Armchair Handicapping 🪑
@ArmchairHndcp
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Horse Racing Handicapper in the making... #BBN #GoCats Venmo/Cashapp - @armchairhndcp Em: armchairhndcp @gmail .com
Kentucky, USA
Joined October 2020
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My father passed away earlier this week from a rare brain disease called Crutzfield-Jakob Disorder. I'm still at a loss of words.
He was the biggest horse racing fan I knew. He went to every Derby from 1967 to 2019. All his friends hit him up for his picks. This was in 2015
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Morning all!
Sorry for being MIA yesterday. To make up for it today is going to be a FREE FRIDAY! Links to the Projection Race Charts will be included on my card tweets.
It's my birthday so I am in a good mood, let's kick off to a great weekend!!
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Morning all,
Hope you did well yesterday, I was a bit behind so didn't get some cards/charts out until the last minute. Want to make it up to you all so if this gets 45 rts/favs, I will post the link to all of them for free!
AQU
GP
Turfway
Oaklawn
Fair Grounds
Rt/fav. BoL!
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Model Lean Chart Legend:
A Tiers - Best Win% in order. Use these for Board bets, Exactas, and small trifectas.
B Tiers - High ITM% in order, Use in longer exotics.
(__) = Top Pick. If 2 inside (__), going to be neck/neck
*'s = value plays, higher odds more *'s
DM me any Q's
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If Saratoga doesn't cancel the card, I'm out on the rest of the meet. This is ridiculous.
This game is becoming too money focused, and not enough on the horses. Until we get a clean sweep of cheating trainers and corrupt exec's, nothing will change.
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@DarrenBirdie
thank you for sharing this with everyone. This art is so touching.
RIP Cody, thoughts and prayers to the Dorman family! Glad Cody got to witness this amazing horse run and win!
#CodysWish
@godolphin
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Hope everyone is hitting their bets today!
Just wanted to say in honor of Thanksgiving tomorrow, it is going to be a free day for my charts. I will be posting cards for the following tracks:
- Churchill Downs
- Fair Grounds
- Del Mar
- Charles Town
Thankful for all of you all!
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Terrible news for the horse racing world today.
A horse that never got the recognition it deserved due to the dark shadow of connections that surrounded it. Damn shame.
Awful news. Medina Spirit died this morning at Santa Anita of apparent heart attack while training. Story to be posted shortly at
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Glad I didn't pass up the rare Monday SA card, would have missed out on a nice birthday gift!
As I tweeted earlier, gotta play the chalk smart. Know when to play against!
By far my best ROI on a hit I've ever had! $4.50 to $587!
Thank you the bday wishes! What a day!
Recap from today's FREE SA Model Lean Card
6 A1 wins (1 show)
8/9 A Tier wins
4 A Tier exactas (3 A/B's)
+250 Best Bet win
Hope you all did well!
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Hope you all had a solid day yesterday using these charts! Who wants another FREE DAY?
If I get a total of 40 Rt's & Favs on this tweet by 11:30, I will post the link! Will have charts for the following cards:
- Aqueduct
- Gulfstream
- Oaklawn
- TB Downs
- Fair Grounds
- Turfway
Morning all!
Celebrating the opening day of the Gulfstream and Oaklawn meets today with a FREE FRIDAY!
DM me to get the link to my FREE race charts for my (5) cards below!
- Aqueduct
- Gulfstream
- Oaklawn
- Fair Grounds
- Turfway
Please rt/fav! BoL!
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Let's go!! Turned $24 into $551.10 and posted this one for everyone! 💰💰💰
Turf P3 at KEE went A2/A1/A1. Hope someone else tailed on this one!
Great card today at KEE with 8 out 9 A Tier winners! Much needed bounce back from a rough couple of opening days here!
A couple of my small ball plays I have today. Open to hearing some feedback.
Fav/rt if tailing!
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Did anyone play this AQU card today?? Had all A Tier winners! Even with scratches not incorporated...
Early P4 - $178
Early P5 - $879.75
Late P4 - $97.37
Late P5 - $1,196.75 ‼️
Late P6 - $6,660.00 ‼️‼️
All Rolling Doubles and P3's hit too...
Model Leans for the 1/20 Aqueduct card
Scratches NOT incorporated. Hoping they don't cancel due to weather, really like today's card.
Detailed Race Charts for all cards available, DM me for info.
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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Amazing photo I saw on Facebook of a snowy
@ChurchillDowns
on Christmas Day, with downtown in the background.
Had to share on here with HRT.
