Cheap Talk
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This is the blog. Follow @jeffely for tweets like Pros and cons of webbed feet. Pro: distinct advantage at swim meets. Con: This Little Piggy loses all meaning.
Joined October 2009
“We are all just prisoners here of our own device” used to be a very clever and subtle turn of phrase using an interesting form of the verb. Now it’s a cliche use of the noun.
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Northwestern wins despite brilliant last-minute gambit by Vanderbilt’s Matthew Fisher-Davis
cheaptalk.org
There was 20 seconds left, Vanderbilt had just scored a layup to go ahead by 1 and Northwestern’s Bryant Mcintosh was racing to midcourt to set-up a final chance to regain the lead and win th…
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Thoughts Left Lying Around About Election Forecasts
cheaptalk.org
Suppose one forecaster says the probability Trump wins is q and the other says the probability is p>q. If Trump in fact wins, who was “right?” Suppose one forecaster says the probab…
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Why you don’t see ads for American Idol on ABC
cheaptalk.org
What I wrote yesterday: When Fox broadcasts the Super Bowl they advertise for their shows, like American Idol. But those years in which, say, ABC has the Super Bowl you will never see an ad for Ame…
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What the Contested Convention Odds Tell Us
cheaptalk.org
Right now at Primary.guide, you can read the current betting market odds for a “contested convention” and a “brokered convention.” The definitions are as follows. A contes…
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