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Adam Mancini

@AdamMancini4

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Full-Time Futures Trader ES intraday, also swing trade ETFs 2-7 day holds. Fully transparent approach. Posts for my notes only!

Canada
Joined May 2016
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
3 years
Pro traders aren't any better at "predicting" where the market will go than a hobby trader, and its not the job. The difference is all in execution: Finding lvls, protecting profits once available, stopping out & adjusting when wrong, and consistant loss size control. Focus there.
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
11 hours
RT @AdamMancini4: Closing update: After 10 green days and after hitting the 6325+ macro triangle measured move target, #ES_F puts in a smal….
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
11 hours
Closing update: After 10 green days and after hitting the 6325+ macro triangle measured move target, #ES_F puts in a small red day. 6251 was support as posted, and good bounce off it. Bulls need 81 to recover to end the dip. 51 fails, 38 next. Newsletter out soon with entries.
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
12 hours
Always interesting how technicals & headlines coincide in #ES_F. On June 23rd, #ES_F broke out a two week bull triangle. Since then I'd posted 6325 was the "measured move target". We hit it Thurs & after 10 green days sold, coinciding with tariff news. Time to work off the rally.
@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
4 days
While this is just a big picture note, worth noting that for last two weeks, I've posted that #ES_F had built and broken out bull triangle. This gave us a 380 point long. As posted last Saturday, the measured move target for this structure is 6325, and its been hit. Charting 101.
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
12 hours
After 10 green days we are back to proper trading in #ES_F, at least for now. 6281 was the bull/bear line. We lost it, backtested precisely from below 2x. I posted 6250 was next down. We hit it, bounced. 6260 (hit), 6271, 6281 were 1st up. Bulls need 81 to recover. 38 below 50.
@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
12 hours
Tariff headlines driving price as #ES_F cools off after 10 green in a row & theres 6250 next down hit. All about 6281 today as posted. Bulls control above/bears below. We back-tested it exact from below 2x, no recovery, so down we go. 6260, 6271, 6281 above now. 6238 next support.
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
12 hours
Tariff headlines driving price as #ES_F cools off after 10 green in a row & theres 6250 next down hit. All about 6281 today as posted. Bulls control above/bears below. We back-tested it exact from below 2x, no recovery, so down we go. 6260, 6271, 6281 above now. 6238 next support.
@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
13 hours
Precision continues as we cool-off after 10 green days. Today's all about 6281 as posted & #ES_F cant agree more. It got us long Friday to 6315 target. It held today at 11:50AM for 10 points, then failed. Just backtested again exact & dipped. Reclaim sees 6290+. 6251-53=support.
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
13 hours
Precision continues as we cool-off after 10 green days. Today's all about 6281 as posted & #ES_F cant agree more. It got us long Friday to 6315 target. It held today at 11:50AM for 10 points, then failed. Just backtested again exact & dipped. Reclaim sees 6290+. 6251-53=support.
@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
14 hours
Tariff headlines temporarily shook #ES_F out its low volatility state. Today is all about 6281 as posted all day. It was support Friday & we ran to 6315 target. We held it 11:50AM today, bounced 10, then lost it. At 12:30AM, we backtested exact, sold. 81 must reclaim to see 6290+.
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
14 hours
Tariff headlines temporarily shook #ES_F out its low volatility state. Today is all about 6281 as posted all day. It was support Friday & we ran to 6315 target. We held it 11:50AM today, bounced 10, then lost it. At 12:30AM, we backtested exact, sold. 81 must reclaim to see 6290+.
@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
14 hours
Just after last tweet we finally got headlines to shake things up in #ES_F. After running to 6315 target as posted, 6281 became support. We held 6281 exact, bounced to 6290 1st target, flushed it on headlines. 6271 1st down, hit. 6281 must reclaim to see 6290+. 51-53, 38 below.
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
14 hours
Just after last tweet we finally got headlines to shake things up in #ES_F. After running to 6315 target as posted, 6281 became support. We held 6281 exact, bounced to 6290 1st target, flushed it on headlines. 6271 1st down, hit. 6281 must reclaim to see 6290+. 51-53, 38 below.
@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
15 hours
While its a slow day as we work off last weeks rally, lvls still precise. 6281 got us long Friday and was support today as posted. 6315 was 1st target this morning, we hit it to the tick. 6281 was support, just held & bounced 10. 6298, 6305 if #ES_F wants more. 81 fails, 71 below.
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
15 hours
