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@CheatTheSpread
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🎾 Player turned Trader 📈 • Hold/Break Hitman 🥷🏼 • Set Specialist ⚡️ • All Picks 🆓 • Up to 2u Scale ⚖️
📂 Archive/Strategy/Tip Jar:
Joined February 2021
B2B 🎯. 1333✅. Ultra-welcome Tsitsipas retirement @ 0-2 *30-40😅. 🕺🏽🎰
🎾 ATP Hold/Break Lotto 🎰. 25u.📌 +2015. Basically sums up what I’ll be targeting in each match… those not included don’t feature clear serve/return dynamic imo. 👀 holds:.- Darderi/Shelton.- Zverev/Griekspoor.- Tsitsipas/Fils. 👀 breaks:.- Alcaraz/De Minaur.- Cerundolo/Goffin
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🎾 Madrid Semifinal Lotto 🎰 . 5u.🇪🇸📌+545. Also on Draper & Cerundolo straight…. Not sure how much Dolo dominance market needs to see vs Ruud - would have odds flipped there. Don’t see how Musetti deals with sizzling lefty FH into one-hander, telling H2H imo. #MMOpen🍀🍿
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Jack Draper is on the Sinner sauce…. And I’m here for it 💉 . Got some Arnaldi u1.5 brks/Diallo u1.5 brks goin as well… . #MMOpen🇬🇧
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Holds:. 👍🏼 .Shelton/Mensik .Korda/Ruud. 👀 .Fritz/Bonzi.Nakashima/Cobolli.Bublik/Rublev (🤡 potential). Breaks:. 👍🏼 .Medvedev/J.M. Cerundolo.F. Cerundolo/Comesana. 👀.Zverev/Fokina. Prob most worried about Fritz/Bonzi S1 u1.5 brks for the lotto… prob need a strong 🇫🇷 start😰
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🎾 Madrid Full-Slate Lotto/RR 🎰. 25u.🇪🇸📌 +2020. RR’s tricky to explain, staggered down by half (starting w/ .5u total by 2s). Basically hold/break leans I’m gonna 👀 live parlayed for side action. Incl. Bublik S1 u1.5 to claim Full-Slate… shambles if that blows it. #MMOpen🍀
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Narrator:. Ben Shelton scammed his way to another clay run via aura farming. Stake was covered, sadness was created.
One more Navone…. Ben Shelton cannot scam his way to another clay run via aura farming. 🇦🇷🛐. (Sweaty hold sheet W). #MMOpen🍿
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Ben Shelton…. Never seen a player with such an unpolished game, poor returning & backhand out-aura dudes into submission come crunch time. Would be such a ridiculously undeserved win, Navone hadn’t faced break point in almost an hour till serving it out. (hedging ftw). #MMOpen😵💫
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One more Navone…. Ben Shelton cannot scam his way to another clay run via aura farming. 🇦🇷🛐. (Sweaty hold sheet W). #MMOpen🍿
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Juan-Ma🛐. Felix/Shapo continually being priced as mammoth favs… 🎁 that keeps on giving. Spin-centric lefty hitting into the FAA backhand too - great spot. 2️⃣x Cerundolo into Madrid R32 🇦🇷. #MMOpen🐶
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Ruud broken in his second game man…. By Arthur Rinderknech🫠🫠. Been an annoying couple days on the hold front, woof . Get me to grass pls.
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Man, Hurkacz looks flat-out injured out there… . Movement usually looks wonky but this looks like a full-on limp, will continue to monitor . Wishin I went stuck with u3.5 brks atm, we’ll see🚑.
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Breaks:. 👍🏼 .Cerundolo/Mayot.Medvedev/Djere. 👀 .Borges/Fokina. May add some prematch plays in Discord, did pretty well on em ystd😇. BOL with ya bets🤙🏻
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Holds:. 👍🏼.- Fritz/O’Connell.- Shelton/Navone (lean Navone ML, bigger break threat imo).- Bonzi/Hurkacz. 👀:.- Quinn/Mensik.- Popyrin/Bublik (🤡 potential).- Nakashima/Ofner.- Monfils/Rublev.- Rinderknech/Ruud (if prime 🤖 Arty).
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🎾 Madrid Day 3 Lotto/RR 🎰. 25u.🇪🇸 📌 +1020. 05u x 6 (by 2s). 05u x 4 (by 3s). Risking .75u total.Max yield +4.29u (if math’s mathing). Bonzi/Hurkacz diciest imo, went back & forth on how to attack - question marks surrounding Hubie layoff, French factor…. Hold/Break 🧵👇🏼
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Damir Dzumhur man. 1-0 40-15* off bat, threatens basically every return game & nadda to show . Tease city, should’ve been a quick ass 2/4 clinched & into the hold stuff🙄. Alas, why they’re lottos - right reads don’t always pan out. Anyway, promising start to adds… sigh
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👀 Holds:.- Opelka/Hijikata.- Altmaier/Jarry.- Sonego/Kecmanovic.- Coric/Arnaldi.- Etcheverry/Medjedovic.- Halys/Darderi.- Bu/Fearnley. 👀 Breaks:.- Dzumhur/Bellucci.- Goffin/Muller. Lotta hold potential… debated incl. Alt/Jarry in 🎰 but 💩 pre odds on holds. Only obvious break.
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🎾 Madrid Day 2 Lotto 🎰. 25u.🇪🇸 📌 +3168. Opelka anti-break stuff prob my fav value - being relatively 🧃’d to break in S1, 2x in match… not sold. Perhaps FOMO re: not using ystd’s break leans in lieu of Nuno influenced my 2x inclusion here - Dzumhur/Goffin both break-happy🤞🏼
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Much as I dislike Zverev (& futures), feels like the prudent move w/ Alcaraz intel dropping him sub 5/1 at most shops…. 1u for me, think going boom or bust’s right move - could argue toughest tests lie in Q1. Re today’s 🎰 - minus odds @ 3-2 40-30* Borges🥲1️⃣🦵. Nice reads tho🎯
🇪🇸 Carlos Alcaraz on his Madrid participation: . "I'm a little physically down. Tomorrow, my team and I will analyse the medical tests and make a decision. I'm going to do everything possible to play in the tournament.”.
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🎾 Madrid Day 1 Lotto 🎰. 5u.🇪🇸📌 +1040. Treadin light on breaks… no matches that scream em/altitude, etc. Bonzi/Rindy sketchiest imo, need 💪🏽 starts on serve🤞🏼. 👀 Holds:.- GMP/Navone.- Saf/Rindy.- Bonzi/Cilic.- JM Dolo/Kova.- Monfils/Gojo. 👀 Brks:.- Munar/RBA.- Moutet/Mayot
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