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@AlessioUrban
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🇮🇹 Global Macro & Options - ALWAYS IN BUSINESS 👊
Lugano, Svizzera
Joined February 2015
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The Nasdaq/dow Jones ratio has started to drop at the exact same level of 2000 dotcom
This is mental
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Enjoy the full belly fellas.. the cost of fertilizers has made a new all time high this week
“Transitory”
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European economy is about to implode and people do only think about sun, beach, disco and spritz aperol
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imo china needs a war to distract their population.. the real estate crisis is out of control
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Europe’s Misery index (unemployment rate + inflation rate)
All time highs
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China is locking down almost all cities.. supply chain disruption pt2
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Sell everything
Hedge funds are betting against bonds and stocks
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The contract of December for electricity in Germany hit a new all time high
German production on the brink of the collapse at this pace
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Dollar index 103
The euro currency is collapsing and no mention on the mainstream media
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BOE: economy will fall in recession this year
Stagflation
The Bank of England is still the most honest central bank
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Bank of America says margin calls will show up once SPX breaks 3600 forcing liquidation
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The cost of fertilizers is skyrocketing
Here it is the melt up
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The middle class is underwater.. we need to fight more..
Stock market
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everytime the yield curve inverts.. the FED starts cutting rates.. you're about to witness the first hiking cycle before a recession lol.. investors all over the world are panicking for this reason
the FED is trapped
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*UK INFLATION WILL HIT 18.6% ACCORDING TO CITIGROUP- FT
Englandzuela
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ST. LOUIS FED ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY INDEX
highest level since 1987 stock market crash
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Perceived temperatures for this coming Friday in US.. huge if true
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*IMF warns of domino effect for the most vulnerable countries
Wait the next 75bps hike by the FED
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FED’S MESTER: THE FED HAS MADE NO PROGRESS IN LOWERING INFLATION.
Translated: brace yourselves for tomorrow’s data
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Price of coal
Everyone is focused on TTF (natural gas) meanwhile coal is surging toward new record
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We fucked up everything in this world.. global famine, no real growth, young people are not able to afford a home, debt, wars, collapsing purchasing power, collapsing crude birth rate… US is still blocked in 20th century with hate crimes lol.. now we are back to 2008
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FED'S KASHKARI: BIG BANKS IN US NEED MORE CAPITAL
brace for impact
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VIX spiked before the close.. biggest bull trap in the history.. weekly flow has exploded
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many are underestimating the gravity of the situation.. if yields start to collapse in midst of a rate hike cycle lol.. it's time to run
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Germany PPI 37.2% vs 32%
5% of miss in estimates.. we live in a clown world.. inflation is skyrocketing
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BLOOMBERG: LAGARDE DOESN'T SEE RECESSION IN EURO-AREA
she doesn't see anything, mickey mouse can make better forecasts
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Easy way to distinguish a bear market rally vs a bounce: look at CDS
Credit market doesn’t lie
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SEC: ELON MUSK’S TWEETS ABOUT DOGECOIN ARE CURRENTLY UNDER INVESTIGATION
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KAZAKHSTANI ENERGY MINISTRY: OIL EXTRACTION IN THE COUNTRY'S LARGEST FIELDS WILL STOP UNTIL NEXT OCTOBER DUE TO MAINTENANCE WORK.
Maintenance is the new transitory
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Who is buying the stock market? According to Bank of America the main provider of liquidity has been buybacks.
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An Italian entrepreneur showing his energy bill
From 120k last year to almost 1M
Cd:
Mentre i politici litigano per una poltrona calda, gli imprenditori sono lasciati soli in mezzo alla giungla energetica. Per lavorare 15 giorni di Luglio, mi tocca pagare una bolletta di gas di 978.000,00 a fronte di circa 120.000 dello scorso anno (per 20 giorni di lavoro)
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Hedge funds have the biggest net short position on US treasuries ahead of the FED meeting.
They bet yields will bounce.
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People ask me “when” the collapse will happen
When precious metals start collapsing like silver because liquidity is drying up fast.. put this statement on the wall
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EURUSD is about to collapse below the parity.. about to turn in eurozuela
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Credit default swaps for Debit Suisse
Zoltan is going to lose his job
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CLO (leveraged loans) bonds are collapsing.. no bueno for buybacks
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back on desk.. price of gasoline..
nobody is ready for what is coming
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I agree with Zoltan… the FED has to crash the market aggressively to lower inflation.. the situation is out of control
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Germany’s Union Head Warns of Collapse of Entire Industries
Nobody is laughing at Trump anymore
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BBG: German bankers fear a surge in defaults if Russia cuts off the gas supply
Deutsche bank on suicide watch again
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Houston we have a problem
Contracts spread futures for gasoline jumps the most on record signaling shortage
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IMF: Sri Lanka president sent a letter saying the country has collapsed as they have no money left to buy fuel
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China is injecting a record amount of liquidity into the system 😳
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small tip.. EURO is falling apart because the balance of trade is deeply negative, imports of energy and weakening economy will push down strongly the euro currency
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Many sectors are bouncing but credit is not
The market can’t ignore it
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Elon musk fourth richest man in the world.. owner of a company which doesn’t make money and goes parabolic at wall street ..
He is the symbol of this failed system
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Imo the risk of a social unrest is rising in Europe.. people are starting to understand that this war will blow up the economy
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US bank index -25% from the highs.. biggest decline since 2020
Few are noticing it
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*US MORTGAGE RATES SURGE TO 5.78% IN BIGGEST JUMP SINCE 1987
Great year 1987
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EURUSD has erased all gains.. the euro is fucking dead if breaks this support
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Perfect storm for developing countries triggers the most sever net outflows in 17 years - FT
The shit will hit the fan soon
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The FED has to crash the markets to fight inflation- Zoltan Polzsar
No way out..inflation keeps increasing
Soft landing is a myth
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economy is collapsing.. so why is the stock market up? credit - low/medium household keep spending using credit/personal savigs
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