AusPoll
@AusPoll6
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The latest opinion polling in Australia, as reported by the @6NewsAU team | Got a tip? Have a poll to share? Email [email protected]
Joined June 2022
Maranoa (QLD) - 6 News projection 🟦 LNP: 48.5% (-4.7) 🟧 PHON: 22.0% (+9.7) 🟥 ALP: 15.2% (-0.8) 🟩 GRN: 6.0% (+0.8) ⬛️ OTH: 8.2% (-5.1) Two-candidate-preferred 🟦 LNP: 63.9% (-6.2) 🟧 PHON: 36.1% (+6.2) 🟦 LNP HOLD Based on aggregate of 5 polls | +/- 2025 election
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Farrer (NSW) - 6 News projection 🟦 LIB: 38.9% (-4.5) ⬜️ IND: 19.3% (-0.7) 🟧 PHON: 17.0% (+10.4) 🟥 ALP: 12.6% (-2.5) 🟩 GRN: 2.6% (-2.3) ⬛️ OTH: 9.7% (-0.3) Two-candidate-preferred 🟦 LIB: 55.9% (-0.3) ⬜️ IND: 44.1% (+0.3) 🟦 LIB HOLD Based on aggregate of 5 polls | +/-
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Grayndler (NSW) - 6 News projection 🟥 ALP: 51.3% (-2.2) 🟩 GRN: 25.0% (-0.1) 🟦 LIB: 14.4% (+0.1) 🟧 PHON: 9.1% (+5.9) ⬛️ OTH: 0.2% (-3.7) Two-candidate-preferred 🟥 ALP: 66.1% (-0.8) 🟩 GRN: 33.9% (+0.8) 🟥 ALP HOLD Based on aggregate of 5 polls | +/- 2025 election
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Australia's current immigration intake is: Too high: 60% About right: 33% Too low: 7% Dynata (for IPA) | 13-14 Sep | n=1007 | MoE ±3.1%
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Queensland (state) voting intention (South-East Qld) 🟦 LNP: 36% 🟥 ALP: 35% 🟩 GRN: 13% 🟧 PHON: 11% ⬛️ OTH: 5% Two-party-preferred 🟥 ALP: 52% (+2) 🟦 LNP: 48% (-2) RedBridge | Oct 2025 | n=1013 | +/- 2024 election
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Bradfield (NSW) - 6 News projection 🟦 LIB: 36.3% (-1.7) ⬜️ IND: 24.9% (-2.1) 🟥 ALP: 20.8% (+0.5) 🟧 PHON: 9.0% (+7.4) 🟩 GRN: 3.1% (-3.6) ⬛️ OTH: 5.9% (-0.1) Two-candidate-preferred 🟦 LIB: 53.5% (+3.5) ⬜️ IND: 46.5% (-3.5) 🟦 LIB GAIN from IND Based on aggregate of 5 polls
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Longman (QLD) - 6 News projection 🟥 ALP: 38.3% (+2.8) 🟦 LNP: 30.8% (-5.3) 🟧 PHON: 17.4% (+5.2) 🟩 GRN: 10.8% (+1.0) ⬛️ OTH: 2.7% (-6.0) Two-candidate-preferred 🟥 ALP: 52.7% (+2.8) 🟦 LNP: 47.3% (-2.8) 🟥 ALP GAIN from LNP Based on aggregate of 5 polls | +/- 2025 election
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Ryan (QLD) - 6 News projection 🟥 ALP: 32.7% (+4.5) 🟦 LNP: 29.0% (-5.6) 🟩 GRN: 27.0% (-2.0) 🟧 PHON: 7.5% (+5.2) ⬛️ OTH: 3.8% (-2.1) Two-candidate-preferred 🟥 ALP: 60.1% 🟦 LNP: 39.9% 🟥 ALP GAIN from GRN Based on aggregate of 5 polls | +/- 2025 election
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Kooyong (VIC) - 6 News projection 🟦 LIB: 42.3% (-0.8) ⬜️ IND: 32.4% (-1.5) 🟥 ALP: 12.1% (+0.2) 🟧 PHON: 5.8% (+4.8) 🟩 GRN: 5.2% (-2.6) ⬛️ OTH: 2.2 (-0.1) Two-candidate-preferred 🟦 LIB: 51.9% (+2.6) ⬜️ IND: 48.1% (-2.6) 🟦 LIB GAIN from IND Based on aggregate of 5 polls |
