Website: https://t.co/fQjyHC0enF

I'm working on a new project using Machine Learning to extract data from videos 🎥💻 The goal is to explore "video-as-data" for political and communication research. My case study analyzes 2000+ video episodes of two popular Italian political talk shows👇🧵 https://t.co/Bv1UIfpZao

📆📢MARK YOUR CALENDAR! Join us on 19 April for a workshop on 'The Political Economy of Environmental Policy' with keynote speakers Torsten Persson @IIES_Sthlm & @MichaelAklin @EPFL_en. 🌱Explore the intersection of #economics & #environmentalpolicy. https://t.co/P2Kak7l1M0

Great reminder of the positive sides of academia in this tough JM time. So many interesting projects were presented yesterday. 💡 Thanks to all the organizers at @Unicatt in Milan!

Find more details on “How Do Voters and Parties Respond to the Radical Right?” here https://t.co/s1GNE19iIj 15/15

Summary: RR candidates boost participation, motivate their own base, and force left-wing parties to coordinate. RR candidates also have major impacts on electoral dynamics to the extent that they radically change the winning probabilities of their opponents. 14/15

All mainstream top candidates benefit from having RR RUNNERS-UP. Top runners whose main challengers come from the RR are certain to win, while top runners against other mainstream candidates only win in 87% of the races. 13/15

RR OUTSIDERS reduce the votes of the Conservative party more than the votes of the Social-Democratic party. ⏩The probability of winning the race for left-wing candidates goes from 50 to 60%. 12/15

Importantly, RR candidates, even if they do not win, affect the probabilities of winning of the opponents! 11/15

Regarding opposing parties, do they collaborate more with each other when RR runs? I find evidence of strategic exit of left-wing candidates but only when another left-wing candidate is already qualified. (No ‘Front Rebublicain’ in my setting) 10/15

I compile precise election results at the ballot box level to show that the increase in turnout rates mainly comes from neighborhoods that already voted a lot for the RR. ⏩ The main drivers of the boost in participation are the pro-RR voters. 9/15

But, is it because RR parties mobilize new voters who did not like any of the mainstream parties? Or is it because people who strongly oppose the RR now feel ‘threatened’ and therefore come to vote? 8/15

Some contexts, such as highly polarized or competitive races make the voters’ response even stronger. 7/15

I find that RR OUTSIDERS increase turnout rates in Round 2 by 1pp (baseline 60%). And, RR RUNNERS-UP increase turnout rates by 2pp (baseline 50%). 6/15

The main difference between the experiments is the probability of winning: OUTSIDERS win in 3.5% of the races whereas RUNNERS-UP win in 15%. This might affect the intensity of voters’ responses. 5/15

I have two quasi-experiments, both using Regression Discontinuity Designs: 1⃣ The OUTSIDER experiment: RR competes against two stronger candidates in Round 2. 2⃣ The RUNNER-UP experiment: RR candidates are the main challengers in two-candidate races. 4/15