Psycho
@AltcoinPsycho
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ex #1 leaderboard algo trader ~ building @Ambush
Joined December 2017
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Pinned Tweet
Quick life update
Excited to share I’m joining
@Coinbase
as their 1st ever sponsored trader to advise on the product development of their new perp & spot trading platform
@CoinbaseTraders
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Gotta love seeing 95% of the crypto ecosystem down because of a Cloudflare outage
Very decentralized! Great work guys!
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will be open sourcing and releasing all my trading tools for free
gonna help as many people (including myself lol) make it all back
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Twitter is funny because you see people with $4000 portfolios confidently critiquing people worth $50M+ on their trading strategies
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Bionic text is a game changer.
Definitely easier to read and retain compared to standard font.
We’re just scratching the surface in the world of biohacking
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Interesting how both FTX and FTX US have been hacked, considering they're completely different entities with completely different security protocols
Hard to believe this isn't a coordinated inside job, most FTX admins don't have access to FTX US and vice versa
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BTC goes from 22k to 27k and the maxis all start calling for $1M in 90 days
This is why we can’t have nice things
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Me and the fellas on our way to find another centralized exchange to custody our funds on
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If there is just one thing I’ve learned in my 9 years of trading:
Don’t touch a stock or crypto if the founder openly talks about its price movements
Any founder that conflates price with real traction is a walking red flag
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gm frens. I have 3 rules for you
1) Don’t copy trade me. I rebalance my portfolio often - you may get dumped on
2) Always assume my investment risk tolerance is higher than yours
3) I’m here to make money, not hold your hand. Never blindly trust twitter anons (including me!)
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Crazy how much money companies like Genesis, Celsius, FTX, Alameda, etc could have made long term if they just did their job correctly at the most basic function
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Just asked AI to write me a python script to create a backtesting engine for trading strategies
The game is truly about to change for devs and algorithmic traders
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I’d panic about the whole OpenSea situation but all my NFTs are basically worthless
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People going crazy over a birth control pill for men that’s 99% effective when you could just wear your Bored Ape on a shirt / hat for 100% effectiveness
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Turns out God has a $2000 daily withdrawal limit
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I hope I’m wrong but I don’t think CZ will actually acquire FTX
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Making wealth in crypto is a giant video game, and you have the choice of making it a co-op game.
For whatever reason, many of you choose to play solo mode instead.
Building wealth becomes infinitely easier with friends you can trust + develop alpha with
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People celebrating 75bps hike as if it’s bullish, twitter completely lost its mind lol
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Friendly reminder that the severe levels of fraud done by Zhu Su / 3AC was one of the first dominos of this entire mess
Do not welcome this man back.
He is not your friend, he is a criminal.
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My strategy has always been to invest in projects “selling shovels in a gold rush”
The metaverse will be a big deal
Instead of guessing which metaverse project wins, I rather invest in the infrastructure supporting it:
Decentralized cloud compute.
Keep an eye on that sector
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Total crypto marketcap: $1.11T
Nvidia marketcap: $1.16T
Really makes you wonder...
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BTC is 1 god candle away from an all time high and retail interest is still notably lower than the past cycle.
Let that sink in.
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The middle class will eventually be squeezed out of existence.
This isn't a left vs right issue, it's a wealth class issue caused by a quickly deteriorating system created to serve the wealthy.
If you aren't hustling your ass off these next few years to get comfy, you're NGMI.
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Charting Bitcoin seems useless here, the charts won’t tell where a bottom is
Macro is in the driver seat - if the fed pulls the rug and stocks collapse, support trend lines are just memes
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The older / wiser I get, the less faith I have in governments
I’m not a conspiracy theorist - I don’t even think 1st world governments are bad actors
I just think they’re grossly incompetent and more often than not, too old in age to have relevant insights
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This is the most silent & uninterested crypto twitter has felt since 2018
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$BTC
THE GUPPY HAS FLIPPED GREEN
Unless this is a fakeout, which has only happened twice on the bitcoin daily chart, the trend has officially been reversed.