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Bean (ACT) - 6 News projection 🟥 ALP: 40.7% (-0.4) ⬜️ IND: 34.2 (+7.8) 🟦 LIB: 19.4% (-3.6) 🟩 GRN: 5.7% (-3.8) Two-candidate-preferred ⬜️ IND: 52.6% (+2.9) 🟥 ALP: 47.4% (-2.9) ⬜️ IND GAIN from ALP Based on aggregate of 5 polls | +/- 2025 election
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Wright (QLD) - 6 News projection 🟥 ALP: 29.0% (+3.6) 🟧 PHON: 26.1% (+9.8) 🟦 LNP: 25.4% (-8.7) 🟩 GRN: 9.2% (-0.3) ⬛️ OTH: 10.4% (-4.4) Two-candidate-preferred 🟧 PHON: 55.5% 🟥 ALP: 44.5% 🟧 PHON GAIN from LNP Based on aggregate of 5 polls | +/- 2025 election
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🚨 6 NEWS PROJECTION (based on aggregate of five recent polls): One Nation would win a federal lower house seat for the first time if the election was held today 🟥 ALP: 35.2% 🟦 L/NP: 28.1% 🟧 PHON: 12.5% 🟩 GRN: 11.5% ⬛️ OTH: 12.7% Two-party-preferred 🟥 ALP: 55.1% 🟦 L/NP:
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JUST ANNOUNCED: After months of work, @6NewsAU is proud to launch an electoral projection model – providing detailed insight into the outlook for every single House of Representatives seat ⬇️ https://t.co/wMTjZtS3UL
6newsau.com
JUST ANNOUNCED.
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Queensland (state) voting intention (inner city Brisbane) 🟥 ALP: 38% 🟦 LNP: 34% 🟩 GRN: 14% ⬛️ OTH: 14% Two-party-preferred 🟥 ALP: 54% 🟦 LNP: 46% RedBridge | Oct 2025
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Victoria (state) voting intention (boomers) 🟦 L/NP: 49% 🟥 ALP: 28% 🟩 GRN: 4% ⬛️ OTH: 19% Two-party-preferred 🟦 L/NP: 59% 🟥 ALP: 41% RedBridge | 8-14 Oct
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Victoria (state) voting intention (Gen X) 🟦 L/NP: 41% 🟥 ALP: 32% 🟩 GRN: 8% ⬛️ OTH: 19% Two-party-preferred 🟦 L/NP: 51% 🟥 ALP: 49% RedBridge | 8-14 Oct
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Victoria (state) voting intention (millennials) 🟥 ALP: 39% 🟦 L/NP: 31% 🟩 GRN: 16% ⬛️ OTH: 14% Two-party-preferred 🟥 ALP: 60% 🟦 L/NP: 40% RedBridge | 8-14 Oct
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Victoria (state) voting intention (Gen Z) 🟥 ALP: 32% 🟩 GRN: 32% 🟦 L/NP: 25% ⬛️ OTH: 11% Two-party-preferred 🟥 ALP: 66% 🟦 L/NP: 34% RedBridge | 8-14 Oct
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🚨 NEW: Victoria (state) voting intention 🟦 L/NP: 37% (-1) 🟥 ALP: 32% (-) 🟩 GRN: 13% (-) ⬛️ OTH: 18% (+1) Two-party-preferred 🟥 ALP: 52% (-) 🟦 L/NP: 48% (-) RedBridge | 8-14 Oct | n=1500 | +/- 17 Sep
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