While its a slow day as we work off last weeks rally, lvls still precise. 6281 got us long Friday and was support today as posted. 6315 was 1st target this morning, we hit it to the tick. 6281 was support, just held & bounced 10. 6298, 6305 if #ES_F wants more. 81 fails, 71 below.
@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
16 hours
I warned at 930AM "prepare for complex action" & this is typical in #ES_F after a big trend leg like last week. Todays 1st target was 6315. We hit to the tick. 6298 was support. Held exact, bounced 12 points, failed. 6290, 6281 were below. At 90 now. 98 reclaim sees 6305. Sell<81.
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
15 hours
RT @AdamMancini4: Note: We are in very slow mid-day chop now (remember most action is clustered around the opens and closes unless a headli….
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
15 hours
Note: We are in very slow mid-day chop now (remember most action is clustered around the opens and closes unless a headline hits), but 90 recovery now though probably takes ES back to that 98 shelf again. Cluster of lows at 6290 from 9pm and 215AM last night.
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
16 hours
I warned at 930AM "prepare for complex action" & this is typical in #ES_F after a big trend leg like last week. Todays 1st target was 6315. We hit to the tick. 6298 was support. Held exact, bounced 12 points, failed. 6290, 6281 were below. At 90 now. 98 reclaim sees 6305. Sell<81.
@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
17 hours
I warned 40mins ago "prepare for complex action" & underway. It was after a precise start. 6281 support triggered long Friday & as posted 8am 6315 was 1st up today. 15 hit to the tick. 6298, 6281 were supports & #ES_F likes 98. 6290, 6281 if it fails. Same upsides. Dont overtrade.
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
17 hours
I warned 40mins ago "prepare for complex action" & underway. It was after a precise start. 6281 support triggered long Friday & as posted 8am 6315 was 1st up today. 15 hit to the tick. 6298, 6281 were supports & #ES_F likes 98. 6290, 6281 if it fails. Same upsides. Dont overtrade.
@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
17 hours
Precise technicals to start the day in #ES_F. 6315 was 1st target, we hit it *to the tick* and sold. 6281 macro backtest triggered long on Friday, with 6294, 6305, 6315 targets. Prepare for Complex action now. No change: 6298, 6281=supports. 05 reclaim sees 6315, 6323. Dip<6281.
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
17 hours
Precise technicals to start the day in #ES_F. 6315 was 1st target, we hit it *to the tick* and sold. 6281 macro backtest triggered long on Friday, with 6294, 6305, 6315 targets. Prepare for Complex action now. No change: 6298, 6281=supports. 05 reclaim sees 6315, 6323. Dip<6281.
@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
19 hours
On Friday 750AM, I posted 6281 was support/macro Back-Test in #ES_F to long. We tested it & targets given were 6294 (hit Friday), then 6303-05 (hit last eve). Plan today: Hold runner. 6305 (weak), 6298=supports. Keeps 6315, 6323 live. 98 fails, dip to 6281 again. Sell below.
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
19 hours
On Friday 750AM, I posted 6281 was support/macro Back-Test in #ES_F to long. We tested it & targets given were 6294 (hit Friday), then 6303-05 (hit last eve). Plan today: Hold runner. 6305 (weak), 6298=supports. Keeps 6315, 6323 live. 98 fails, dip to 6281 again. Sell below.
@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
4 days
Slow holiday in #ES_F as typical but lvls respecting well. 6281 was today's support. It was the reclaim of this that gave us the parabolic leg to ~6335 final target yesterday. It backtested overnight. 6294 remains 1st up if ES has energy, then 6303. When 81 fails, we start dip.
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
1 day
Having an edge day trading means putting blinders on. It means I don't care about 1. The economy 2. Where SPX will be next month 3. How it gets there. All bias-creating noise. *All* I care about is planning reaction zones, waiting on my 1 setup, managing it lvl to lvl, repeat.
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
3 days
RT @1SteveC1: @AdamMancini4 Wow. Your Friday newsletter has so many "gold nuggets" in it, especially the trade recap section. Thank you so….
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
3 days
Big Picture View #ES_F: On June 21st, I posted ES built a huge 2 week bull triangle 5979-6050. My "measured move" target was 6325 and after +380 points, we hit it. ES also backtested macro channel from 2023. Plan Next Week: Dip/consolidate. 6281, 6250, 6238 are main pivots. When
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
4 days
RT @AdamMancini4: Closing update: Slow holiday, but we got a level to level move defending 6281 support & rallying to ~6294 1st target. Aft….
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@AdamMancini4
Adam Mancini
4 days
Closing update: Slow holiday, but we got a level to level move defending 6281 support & rallying to ~6294 1st target. After 9 green days in a row, and with #ES_F hitting my 6335 triangle measured move targets, things get interesting next week. Newsletter out soon talking entries.
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