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Alaric Securities Profile
Alaric Securities

@AlaricSec

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Alaric Securities is an FSC-regulated broker/dealer geared to serve Professional, Active, and High-Frequency Traders, Asset Managers, and Trading Groups.

Joined February 2016
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
4 days
S&P 500: +16% YTD Confidence: 10-year low That gap matters for the market outlook for 2026. Full outlook: https://t.co/aaqROFU4sH
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
12 days
The new Fed Chair has winning Odds of 78% and Zero years of Prior Fed experience. Is the market backing the wrong person? https://t.co/nEX1paf43X #MarketInsights #FED
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
13 days
Trading isn’t about charts. It’s about emotions we pretend we don’t feel 😅 Baby traders confess it all 👶📉 👇 What’s YOUR trading confession? #TradersAnonymous #TradingHumor
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
14 days
🇺🇸 U.S. economic data this week ➡️ Tues: NFIB Small Business Index, ADP Weekly Employment Change, JOLTS Job Openings ➡️ Wed: Employment Cost Index, Fed Rate Decision ➡️ Thurs: Jobless Claims, Trade Balance $DIA $SPY $QQQ $VIX #economics #markets #data #FOMC
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
20 days
🇺🇸 November 2025 PMI: Manufacturing Softens, Services Hold Firm Manufacturing PMI came in at 48.2, the 9th month of contraction. Orders and hiring weakened, though production stabilized. This isn’t recession territory—ISM notes levels above ~42–43 can still align with GDP
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
20 days
Final view from Trading Edge 360: Markets are not always right in the short term. Once uncertainty fades, MSTR may deliver more substantial long-term returns than Bitcoin itself.
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
20 days
The S&P 500 angle remains a wildcard. Near-term inclusion is unlikely given sentiment, but not impossible. Any future inclusion would create substantial forced buying and strengthen the bullish case.
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
20 days
For investors considering Bitcoin, $MSTR offers a differentiated path: 🔹BTC exposure 🔹Corporate leverage 🔹Potential upside from sentiment normalization or index-related flows It seems that MSTR is currently undervalued relative to its long-term fundamentals.
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
20 days
Taken together: 🔹Analysts remain constructive 🔹Shorts are not aggressive 🔹 Market pricing assumes excessive leverage ➡️ This setup looks like a mispricing rather than a fundamental collapse.
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
20 days
Short interest is below 10%. Not extremely low, but far from a bearish stampede. If investors truly believed the negative narrative, short exposure would be materially higher.
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
20 days
Current prices imply almost 200% upside to the average analyst target. A valuation gap this large for a company approaching $50B in market cap is rare and suggests the market may be overshooting.
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
20 days
Over the past 90 days, 14 analysts have issued ratings. Most are Buy or Strong Buy. Only one Strong Sell. Consensus rating: 4.5/5 - unusually strong for a stock facing this kind of volatility.
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
20 days
Another concern: potential removal from the MSCI index in 2026. It’s a meaningful risk, but far from guaranteed. Sentiment has swung sharply negative, but fundamentals haven’t shifted nearly as much.
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
20 days
$MSTR (Strategy Inc.) has dropped nearly 50% over the past three months, while Bitcoin is down only 25%. The market is treating MSTR like a 2:1 leveraged BTC trade, but most analysts place actual exposure much closer to 1:1. That disconnect is important.
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
25 days
Market outlook for this turkey? 🔥 Strong heat, limited upside, stop-loss not triggered in time. Wishing you a day of warmth, appreciation, and a meal worth slowing down for. Happy Thanksgiving from #AlaricSecurities ! #thanksgiving #thanksgiving2025
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
27 days
Just in 🇺🇸: Fed’s Miran warns monetary policy is now too restrictive and hurting the job market. He pushed for a 50bps cut at the last meeting and hopes fresh jobs data will sway officials toward a December rate cut amid growing divisions inside the Fed.
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@AlaricSec
Alaric Securities
27 days
📉 US retail sales slowed to +0.2% in Sept 2025, far below August’s +0.6%. The delayed report (post-shutdown) gives the first full read on consumers in nearly two months and it lands weeks before the Fed’s December meeting. • Ex-gas: flat • Hobby: -2.5% • E-commerce: -0.7%
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