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Recently got back into a reading habit and finished up Tbred Cycles (highly recommend). Now I'm about a 1/3 of the way into Skeptical Handicapper, really good stuff so far. Next up on the list is Ainsle's Guide, might jump around in that one
Always looking for suggestions too
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WHO WANTS A FREE DAY TOMORROW WITH 6 TRACKS IN THE LINEUP?!?
15 rts/favs and I'll plan on a FREE FRIDAY!
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Morning all and happy Friday!!
Happy to share some BIG NEWS down below on my new cards/charts!
User Guide:
MVP Charts:
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Model Leans for the 7/16 Saratoga card
Big P6 Carryover of $532k
Scratches thus far are in.
Projection Charts:
Please rt/fav. BoL!
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Morning all!
Back at it today after a few days focusing on work. Was able to fit in time to run 3 cards for GP, FG, and Sam Houston today. Cards will be posted shortly.
45 Rt's/Favs for a link to FREE Projection Charts.
Let's have a day!
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Sorry all, was out yesterday and will be out the next couple of days due to some personal matters.
All is well, just have to focus on a few things. Hope to be back with some cards by Thursday (Friday at the latest)
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Congrats to
@barshoelife
@SweezeyK
and other connections on BOMBERALLA breaking her maiden!! Look forward to her next time out!
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Just sent out my model race charts and leans for tomorrow's BC Friday card out to a handful of people! If you would like a copy of these charts, shoot me a DM!
Not asking for any money for them, all free. You can use it as just another reference to use when handicapping.
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Should I make it a FREE FRIDAY?
Can we get 25 rt’s/favs?
Back tomorrow with a full slate of 8 tracks!
2/02 Lineup: GP-AQU-FG-TAM-OP-GG-SA-TP
Cards/Charts will be up this evening!
Let's get after it!
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Admittedly not the best ticket structure, could have narrowed down in Race 6 and Race 9.
But a hit is a hit, and my first P6 at that too! 💰
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FREE Model Lean card and Pace Proj charts for the Saratoga card at the link below!
SAR:
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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Bingo! Said I was going to attack the XC P5 skinny earlier, and that's what I did!
Played two tickets spreading in different legs, one $18 and the other $12. Ended up going 5/5 and 3/5 in them.
Would have rather had the 1 to close out the TDN P4 too, but I'll take this all day!
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Good afternoon everyone!
Introducing a new series called 'Press the Pace' on the
@TrustTProphets
YouTube Page!
I will be making videos that go over a few mid week races that are stand outs in my charts!
Today's video covers CD 11/2!
Check it out below!
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Morning all,
Hope you all had a solid weekend. Back to the grind this week.
Only have (1) card today for Turf Paradise. Assuming MV will be canceling.
So if this tweet gets over 50 rt's/favs, I will post a link to my Race Charts for Turf Paradise!
BoL!
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Nothing beats flying into Lexington and seeing the Kentucky countryside…
What’s up
@keeneland
!
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Well this one is soul crushing...
Sequence finished A1-A2-A1-A2-A2 for $10.8k...
I had my A1 and A3 in the fourth leg, left off my A2. Another $6 cost me $10.8k...
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Sorry for being MIA, work is crazy right now.
Plan on having 3 cards tomorrow for GP, FG, and some late night action at Sam Houston!
Let's get after it!
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My goal is to have my updated charts ready for opening day at Toga (after some trial runs). Posting here to hold myself accountable
I’ve been letting this update slide for months now, and it’s so close to being done. Really going to grind over the next weeks.
Big things coming
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Morning all!
Celebrating the opening day of the Gulfstream and Oaklawn meets today with a FREE FRIDAY!
DM me to get the link to my FREE race charts for my (5) cards below!
- Aqueduct
- Gulfstream
- Oaklawn
- Fair Grounds
- Turfway
Please rt/fav! BoL!
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FREE Model Lean Card down below!
MVP Charts at the link below, free as well so check them out!
KEE:
If you look at the MVP Charts and have questions, check out the user guide here. DM's always open too!
User Guide:
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For tomorrow's Keeneland card, my good friend
@dennis_trusty
and I are going to be posting some collab plays we worked up tonight!
Be sure to be on the lookout tomorrow around 10:30-11am for the card!! 🏇🍀💰🪑
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Alright I need some help people! Pls rt!
Have a friend’s dad who was a Veteran and served in the Honor Guard at the 100th Derby and they would be honored to do it again at the 150th.
Anyone with some proper connections, can we make this happen?
