ActuaryDataPicks
@ActuaryDataPick
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Profit since '23: Rugby League +244 units (14% ROI), NBA +127u (10% ROI) VIP NBA https://t.co/TW0fRTop0C FREE discord https://t.co/1e9tzMtkdF
Sydney, New South Wales
Joined November 2023
🔥+200u Milestone Achieved🔥 💵Total Profit: +204.7u on 10.4% ROI 🏀NBA 24-25: +66.5u on 11.1% ROI 🏀NBA 23-24: +50.7u on 8.8% ROI 🏉Rugby League: +85u on 11.7% ROI 🏈NFL: +2.4u on 3.7% ROI Since creating this twitter account 15 months ago I have now personally gained +200u
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🏀 NBA VIP Recap 🏀 ✅Harden ✅Tobias Harris ✅Myles Turner ✅AJ Green ✅Clingan 1 cry on twitter this morning = 5-0 sweep, might need to cry on twitter a bit more
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🏀 NBA VIP Recap 🏀 ✅Harden ✅Tobias Harris ✅Myles Turner ✅AJ Green ✅Clingan 1 cry on twitter this morning = 5-0 sweep, might need to cry on twitter a bit more
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This much CLV has actually been poison for my tips this season. Don’t think I’ve won a bet with 3+ movement. Keen to see how this ends up chalking..
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🚨NRL Premium Service Announcement🚨 There will be two separate packages this season, if you are interested in subscribing, send me a DM NRL Non-Player Performance - This will include h2h/ML, spread, totals, futures, try scorers and free swing promos - Season Pass = $550,
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🚨NRL (Rugby League) VIP Packages🚨 Will be launching these with details sometime tomorrow. Running a giveaway for 1 of the packages via instagram, link in comments
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Asking for a reboot because Deni missed the last 90 seconds of the game due to injury is straight comedy 😂😂😂
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Shared this summary with my VIP but thought it was worth sharing publicly as well Two days ago I had 6 bets on CLE vs MIN ✅Ant u13.5 2PA ✅Ant u8.5 3PA ✅Jarrett Allen u2.5 assists ✅Donte u4.5 assists ✅Garland u18.5 points ❌Randle u16.5 FGA Great result, probably should
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🚨IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT🚨 Unfortunately I am going have to pause on putting out picks for the foreseeable future… Just found out I’m going to be a mum!
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This is terrible for two reasons 1. If you have a problem with assists getting taken away for “no reason”, maybe bet the under? You’d be over the moon if they were truly taking assists away for no reason. 2. If you’re gonna say “I dont bet assists because it’s too subjective”,
He also (apparently) had an assist taken away from him. That’s why you never see me take assist props. Way too subjective. Happy to pair them with Points or PRA but Assist Props are so annoying when they get taken away for no reason. Took him for 6+ tonight as it was 26 straight
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💰NBA Season YTD Update: +16.8u Someone definitely should have told me earlier that crying on twitter helps keep the negative variance away as my results have picked up massively in the last 2 weeks since this post. I'm pleased that sticking with my process despite 50% of my
Mostly posting this as a vent because this NBA season has been absolutely ridiculous for me, genuinely never seen anyone have worse luck than this. +50u in 2023/24 +76u in 2024/25 -1u in 2025/26 How are the results so bad this year? Well this is how Today's Recap was -3.5u
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This shit so bad mfs be yelling BANNGG on a winning bet when they’re barely profitable for the season.
This shit so bad mfs be yelling BANNGG on a -110… #ShitCrazy
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Mostly posting this as a vent because this NBA season has been absolutely ridiculous for me, genuinely never seen anyone have worse luck than this. +50u in 2023/24 +76u in 2024/25 -1u in 2025/26 How are the results so bad this year? Well this is how Today's Recap was -3.5u
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The first thing I do whenever I go on vacation is create twitter accounts as well..
👋🏼 Morning all. I’m getting lots of questions about my account lately… So I thought I’d clear some things up. First of all, my account says based in Europe because I started this on a summer vacation in 2022. Secondly, the way I make money is through referral links and
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Some people act like the US is the first country to legalize sports betting. It’s been legal in almost every other western country for a long time and it hasn’t ruined sports.
*breathes in deep* THE NORMALIZATION OF SPORTS BETTING AND GAMBLING HAS RUINED THE INTEGRITY OF SPORTS AND MADE BEING A GENUINE FAN OF SAID SPORTS AND ATHLETE OF SAID SPORT NOT FUN AND, MOST OF THE TIME, MISERABLE. NO ONE CARES ABOUT YOUR PARLAY. GO OUTSIDE. *breathes out*
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Finally someone said it. Cappers seem to think a bet getting +CLV means it will automatically win and then cry that CLV means nothing when it loses. Manage your expectations properly.
The problem with CLV is that many people overestimate the value that they’re getting. To any newer bettors out there, if you get a line at +100, your chances of winning are ~50%. If that line moves to -150, your odds are ~60%. If it moves to -200, your odds are ~67%. What a
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🏈NFL Card 💰$200 AUD to someone who likes this if we sweep. All picks given out for free in my discord (link in bio) Season YTD: +3.9u on 15% ROI 1u Jalen Hurts (PHI) o17.5 pass completions 1.75 odds 1u Lamar Jackson (BAL) u28.5 pass attempts 1.90 odds 1u Herbert (LAC) 250+
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