Cato
@CatoCalcs
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2024 - 2025 NFL SEASON Moneyline: 69.2% ATS: 52.9% O/U: 54.1% Scoring Accuracy: 67.8%
USA
Joined October 2023
A decent week for Cato given recent performance. She continues to crush the ML going 13 for 16, 81.3%. Let's get the spread and OU up. On to Week 16.
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Well, a couple items to be pleased with but one that absolutely stinks. Cato was 8 of 13, 61.5% on the ML for NFL Week 14 and 9 of 11, 81.8% OU. Those are great. But, she absolutely laid an egg ATS going 3 of 11, 27.3%. Cato giveth and Cato taketh away. On to Week 15.
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Cato's initial projections for NFL Week 14. In line with prior post regarding regarding liklihood of win, experimenting with a win strength graphic for each match up. As an example, although Cato is taking the 6.5 pts in CLE @ PIT, PIT has a STRONG liklihood of winning based
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Just noticed Week 12 was not posted. Nothing too special although Cato is dialing in on her winner picks. This week she went 13 for 16, 81.3%! Another metric Cato does behind the scenes is the % liklihood of a team winning against the opponent based on numerous metrics
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Cato's latest projections with latest player status. Some healthy line movements with a couple QBs inactive / Out.
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Cato has been gravitating towards the mean over the past several weeks. By this point in the season, data and performance have clearly established how good teams are. Vegas lines are more tight and it gets more difficult to project against. Cato is right at 70% ML on the
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Cato's latest projections with latest players' status for Sunday, NFL Week 10.
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Well, Cato laid the proverbial egg in NFL Week 10 going 5 of 14, 35.7% against the spread. Just too many "cover" calls that ended up being close games. Suppose that can happen any week in the NFL. She fared better at 10 of 14, 71.4% ML but was also "meh" on O/U at 8 of 14,
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Quick update to MIN @ JAX with Mac Jones starting instead of Lawrence. No other material player movements at this point. Graham Cano active for Giants but it didn't change Cato's projections. In her robot voice she said "just a kicker..."
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