AFC Cup qualifiers Last R Tajikistan & Philippines goes H2H for 1st place. The Philippines have to win go take 1st from Tajikistan. Both offensive minded. Thailand have to win by 2+ goals to take 1st place off Turkmenistan. This Turk side scored in 7 of last 8.

Singles and a double Denmark and Sweden are justified slim favs. A good chance one or both goes ahead during their matches. Time wasting the most likely card given scenario but all in all decent prices when taking the importance into account.

Mixco-Antigua: 1 (2.20) Guatemala, Primera Mixco in form. Undefeated in last 7 & still undefeated at home. With 2 starters. Antigua w/o at least 6. Incl 1st GK & 3 defenders. All new absentees. Decent form of last but won just 1/7 away. Mixco won last H2H back in Feb

New Caledonia-Jamaica: 1 U0,5 Goals (1.60) Neutral venue, Mexico New Caledonia no 150 in the world. Majority playing locally or 4/5th tier in France. Historic match. Most Jamaican players schooled in EU. Well trained. Kept a clean sheet in 6/8 against better opposition.

Bodo/Glimt-Lillestrom: 2 AH+1.75 (1.87) Bodo going from the Champions League spotlights to the Norwegian Cup. The fairytale is over and now regular season awaits. Played 120 demotivating minuts in the midweek. Lillestrom won their first two, had a week to prepare & motivated

AEK Athens-Kifisia: 2 AH+2.25 (1.81) & BTTS (2.58) Last R before the league splits. AEK a top side but this their 4th in 10 day. Fatigue could hinder them Kifisia have to win to have a chance of top 8. Scored in 9/13 in 2026. Scored in 5/8 vs top 4 teams. Incl 2 in last H2H

Weknd Bets All singles

Singels and a double Paris FC & Le Havre are 8 & 9 points above the relegation zone. Paris defensively improved under new manager. Last H2H ended 0-0 Avai & Juventude top4 candidates. Mostly Juventude but they'll likely have 5 at the back. Cautious R1. Both pleased with a point

Barcelona-Sevilla: X (6.50) A high goal line but Barca’s 19th in 2026 and in between decisive CL knockout matches. Still doing well defensively Sevilla picked up good form of late. Undefeated in last 5 but still part of the relegation battle. Had a week to prepare

Liverpool-Tottenham: 2 most cards (1.90) 365 Liverpool good at keeping possession. Fewest fouls committed and avg just 1.5 cards per match. Tottenham in a frustrating position. Nothing works and ton of pressure on the players. Avg 4th most fouls & most cards per match

Arsenal-Everton: Arsenal win & U3.5 Goals (2.02) Arsenal strong defensively. Lowest xGA & conceded 2+ just once at home. Covered this line in 8 of 14 home matches. Everton strength is their defence. 4th lowest xGA on the road. Losing to the best Arsenal won last H2H 1-0

Horsens-Lyngby: 0-0 (9.00) 365 Denmark 1. Div The two best defensive teams. Fewest and 2nd fewest goals conceded and lowest & 2nd lowest xGA. The two managers & the players know each other inside in detail. Last 2 H2H ended 0-0. A point satisfactory for both of them.

Lille-Lorient: 2 U0.5 TG (2.14) Lille done well defensively. 4th lowest xGA & kept 4 cleans sheets in last 6. No concerning absentees. Got an important EU match next why a pragmatic & cautious approach if ahead seems likely. Lorient played in the midweek. Fatigue. Topscorer out

Singles FA2000 strengthen their team a lot. Lost just 1/10. Leeds surely have an eye on the league. Norwich improved under Clemente Milan lost just 2 this season & undefeated in last 5 H2Hs. Inter in no rush since ahead by 10p Sevilla & Rayo got 6p down. Pleased with a point

Marseille-Lyon: O4.5 Cards (1.85) & O0.5 Red (4.40) Out of form Marseille winless in 4. Saw 14 cards across them. Joint 2nd most cards. In-form Lyon pushed Marseille out of top 3. Committed 2nd most fouls 11 reds between them this season. Incl in the last H2H. Ref avg 0.55 reds

Elche-Espanyol: O2.5 (2.06) Kambi Both in need of 3 points in opposite ends of the table. Collectively their matches have seen 137 goals this season but their underlying stats indicates there should have been 20 goals more. Especially Elche overperforming defensively.

Sassuolo-Atalanta: 1 AH+0.5 (1.90) 365 Sassuolo won 4 of last 5. Improving defensively & had a week to rest & prepare. This is Atalanta's 14th in 2026 and in-between a CL knockout & Cup semifinal match. Done well but lost the reverse fixture 0-3. Less would do here

Rayo-Bilbao: BTTS (1.96) & O2.5 (2.34) Both in need of 3 points in opposite ends of the table. Both underperforming offensively and should collectively have scored 25 goals more. Bilbao picking up form with 3 wins & 8 goals in last 3. Rayo lost just 2 at home. Expect open match

Ceara-Primavera: 1 AH-1 (2.00) Copa do Brasil Ceara will line up close to their best 11. Undefeated in 9 matches in 2026. Primavera lost 5 starters. Incl 1st GK & their topscorer. Haven't played in 2 week and are traveling 2100km up north. Their longest away trip ever.

Paris FC-Nice: X (3.45), U2.5 (1.93) & U0.5 (11.00) Paris & Nice are 6 & 7 points above the relegation zone. A must not lose match Paris with new & defensiv minded manager while Nice are struggling away. Progress under Puel but won just 1 of 7. Both likely happy with a point