This is where you should start longing every bullish SFP (with stops)
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LOL Iron Finance just came back from the dead to troll Do Kwon
Wtf is this timeline
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swear half of twitter is on a mental health break
the ones that stick around are either going to be absurdly wealthy or will finish this bear market with 2 personality disorders and severe depression
no in between lol
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Idk who needs to hear this but if you think Citadel and Blackrock were the ones who de-pegged UST then:
1) delete Reddit from your phone
2) go outside and touch grass
3) seek help
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oops..
@Bitboy_Crypto
Would be a shame if an anon larping as Patrick Bateman recreated his indicator & open-sourced the logic for free
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This is the part of the cycle where all you need to do is ~do nothing~
We’re entering the 2nd leg, which is the most volatile part of an uptrend.
+-20% days will be a norm.
I’ve seen this stage liquidate more traders than any other stage.
Most should just sit on their hands.
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I asked AI how it would destroy the crypto industry if it were assigned the task to do so
Pretty coherent and thorough answer, I'm still mindblown by this thing
@OpenAI
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IMO few will nail the top.
It's impossible to predict. It's likely far higher.
ETFs will change how crypto trades, yet we lack precedent to know how.
What was once froth is now organic demand.
Just don't obsess over tops/bottoms, life changing $ is made in the middle.
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RIP for all the retail traders who bought in to the BTC stock to flow nonsense
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Business idea:
A bank that doesn’t gamble with customer deposits
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Just wait till we find out which defi projects had their treasuries in anchor / UST…
I think we’re about to some big names go under, and I can’t imagine this boding well for BTC.
Regulatory fud going to be relentless these next few months too. Stay safe
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I’m unironically more bullish now that the foundational cracks of our industry have exposed themselves
I think there’s a lot more pain to come unfortunately, but on a bigger picture scale, this was a necessary evil for the space to mature and continue on
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I’ve never once seen a successful trader blame someone else for their loss
The most accurate indicator of future success / failure as a trader IMO is accountability
People always blame VCs, influencers, politicians, etc for their losses.
If you do this, you shouldn’t trade.
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Serious question - what do you even do at this point if you’re Do Kwon?
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The hardest part of bear markets is fighting the bull fomo you see in each mini rally
Sitting on your hands is an acquired skill; it takes practice. Despite what others say, no position *is* a position.
There’s a few times a year where the market gives free money, wait for it.
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If you’re a student and you’re reading this tweet, take a semester off and go full time crypto
The younger you are, the higher your (calculated) risk appetite should be.
And I promise - graduating a semester late won’t change a thing (if you even decide to resume your studies)
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@elonmusk
I’m seeing way more verified scam / impersonation accounts, which are 10x more dangerous than the bots
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The Fed is giving obvious clues that Thursday’s GDP report will be bad. Brace for a volatile week.
->Widely accepted definition of recession is 2 consecutive quarters of GDP contraction
—> Whitehouse just changed the definition of ‘recession’, saying the 2 quarter rule is wrong
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@SBF_FTX
Why was FTX sending money via FTX / FTX US to Alameda during this blackout period?
“Winding down trading” does not seem to mean a direct halt of trading
Why not shut Alameda down ASAP and commit all Alameda assets towards topping off FTX user funds?
It’s the least you can do
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Wonder how the guy who turned down $30M for his punk is doing
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Boomers are quickly ruining the entire world, when will people realize this and stop electing dinosaurs to office
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@SBF_FTX
What about the thousands of customers who did an ACH withdrawal pre-bankruptcy announcement and never received money in their bank?
If FTX US was fully solvent, then the bank account used to process ACH withdrawals would have continued processing no?
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Getting DMs about my exit plan so here it is
disclaimer; it's not exciting.
Each time I think the top is in, I sell 1/3 of my stack.
The 1st sell may be too early, the 3rd sell too late.
But that 2nd sell tends to be perfect.
I've tried it all, this remains my best performer.
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Highly suggest planning your exit strategy / marking take profit levels before euphoria kicks in.
