Adam Mancini
@AdamMancini4
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Full-Time Futures Trader ES intraday, also swing trade ETFs 2-7 day holds. Fully transparent approach. Posts for my notes only!
Canada
Joined May 2016
Pro traders aren't any better at "predicting" where the market will go than a hobby trader, and its not the job. The difference is all in execution: Finding lvls, protecting profits once available, stopping out & adjusting when wrong, and consistant loss size control. Focus there.
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Closing update #ES_F: Its been an incredible run. 6461 was today's support as posted. Targets were 6480, 6488, 6498, 6505 final. We are at 6505. We are very close to the trigger point make the run to macro megaphone resistance. Newsletter out soon talking details/next entries.
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Big payout from the 6461 long (just hit ~6505 final) & no magic to it in #ES_F. Same thing everyday: I don't short, I plan my zones in newsletter. I trade Failed Breakdowns longs when we sweep/trap a low at those zones. We get 1-3 per day. Lock in gains lvl to lvl, leave runner.
We continue to squeeze from this mornings 6461 textbook Failed Breakdown in #ES_F and 6461 has been an absolute ATM machine, now +40 points. Today's target set given here and in 4pm ystd newsletter were 6480, 6488, 6498, 6505. Almost at 6505. Sit on runner. 6511, then ATHs above.
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We continue to squeeze from this mornings 6461 textbook Failed Breakdown in #ES_F and 6461 has been an absolute ATM machine, now +40 points. Today's target set given here and in 4pm ystd newsletter were 6480, 6488, 6498, 6505. Almost at 6505. Sit on runner. 6511, then ATHs above.
Note: This was a clear example of my core setup: The Failed Breakdown. As I say in newsletter markets trap by their nature. Our job is to trade the traps. We swept 6461 low, recovered, longs triggered hit 6480 target. Shut platform, ride runner. Rest of newsletter setups apply
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Note: There's 6498 tagged in #ES_F (6497.75) & these targets were given in last nights newsletter as well. We are now 37 points from this mornings long trigger so protect profits now, hold small runner. We have some structure just overhead now that we will need to chew through
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We are 35 points from this mornings 6461 Failed Breakdown long in #ES_F. 6461 support posted 8am, held exact for 14 points. We then swept it 10:15AM, trapped, squeezed. Targets given were 6474, 6480 main (both hit), 6488, 6498 bonus (almost). Ride runner. 6507, 6511 next batch.
We continue to run the targets nicely in #ES_F. 6461 was today's support as posted 8am. Targets provided this morning 8am-9am and last night in newsletter were 6474, 6480 main (both hit). 6488 (hit), 6498, 6507 bonus. We got our entry, now just ride runner. Basing above 80 now.
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Note: For those who want context as to why we rallied today, it was caused by the same thing that produces *all* rallies in ES. My core setup, the Failed Breakdown, which is the footprint on the chart of institutional accumulation. Our job is to follow
Note: This was a clear example of my core setup: The Failed Breakdown. As I say in newsletter markets trap by their nature. Our job is to trade the traps. We swept 6461 low, recovered, longs triggered hit 6480 target. Shut platform, ride runner. Rest of newsletter setups apply
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We continue to run the targets nicely in #ES_F. 6461 was today's support as posted 8am. Targets provided this morning 8am-9am and last night in newsletter were 6474, 6480 main (both hit). 6488 (hit), 6498, 6507 bonus. We got our entry, now just ride runner. Basing above 80 now.
6488 1st bonus target hit. 6461 has been an ATM machine. Its all that matters in #ES_F. As posted 8am, its support today. Held exact at 9am, bounced to 6474, swept 61 after, ran again. Targets given were 6474, 6480. 6488, 6498 bonus. 6507 above. Hold runner. 6461 remains support.
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Note: This was a clear example of my core setup: The Failed Breakdown. As I say in newsletter markets trap by their nature. Our job is to trade the traps. We swept 6461 low, recovered, longs triggered hit 6480 target. Shut platform, ride runner. Rest of newsletter setups apply
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6488 1st bonus target hit. 6461 has been an ATM machine. Its all that matters in #ES_F. As posted 8am, its support today. Held exact at 9am, bounced to 6474, swept 61 after, ran again. Targets given were 6474, 6480. 6488, 6498 bonus. 6507 above. Hold runner. 6461 remains support.
Perfect follow through & there's 6474 & 6480 targets hit in #ES_F. As posted over 20 times, all that matters is 6461. It was support given at 8am, we held exact, rallied to 6474. We then trapped below, I posted it was trap time, recovered, ran to 80. 6488, 6498 bonus. Ride runner.
