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Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️

@CaptainWick

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Price Action + Volland Dealer Positioning | Not Financial Advice

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Joined September 2020
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
Mental model: Gamma = acceleration Vanna = volatility-driven steering Charm = gravity You can fight gravity briefly. Eventually, price follows it.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
Charm works with vanna when implied volatility is falling. It works against vanna when implied volatility is rising. This explains why some days trend cleanly and others chop violently.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
In 0DTE, charm organizes the entire day. Those repeated intraday behaviors people talk about? • Ranges • Lines in the sand • Targets They’re charm structures, not gamma magic.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
Charm becomes critical late in the session. Dealers warehouse risk intraday. As expiration approaches, they must reconcile delta created by time decay. That’s why flows often appear after ~2:00 pm ET.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
Charm does not predict impulsive moves. It creates drift: • Soft directional bias • Structural pressure • “Why price keeps leaning one way” It’s gravity, not acceleration.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
Charm is directional. In Volland’s framework: • Negative charm = bullish delta decay • Positive charm = bearish delta decay This isn’t opinion — it’s how deltas mathematically evolve as time passes.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
Charm is small far from expiration. It becomes non-linear near expiration. That’s why charm is: • Minor in swing trades • Important in 1–2 DTE • Dominant in 0DTE
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
Key distinction: • Gamma → delta changes from price • Vanna → delta changes from implied volatility • Charm → delta changes from time Only one of these is unavoidable.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
Dealers don’t hedge PnL. They hedge delta. So when delta changes due to time decay, dealers must buy or sell the underlying to stay neutral. That flow is mechanical.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
Charm measures how option delta changes as time passes — even if price and implied volatility do nothing. Time always moves forward. That’s why charm matters.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
Charm: Time-Driven Hedging 🧵
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
Bottom line: Vanna tells you where dealers are forced to act Price moves because dealers must hedge, not because traders “decide” to buy or sell. Use vanna to align with that pressure — not fight it.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
How this changes trade selection: •Strong positive vanna → favor longs, call spreads, trend trades •Strong negative vanna → fades fail, chop increases, downside risk You’re trading structure, not setups.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
This is why strong vanna days often look like: •Directional but slow •Few pullbacks •Late-day continuation Dealers are hedging all day, not chasing price.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
Why vanna works before gamma: Gamma needs price movement first. Vanna doesn’t. Vanna causes the initial drift. Gamma only reacts once price is already moving.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
Step 3: Watch volatility behavior Vanna only activates if IV moves. •IV bleeding → vanna flows dominate •IV rising fast → vanna can flip into a headwind This tells you whether to hold trend or expect instability.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
What price usually does near vanna strikes: •Approaching positive vanna → price slows or pins •Approaching negative vanna → price accelerates or rejects This is not technical support/resistance — it’s hedging pressure.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
Step 2: Identify large vanna strikes These matter because: •Positive vanna strikes = areas dealers want price near •Negative vanna strikes = areas dealers don’t want price near Price reacts as it approaches them.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
How to use this practically: Step 1: Identify aggregate vanna •Positive = bullish structure •Negative = bearish / unstable structure This is your baseline bias.
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@CaptainWick
Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️
5 days
This is why price often: •Grinds higher all day •Bleeds lower with no bounce •Trends on “boring” sessions That’s vanna-driven hedging, not momentum chasing.
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