@ChurchillDowns
@KentuckyDerby
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Morning all,
Sent the below message out to my email group last night, but wanted to share with you all as well on my last big posting day of the year. Thankful for the support I have gotten over the last few months, and have BIG things in store for 2022.
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Model Leans for the 11/16
@ChurchillDowns
card
FREE Projection Charts for each race:
Will try and get scratches incorporated if I can.
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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Model Leans for the 8/6 Saratoga Whitney Stakes card
Scratches thus far are in
Projection Charts:
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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Screw it, too excited!!
FREE Model Lean card and Pace Proj chart for tomorrow's
@DelMarRacing
Opening Day card at the link below!
DMR:
Hit me up with any questions. I will get scratches incorporated tomorrow before first post! BoL!
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Morning all and happy Wednesday!!
Excited to share that I'm rolling out my website using
@payhip
! I'm sure there will be a handful of questions and things to work out, but wanted to start using this moving forward. Let me know if you have any issues!
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Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays everyone! 🎄
Hope you all get to enjoy some quality time with your friends and family. Stay safe and be thankful!
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Morning all!
Big day today at Belmont, Delaware Park, and HS Indy!
Projection Charts for all cards today will be FREE, I want some people to hit some winners!
Full Lineup: IND - DEL - GP - ELP - BEL
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Model Leans for the 5/29 Belmont Park card
Scratches thus far are in.
Please rt/fav. BoL!
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Model Leans for the 5/21 Pimlico, the 147th Preakness card!
Scratches thus far are in. Projection Charts for all my cards today are only $5, DM me for info.
Please rt/fav. BoL!
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Morning all,
Hope you all had a stellar weekend!
I’m going to be taking a couple days off the early part of this week from posting charts. Focusing on updating my model/charts to include some additional factors.
Best of luck!
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FREE Model Leans and Pace Proj Charts for the 4/20
@keenelandracing
card at the link below!
KEE:
DM me with any questions!
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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I'm done with Parx for 2022 after that last race...
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FREE Model Leans and Pace Proj charts for the Saratoga card at the link below!
SAR:
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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Good morning all, and happy Easter to those who celebrate.
I will be out of pocket today, but still ran some cards for you all
Today's Lineup: GP-HAW-SA
FREE Pace Proj Charts for all 3 cards at the link below!
4/9 Charts:
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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Morning all and happy Friday... finally!!
Today's Lineup: AQU-KEE-OP
Cards will be up shortly. DM me if you want a copy before scratches.
Let's get after it today!
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Model Leans for the 7/10 Belmont closing day card
Scratches thus far are in.
Projection Charts here:
Please rt/fav. BoL!
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Model Leans for the 11/09
@ChurchillDowns
card
FREE Projection Charts:
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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Morning all and happy Saturday!
Big day of racing ahead, with 6 (maybe 8) tracks in store!
Lineup: TAM-GP-LRL-AQU-OP-FG-(SA-GG)
Early Pace Projection Charts at this link:
Comment below which track you're looking at today and who you have in the TB Derby!
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Got this awesome birthday gift from one of my coworkers this past week.
Will definitely be putting it to use when Spring Meet starts up to post some plays on here!
@keenelandracing
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FREE Model Lean card and Pace Proj charts for the Belmont Park card
BEL:
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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2 hour layover in Minneapolis… this will help pass the time
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FREE Model Lean card and Pace Proj charts for the
@PimlicoRC
PREAKNESS card at the link below!
PIM:
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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Morning all and Happy Wednesday!
Keeneland is back and running today, and it's a solid looking card!
Also running Parx today, and if this get at least 15 fav/rt's I can add MVR if people want it!
Cards will be posted shortly! Let's get after it!
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FREE Model Lean card and Pace Proj charts for the Belmont Park card at the link below!
BEL:
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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Model Leans for the 8/27 Saratoga Travers Day card
Scratches NOT incorporated
FREE Projection Charts:
I'm riding the Zandon train today baby!
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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I will die on this hill, but I put BBQ sauce on my eggs...
Ketchup isn’t available, what are you putting on these eggs?
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Model Leans for the 11/05 BC Saturday card at
@keenelandracing
!!
Had a solid day with 4/10 top pick wins, and 7/10 A Tier winners. Let's keep it going into today!
FREE Projection Charts:
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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Morning all!
Hope you did well yesterday and hit some solid bets.
A's won: Parx - 9/10; Mah Valley - 6/8
Working from home today, so should be able to update with scratches. Only $1 for all charts today:
- Parx
- Mah Valley
- Penn Nat
Please rt/fav. BoL!
