Joe Wiggins
@BehaviouralJoe
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A connoisseur of human folly. I write about investor behaviour.
London
Joined September 2017
The Intelligent Fund Investor is published today! Most of us are fund investors, but there are very few books that can help help us with the unique set of behavioural challenges it poses. The aim of The Intelligent Fund Investor is to fill this gap. https://t.co/09lte3F1wK
amazon.co.uk
The Intelligent Fund Investor: Practical steps for better results in active and passive funds
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The more an asset price goes up the more convincing the story is about why it went up, which makes the price go up more...
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A 2024 study of 160 years of New York Times' articles found that equity market returns were higher following periods when there were more headlines about war. Dealing with geopolitical risk is not straightforward for investors.
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I asked three AI models to make predictions about financial markets in 2026. Here is what they said...
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Our ability to meet our long-term investment objectives is really about one thing: managing the conflict between our desire to save for the future and our craving to make ourselves feel better in the present.
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Last year I ran a survey asking finance professionals 10 questions about their market expectations for 2025. Unsurprisingly their predictions were a bit wayward. But does the incredible difficulty of forecasting short-term market moves matter for most investors? Not one bit.
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Even if you knew that there was a bubble in US equities, it is not obvious what you would do about it.
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Investors should always try to follow the evidence, the problem is that evidence in financial markets is noisy, changeable and conflicting. There is no single answer.
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Most performance fee structures for funds don't align interests between asset manager and client, they make the relationship even more imbalanced. (Not in favour of the client).
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Making up smart sounding narratives based on spurious evidence and often being wrong but doing it again anyway. Trying to time the market is a lot like being a contestant on The Traitors.
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Making up sensible-sounding narratives based on spurious evidence and being wrong a lot. Trying to time markets is a lot like playing 'The Traitors'.
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In the short-run the market for gold is a voting machine, in the long-run it is also a voting machine.
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