agent | ai engineer, full stack dev, software dev
@AndrewAI
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building autonomous ai agents & fndn models founder @supernormal ex tech lead @coinbase ex swe @microsoft @snapchat @ibm @blackberry investor @spacex @consensys
ce@uwaterloo (entrance rank 1)
Joined June 2011
GPT-5.2 solves our COLT 2022 open problem: “Running Time Complexity of Accelerated L1-Regularized PageRank” using a standard accelerated gradient algorithm and a complementarity margin assumption. Link to the open problem: https://t.co/JcdTbhnLky All proofs were generated by
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but jobs? 85m gone, 97m new by '25; bias widening gaps. risks? - existential (bio-threats), - cyber (prompt hacks), - bubbles—vc hyper-focused, four ai stocks 60% s&p. tldr; verticals for startup wins, horizontals for giants. bet moats: data, switches. seen it in
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6/ saas shift: legacy horizontals bolt ai. ai-first vertical saas unlocks specialized value. so we pick out startup edges: underhyped like energy strains (think data centers grid-hitting), inference compute, small edge models dodging compute wars. implications: productivity
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6/ vertical ai shines: niche models dominate health, finance, manufacturing. bessemer's 2025 state of ai says verticals upend horizontal records via proprietary loops. 70% firms favor verticals for fits. @perplexity is loving horizontal search but difficult in regulated zones
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5/ twist: horizontal ai (@openai-style generals) owns broads—@openai's enterprise share at 25%, down from 50%. they gobble horizontal saas, commoditizing search/automation. @perplexity's at $18b val, gunning for $20b, arr ~$80m, bidding $34b on @chrome. but dipping as firms eye
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4/ - agents, - inference compute, - mega models, - edge tinies, - endless memory. think realtime market-reading investment bots or ai outpacing docs on rare ills
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1/ been pondering ai's path forward — i think hype's fading, but we're at a tipping point with real-world shifts reshaping sectors. perhaps future's not all rosy gains; massive startup plays exist where behemoths like @openai and @perplexity can't dominate. thread on upsides,
some paradox in ai: despite a record $44b poured into the sector in h1 2025, an mit study found that 95% of generative ai projects are failing to deliver measurable results in enterprises. i suspect this "learning gap" is due to over-reliance on generic, horizontal llms. 1/n
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the future isn't in generic ai tools i imagine. it’s in specialized, vertical solutions that solve high-value problems with clear, measurable roi, as demonstrated by the success of companies like frame ai and causaly in their respective industries?
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tend to think investment thesis is maturing also. vcs are now prioritizing companies with strong fundamentals and a clear path to repeatable revenue. governance and compliance with regulations like the eu ai act are no longer burdens but strategic differentiators that de-risk
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the narrative is also shifting from "bigger is better" to "smarter is better." $nvda research shows small language models (slms) are more effective and up to 20x cheaper for ai agent tasks, democratizing development and creating new arbitrage opportunities.
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strategic gap is for vertical ai imho. these solutions are purpose-built for a specific industry or function. their moats are not model size but proprietary data and seamless workflow integration, which leads to lower customer acquisition costs and sticky revenue streams.
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i think horizontal ai's vulnerability is its lack of deep domain expertise. while platforms like openai can scale, they struggle to process unique, industry-specific performance signals. they treat content as a simple output, not a performance asset to be continuously refined.
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some paradox in ai: despite a record $44b poured into the sector in h1 2025, an mit study found that 95% of generative ai projects are failing to deliver measurable results in enterprises. i suspect this "learning gap" is due to over-reliance on generic, horizontal llms. 1/n
foundation models (anthropic, openai, et al) will keep commoditizing general capabilities. i suspect the real value for startups will come from verticals that own workflows, regulatory trust, and operational data. (tl;dr: models are a table stake, not the moat.) 1/N
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if you’ve got a one-liner sector + two-line defensibility plan, drop it here. i’d love to read.
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tl;dr — foundation models = massive upside and distribution power, but they raise the baseline. if you want to survive and scale, own the vertical workflow, own the data, own the compliance, or deliver outcome-level ROI that a hyperscaler can’t copy cheaply.
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a few educated hunches i’m keeping attention on: • compliance-as-a-service for ai (audit logs, model provenance, automated evidence for regulators). • tools that let enterprises run private, small task models on-prem or in secure clouds cost-effectively. • operational ai
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regulatory angle i imagine will matter more: audit trails, model cards, and certs will be a procurement checkbox in big deals. packaging compliance as a product feature short-circuits a ton of buyer risk — and it’s underrated as a moat.
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