0xRicker
@0xRicker
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Researcher & Contributor | Polymarket Maxi | @zscdao member
Bali, Indonesia
Joined November 2025
TL;DR: Key Monte Carlo Simulations to Run Before Betting on Polymarket – With Code 1. Hype vs. Reality in Polymarket Simulations: - Monte Carlo is buzzing among quants, but most don't apply it right to handle Polymarket's unique dynamics like multi-parameter influences 2.
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TL;DR: Key Monte Carlo Simulations to Run Before Betting on Polymarket – With Code 1. Hype vs. Reality in Polymarket Simulations: - Monte Carlo is buzzing among quants, but most don't apply it right to handle Polymarket's unique dynamics like multi-parameter influences 2.
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A bot that adapted to new Polymarket rules and makes $100k per week Joined 1 month ago and already made 9,121 predictions with all-time PnL at $532,256 $100K/week after adapting to the platform's latest rule changes All recent trades are straight wins, grinding BTC Up/Down
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A bot that adapted to new Polymarket rules and makes $100k per week Joined 1 month ago and already made 9,121 predictions with all-time PnL at $532,256 $100K/week after adapting to the platform's latest rule changes All recent trades are straight wins, grinding BTC Up/Down
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TL;DR: How to build a super-fast Polymarket trading bot in ~9 seconds using Claude AI to exploit short-lived price windows 1. Problem & opportunity in prediction markets: - Human traders react in ~10 seconds to events (e.g., BTC pumps +2.2% per Chainlink data) - Bot detects
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TL;DR: Adaptation of the Avellaneda-Stoikov model for Prediction Markets 1. Problems of the original A-S model in PM: - Unbounded prices - Arithmetic dynamics - Order-flow symmetry 2. Solution: Logit space: - Transform probability p → x = logit(p) = ln(p / (1-p)), where x is
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Another potential insider loading up? A brand new Polymarket account "dfhgdhfthrfhr" just dropped ~$180K betting NO on US strikes against Iran across multiple dates up to March 4, 2026 Only 300 views on the profile, which means that his bids went unnoticed by most people Bets:
Breaking: Iranian Insider back in action A trader who previously earned $278,000 betting on Israeli strikes against Iran has opened new positions on possible US intervention He bet $24,000 on a scenario by the end of this month and $40,000 by the end of next month In the event
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Possible 11x in 24 hours on the ZachXBT market? Meteora looks like the most likely option on first look But I reserch a pump and it turns out that a case has been pending against them since July 25, and in December 25, the court allowed new testimony to be given The case is
NEW: Major investigation dropping February 26 on one of crypto’s most profitable businesses where multiple employees abused internal data to insider trade over a prolonged period of time.
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Polymarket flipped the script on arb bots Latency arb edges and polling scripts - RIP What went live: > Fee math: fee = C × 0.25 × (p × (1−p))² > Taker fees on crypto markets → activated > 500ms delay → nuked > Peak pain: ~1.56% at p=0.50 - bot sweet spot for spreads This
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Make money on Polymarket while you sleep Polyfactual just dropped Auto Market Making in the @factsdottrade terminal Key features: - Drag & drop any market (up to 5 panels) - Spread slider (0.5–2%) - Set share size (minimum for rewards) - Refresh intervals: 60s, 5min, 10min -
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Gabagool22 retired and a new favorite appeared Another account that made ~40k over the last day Automated HFT bot grinding 5-min Up or Down markets on BTC, ETH, SOL All recent closed trades are wins in the logs All-time PnL: $305,601, 1D positions value jumped to $35.2K Key
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Follow smarts and earn 14% in one week All the smart wallets from my list are loaded onto Anthropic Anthropic → 85.8¢ Yes / 14.2¢ No Volume: $17.6M Google → 11¢ Buy YES on Anthropic - this is straight free money right now Why it's value: • Market flipped from ~70% to 86%
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Take 30 minutes and read this article about Claude Cowork Claude Cowork + Polymarket = my new AI assistant for work What can it do for you? • Find all the markets you need by keyword • Pull odds + volume • Compare with other prediction markets for arbitrage • Draw a graph
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Breaking: Iranian Insider back in action A trader who previously earned $278,000 betting on Israeli strikes against Iran has opened new positions on possible US intervention He bet $24,000 on a scenario by the end of this month and $40,000 by the end of next month In the event
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The only way to successfully copytrade Bots is to use another Bot Strategy + guide written below I configured copytrading of top bot from my article in Polycule in 45 seconds For copytrading: https://t.co/6dwDIKJsm7 My safe settings for 5-15-min edge: - Trade Amount: 10% -
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Polymarket bots printed >$500k on 5-min markets using simple inefficiency Polymarket uses Chainlink Data Streams API for settlement But realtime odds ≠ Chainlink oracle price ≠ Binance spot prices. This creates arbitrage windows spot → oracle → live odds How to exploit
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Another Polymarket bot printing ~$20K/day on micro-arbitrage $445,500+ all-time profit since Jan 2026 Pure automation, zero manual trades, insane consistency His strategy: 1. Bot constantly scans short-duration markets When YES + NO < $1, it instantly buys BOTH sides →
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