It's much harder to be objective when price goes parabolic. Your goalposts will start to shift.
I made that mistake in past cycles, it's not fun.
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I’ve finally realized it takes a certain type of mental illness to stick around on Crypto Twitter for more than 5 years
Unfortunately I might have it
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Dumbfounded how SBF isn’t under police custody, not even Bahamas police
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A simple rule that’ll keep a lot of you out of trouble
Any time you feel like it’s a top, sell 25%
You’ll likely be wrong 3-4 times, so by the time you fully exit your position, it’s closer to the actual top.
I do this myself with shorter term trades in price discovery
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1/ The illusion of alpha
Arguably the biggest way I've seen good traders burn out is the never ending search for a unique edge in the market
But what if I told you that 95% of the time, alpha is an illusion. And furthermore, most traders look for it in the wrong places
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Crypto rule
#1
, don’t become the main character.
CZ just inherited the main character role, wether he wants it or not
Will be interesting to see how it plays out
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Black Swan market crash if Ukraine loses control of Kyiv IMO
cascading liquidation type event
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On the bright side, this crypto winter is about to get so ugly that it will undoubtedly be the 'great reset' we've all been saying crypto needs before true Valhalla
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The downfall of nearly all major players in crypto since genesis can be plainly summarized in 1 word:
Greed
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@100trillionUSD
Fun fact: if you were an analyst at any half decent quant firm and your data model projection was 62% off, you’d be fired on the spot
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So many poorly designed unlocks are are happening this year, a lot of popular alts will likely get hammered.
2022 will be the year that humbles everyone who said FDV or tokenomics are a meme
TA won’t save you from a shitty emission curve crushing your project
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Project: our smart contract has been audited by the top 3 audit firms
The audit firms:
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I think the rotation on deck will look like this:
BTC ---> meme tokens round 2 ---> mid/large cap alts ---> bluechip alts ---> mid/large cap alts break all time highs
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BTC is a sneeze away from all time high.
And non-crypto people still think BTC is trading around $35k-$40k.
This is good.
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I didn’t buy $sushi until after I saw a recovery plan I liked
Same with LUNA - not buying unless that happens (doubt it will now tbh)
But IF (big if) the ecosystem can be salvaged somehow, I’m buying big.
People don’t realize how many amazing builders are in that ecosystem
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This is why the markets are nuking today. RIP Bog
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@SBF_FTX
24 tweets in and you still haven’t made any mention of using FTX deposits to bail out Alameda
This was fraud, not a miscalculation, nor a byproduct of complacency
Why did FTX send customer $ to Alameda? This is the single burning question everyone has, time to answer it
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The worst part of this BTC pump is that we’ll have to see a Plan B tweet saying how stock-2-flow shows we may reach $300k by end of month
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Capo closed his shorts...
You guys know what this means right?
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And just like that, the whole feed has flipped bearish after 10 days of euphoric bull posting
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If I see one more person doing TA on an algorithmic stablecoin I might have a stroke
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What are all the steps someone in crypto should take after buying a new computer to fully protect their device, in terms of security and privacy?
I’m writing a guide, I’ll take the best contributions and add them.
Let’s see if we can crowdsource a solid guide on this topic
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A really underrated strategy is copy trading finex whales and counter trading bybit apes
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Can’t shake the feeling that some big names will release a UST post-mortem soon that’ll shake up the markets
People assume the dust has settled. I doubt it… I think we’re just at the tip of the iceberg
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Dude dumped his entire $215k unibot bag just hours after tweeting multiple times about the project
Bearish until we wash out these midcurve bums
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If you think this market is fun just wait until memecoins & BTC liquidity rotate back in to quality altcoins.
Best gains of a cycle tend to happen in the 2nd leg up.
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2022 will be the year the Cosmos ecosystem becomes the center of attention.
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How to improve any country overnight:
Ban:
-Lobbying
-Politicans over age 65
-Gov officials trading stocks
-Big pharma marketing direct to consumer
-Corporations buying residential real estate
-Zoning laws against mixed-use housing
-Unelected officials having federal authority
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