Ambly.io
@AmblyApp
Followers
80
Following
13
Media
27
Statuses
46
Find the best option to buy in 3 taps. 🔗👇
Joined November 2024
PSA: DO NOT USE OPTIONS PROFIT CALCULATOR TO PLAY EARNINGS. YOU WILL GET CRUSHED. Do this instead. #optionstrading $PLTR
0
2
6
The beauty of options - asymmetric risk:reward.
🚨 Someone just turned $10k → $3 MILLION with $SPY puts. The S&P 500 just had its biggest 2-day loss in 52 weeks, dropping -10.45%. But the 528 Put went up +26,650% 🤯. #OptionsTrading
0
0
0
If timing off 50%, 3:1 risk-reward still available:
app.ambly.io
Trade options like a world-class poker player.
0
0
0
Options market pricing in a 14% chance of a 33% $ACN pullback by EOY. 4:1 risk-reward available. Could make sense to play it if you believe there's actually a 30% chance this would happen.
$ACN is a good short. insane valuation, AI will take a bite out of both of their main businesses over time. it's just an old dead bloated company that will shrink over the next decade.
1
0
3
Try free to simulate other scenarios!.
ambly.io
Thoughtful options trading, made ridiculously easy. Find the best options for a prediction. Actionable insights in just 3 taps.
0
0
0
Well it's helpful to know that a nerfed Kelly Criterion is suggesting some allocation would be warranted even if you only believed there was a 10% chance NVDA rebounds 15%
1
0
0
E.g. there is a 1:17 risk reward option out there, that is forecasted to net ~1,600% gain if $NVDA really does rebound back up by EOW. But what if you're unsure about the timing. "I think it'll come back up 15%. but I don't know about this week".
1
0
0
But despite the experts saying the sell-off is unwarranted, the options market is pricing in just a ~3% chance $NVDA rebounds back up 15% by end of week. But if the market starts to believe the experts, what would happen? There are some juicy options out there.
1
0
0
Satya Nadella (CEO of Microsoft) citing Jevons paradox about how cost reduction can cause overall demand increase
1
0
0
Sam Altman (CEO of OpenAI). ". more compute is more important now than ever before"
5
0
0
@adamdangelo (one of few OpenAI Board Members, CEO of Quora, ex-CTO of Facebook). "Cheaper AGI will drive even more GPU demand"
6
0
0
The folks most deeply acquainted with AI, ACROSS THE BOARD, are implying this is a time to BUY $NVDA rather than SELL $NVDA. If $NVDA bounces back, there are some EXTREMELY juicy options opportunities available. 🧵of what the experts are saying + the best $NVDA calls to consider
1
0
2
RT @EpicTradeAlerts: 🚨 Someone just turned $10k into $850k from $NVDA puts. Nvidia ($NVDA) just had its 3rd biggest 4-day LOSS in 52 weeks….
0
2
0
That would be a drop of about 77%. Markets pricing in a <1% chance of happening by end of Feb:. Consequently, some very nice risk-reward available (1:17 / 1,600% gain). Even if you think there's only a 10% chance this might happen, nerfed Kelley criterion suggesting 4%
0
0
0
Markets pricing in ~12% chance $IONQ down 50% by end of Feb. 1:4 risk-reward options available if this happens (~300% gain). Nerfed Kelly criterion suggesting 5.5% allocation if you're 30% sure this will happen. But what if $IONQ goes down to its Mid-Oct levels of $10 before
another day and $IONQ and $RGTI shitty/tiny QCs are offline. but the stock are up? this is one of the best shorts i've seen in my career. we are further away from quantum than even I thought: check out the Los Alamos roadmap from a while back for a laugh.
1
0
6