Bates Gill
@batesgill1
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Career-long China-watcher + global nomad; Senior Fellow, National Bureau of Asian Research; Indo-Pac politics + security, with focus on China
Oregon, Washington, Geneva
Joined November 2014
As the song says, "We're goin' to Kansas City ...." Are you in the KC area for weekend of July 26? Come see the Batesville Blues Band @KCBierCo for our 38th annual reunion. We'll be working to raise donations for KC's Saint Luke's Cancer Institute. See you there!🍻🎶🎷🎺🎸🎶🍻
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Thanks Nadège! A good deep dive into this important document!
This week, China published its first white paper on "national security in the new era." My colleague @batesgill1 kindly offered his analysis of the document and what it reveals about Beijing's current priorities. https://t.co/j1fI0ToA94
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NEW ASIA INSIGHT podcast episode out today: An Analysis of China’s White Paper on National Security in the New Era with @RollandNadege and @batesgill1! Find it on @ApplePodcasts, @Spotify, @amazonmusic, and most other platforms by searching Asia Insight.
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Earlier this week, for the first time ever, China publicly released a national security strategy document. I was very happy to join @RollandNadege @NBRnews podcast Asian Insight to discuss it. Have a listen (about 20 minutes) ..... https://t.co/JiKtmcA20y
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Looking forward to joining with @AsiaSocietyAus colleagues next week to lead a remarkable gathering of China expertise--from business, journalism, academia, researchers + gov't--on "Deciphering China in an Era of Diminished Access." Will be reporting out key results shortly.
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Our latest @USIP report on #China's Global Security Initiative, based on research + high-level discussions in Southeast Asia + Central Asia. GSI serves to justify + expand greater security role for China, especially in the Global South @CarlaPFreeman
https://t.co/P0q8L5s70k
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Sometimes, who is in the White House is not the determining factor for all things! My quick take in @Newsweek w/ @BonnieGlaser @StimsonCenter Yun Sun @lylegoldstein on why, no matter who is president, PRC is not likely to invade Taiwan in next 4 years. https://t.co/8Mikc75b0U
newsweek.com
With Donald Trump entering the White House again, does Xi Xinping's calculation on Taiwan change?
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Very happy to produce this "in italiano" for @formichenews, focusing on recent Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit, underscoring that SCO will fall far short of becoming an "Asian NATO". Molte grazie e buona lettura! https://t.co/1yNsz5GF86
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Great to see this video come out! Honored and happy to join experts @AlbertDeli6803 + @eunjung_Lim to assess future of Asian security. Thanks to @PhLeCorre + #forumnormandiepourlapaix! https://t.co/2RXSR9yrQW
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The U.S. election season has certainly been characterized by division + disruption at home. But what about its impact on foreign policy + America’s future approach to Asia, in particular? Join me to explore these issues @UZH_en w/ @GranoSimona
https://t.co/6kaozmevLT
aoi.uzh.ch
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I was honored to be a senior advisor on this project + highly recommend it: timely, in-depth, + excellent expert contributors from across the region. Key point:🇨🇳's increased military encounters w/neighbors are not isolated incidents but are part of an across-the-board strategy.
Case studies on Australia, India, Japan, the Philippines, Taiwan, and Vietnam reveal the #PLA’s strategic calculus on escalation, assess potential for conflict in the region, and explore shared threat perceptions, responses, and implications for deterrence https://t.co/V1z80AOoiR
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Looking forward to what will be an excellent, informed conversation with business and other thought leaders in Zurich, as concerns about upcoming US election run high. Thanks to great team @AsiaSocietyCH + especially to @halbluchs for the opportunity! https://t.co/ZSOsfEvgZm
asiasociety.org
[INVITATION ONLY] In this off-the-record Executive Roundtable, we will talk about U.S. China policy and implications of the upcoming Presidential elections for U.S.-China relations.
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Quoted in the widely-read piece, appearing in the Korean-language Hankook Ilbo, on North Korean nuclear threats against South Korea. I advise SK strategists to also closely follow PRC-NK nuclear-related collaboration for its impact on SK security. https://t.co/csD1uQUUrS
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Thanks @PhLeCorre @AsiaSocietyFR + #forumnormandiepourlapaix for the opportunity. Wonderful to be in Caen for a very special gathering, speak alongside such great experts + raise awareness about critical developments in Asia affecting the region's future peace and security.
Last week, I was fortunate to moderate an excellent panel at the #forumnormandiepourlapaix on the future of alliances in Asia with Amb. @AlbertDeli6803 of The Philippines @eunjung_Lim of Kongju U and @batesgill1 @fxpriollaud @Herve_Morin @ESSEC_IRENE @AsiaPolicy @AsiaSocietyFR
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Key takeaways in my new @USIP essay with @CarlaPFreeman: 🇨🇳 increasingly emphasizing security coop. in relations w/ Africa 🇨🇳links this coop. to Global Security Initiative 🇨🇳GSI advances in Africa + elsewhere present numerous challenges for the U.S. https://t.co/6srwVZKPOg
usip.org
Last week, China welcomed more than 50 African leaders to Beijing for the ninth Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC), which has met every three years since 2000 to coordinate economic and...
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"For China, the [Global Security Initiative] provides a useful conceptual framework + concrete set of activities that help socialize and justify China’s growing security role, especially in the Global South." Read my essay w/ @USIP @CarlaPFreeman on recent China-Africa forum
At the recent FOCAC Chinese leader Xi Jinping linked China-Africa, security cooperation to China’s “Global Security Initiative” (GSI), prioritizing Africa in the GSI. My thoughts with @batesgill1 BatesGill.
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This week, the PRC-Africa summit major outcome document outlines 🇨🇳's 10 pledges of cooperation for 2024-27, signals less emphasis on debt financing and increased security role for China on the continent. See my thoughts on @ChannelNewsAsia
https://t.co/HLk4b3TiA4
channelnewsasia.com
Dr Bates Gill, Senior Fellow for Asian Security at the National Bureau of Asian Research, speaks to CNA's Otelli Edwards about how China's fresh financial pledge to African countries could work out.
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Started my new role as Senior Fellow at the UN Geneva. Will be working with the great team @UNIDIR to explore UN Security Council interest and action to use conventional arms control measures as part of their mandate to help maintain regional peace and security.
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As part of our @USIP project tracking #China's Global Security Initiative (GSI), check out this great piece by Abbos Bobokhonov on the GSI in Central Asia. An excellent analysis, cogent, insightful. Read it and the project's other work at this link: https://t.co/9X7HHvecxu
usip.org
China’s ongoing push to change the international security order entered a new phase with the launch of the Global Security Initiative (GSI) in April 2022. The GSI promotes a set of distinct security...
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On @ChannelNewsAsia my take on the recent SCO summit: Central Asian governments in awkward position as Xi + Putin appear to pursue a "pan-Eurasian" organization that is less + less focused on Central Asia. This and other insights on the gathering here: https://t.co/93Pu1MyQHJ
channelnewsasia.com
Dr Bates Gill, Senior Fellow for Asian Security at the National Bureau of Asian Research, explains what China and Russia stand to gain from this year's Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit as it...
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