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RT @AdamMancini4: Note: This was a clear example of my core setup: The Failed Breakdown. As I say in newsletter markets trap by their natur….
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Note: This was a clear example of my core setup: The Failed Breakdown. As I say in newsletter markets trap by their nature. Our job is to trade the traps. We swept 6461 low, recovered, longs triggered hit 6480 target. Shut platform, ride runner. Rest of newsletter setups apply
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Perfect follow through & there's 6474 & 6480 targets hit in #ES_F. As posted over 20 times, all that matters is 6461. It was support given at 8am, we held exact, rallied to 6474. We then trapped below, I posted it was trap time, recovered, ran to 80. 6488, 6498 bonus. Ride runner.
We are spoiled in #ES_F with pinpoint precision. As stated 20+ times, all that matters this week is 6461. It was my target yesterday. At 8am, I posted it was support with 6474+ target. We held 61 exact, hit 74, back to 61. Trap time now. 6474, 6480+ remain above. Same downsides.
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We are spoiled in #ES_F with pinpoint precision. As stated 20+ times, all that matters this week is 6461. It was my target yesterday. At 8am, I posted it was support with 6474+ target. We held 61 exact, hit 74, back to 61. Trap time now. 6474, 6480+ remain above. Same downsides.
It can't get more precise than that to start the day in #ES_F. This week is all about 6461 as posted. At 8am, I posted it was support. We sold to 6461.25 low of day and bounced. Targets given were 6469 (hit), 6474 (hit), 6480. **Protect gains**. 6488, 6498 bonus. Dip<61 now.
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It can't get more precise than that to start the day in #ES_F. This week is all about 6461 as posted. At 8am, I posted it was support. We sold to 6461.25 low of day and bounced. Targets given were 6469 (hit), 6474 (hit), 6480. **Protect gains**. 6488, 6498 bonus. Dip<61 now.
Yesterday we got my core setup 3:30PM: The Failed Breakdown. Its all I trade. At 2:36PM I tweeted 6438 reclaim triggers up. My target was 6461 (hit), which is the core resistance this week. Brick wall. Plan today: Hold runner. 6461=support. 6469, 6474, 6480 next. Dip 6448 below.
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This week is all about 1 level: 6461. It was my #ES_F target yesterday for the 6438 reclaim long I tweeted at 2:36PM. We hit it by 4pm & cleared. I posted at 8am its support now & we held exact 2x since. Weaker now, watch for traps. 6469, 6474, 6480+ above. 6453, 6448 if it fails.
Yesterday we got my core setup 3:30PM: The Failed Breakdown. Its all I trade. At 2:36PM I tweeted 6438 reclaim triggers up. My target was 6461 (hit), which is the core resistance this week. Brick wall. Plan today: Hold runner. 6461=support. 6469, 6474, 6480 next. Dip 6448 below.
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Yesterday we got my core setup 3:30PM: The Failed Breakdown. Its all I trade. At 2:36PM I tweeted 6438 reclaim triggers up. My target was 6461 (hit), which is the core resistance this week. Brick wall. Plan today: Hold runner. 6461=support. 6469, 6474, 6480 next. Dip 6448 below.
#ES_F loves to give us the late day long and we got it. I tweeted the setup at 2:36PM: 6438 Failed Breakdown/reclaim (of the morning low) triggers up. We got the trigger 3:30PM. Targets were 6448 (hit), 6461. Protect gains, leave runner. Newsletter out soon with next trigger.
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#ES_F loves to give us the late day long and we got it. I tweeted the setup at 2:36PM: 6438 Failed Breakdown/reclaim (of the morning low) triggers up. We got the trigger 3:30PM. Targets were 6448 (hit), 6461. Protect gains, leave runner. Newsletter out soon with next trigger.
Dip continues off the 6461-65 backtest. As per yesterdays 4pm newsletter and tweets all day, 61 was the spot for #ES_F to reverse. Textbook back-test: We lost the week long 6461 shelf yesterday, sold to 6371, backtested today, sold. 6438 reclaim triggers up. 22-24, 12 below
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RT @AdamMancini4: Closing update #ES_F: After being spoiled with high volatility yesterday, today was much slower. I was looking for the ba….
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Closing update #ES_F: After being spoiled with high volatility yesterday, today was much slower. I was looking for the backtest of 6461 today and reaction. We hit it, and dipped. Bulls need to recover it. 6448, 6461-65 remain next up. Newsletter out soon with next entries.
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Dip continues off the 6461-65 backtest. As per yesterdays 4pm newsletter and tweets all day, 61 was the spot for #ES_F to reverse. Textbook back-test: We lost the week long 6461 shelf yesterday, sold to 6371, backtested today, sold. 6438 reclaim triggers up. 22-24, 12 below
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