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Model Leans for the 8/3 Saratoga card
Scratches NOT incorporated
Projection Charts:
Please rt/fav! BoL!
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Model Leans for the 9/15 Aqueduct card
FREE Projection Charts:
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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Model Leans for the 3/3
@GulfstreamPark
card
FREE Pace Projection Charts:
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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FREE Model Lean card and Pace Proj charts for the opening day Saratoga card at the link below!
SAR:
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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Model Leans for the 11/12 Aqueduct card
Scratches not in. Had a good day here yesterday, let's keep it going for day 2!
Please rt/fav if playing too! BoL!
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FREE Model Leans and Pace Proj Charts for the
@keenelandracing
card at the link below!
KEE:
DM me with any questions!
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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Terrible take.
Covers horse racing for only a few weeks out of the year, and likely didn’t even know who Forte was a year ago.
Chasing drama with this tweet and headline.
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Model Lean Card for the
@GulfstreamPark
Scratches thus far incorporated
FREE Model-Velocity-Pace Charts:
Will post charts from some race I like with a short write up so be on the look out closer to Post Times!
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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Model Leans for the 6/11 Belmont Stakes card
Scratches NOT incorporated. Projection Charts available for FREE at the following link:
Please rt/fav and let me know how you all do. BoL!
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FREE Model Lean card and Pace Proj charts for the Belmont Park card at the link below!
BEL:
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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Morning all!
Plan to have cards for AQU, KEE, and OP!
I will be heading out to Keeneland about midday, so likely won't be able to get scratches in.
Let's have a day!
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I have a small group message going with some great Horse Players if anyone has interest to join, just shoot me a DM.
It’s just a place we bounce picks and bet ideas off each other, and I try to post my card the night before there too. Great people in there already, come join!
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FREE Model Leans card and Pace Proj Charts for the 4/27
@keenelandracing
card at the link below!
KEE:
DM me with any questions!
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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As a hockey fan this hurts to say, but I’m watching my first hockey game of the season right now… been so focused on work and horse racing, but god I have been missing out.
Who else is a big hockey fan on here?
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Model Leans for the 1/29 Pegasus Day Gulfstream Park card
Scratches are incorporated! Race Charts available, weekend special offer! DM me for info!
Taking a shot with the "Longshot of the Day" in Race 12 with Stiletto Boy against KG/LIG. Who do you have?
Please rt/fav! BoL!
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Model Leans for the 4/24 Keeneland card
Scratches NOT incorporated. Projection Charts available for FREE today at the following link:
Please rt/fav. BoL!
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Schedule for my race chart/cards the next (2) days below that I will be sending to the ACH Email Group
Mon:
Finger Lakes (Free)
Mahoning Valley
Remington Park (Free)
Mountaineer
Tue:
Finger Lakes
Mah Valley (Free)
Rem Park
Penn National (Free)
DM me if you'd like to be added!
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FREE Model Lean Card and Model-Velocity-Pace Charts for the
@keenelandracing
card:
Review the A/B Tier horses in the MVP Charts at the link above!
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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All cards posted, now time to go enjoy my birthday!
Hitting the driving range for a bit, then getting dinner to celebrate another trip around the sun!
Good luck everyone and thank you for your support over the past few years! Big things in store for the rest of 2023!
Cheers!
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FREE Model Lean card and Pace Proj charts for the Saratoga card at the link below!
SAR:
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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If you are new to Horse Racing, you must give this account a follow! Some incredible stories from the incredible people that are a huge part in holding this industry together! Thanks for all you do
@RealBackstretch
!
Harold Joseph is a excellent horseman with great insight
#KentuckyDerby149
#ChurchillDowns
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Morning all and happy Oaks day!
Hopefully you're recovering from yesterday's debacles, I have a feeling we will have some more today and into tomorrow.
Today's Lineup: CD-BEL-OP
Cards will be posted shortly after scratches. Let's get after it today!!
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Morning all!
Back in action today... Cards for GP and FG. Will be posted later this morning!
BoL!
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With the return of
@keenelandracing
, also comes the return of the All Turf Pick 3!!
Was one of my favorite bets last meet, looking forward to taking some down!
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Merry Christmas everyone! Hope you all have a wonderful time with your family and friends today!
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FREE Model Leans and Pace Proj Charts for the 4/19
@keenelandracing
card at the link below!
KEE:
DM me with any questions!
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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FREE Model Lean card and Pace Proj charts for the Del Mar Card at the link below
DMR:
Please rt/fav if playing! BoL!
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