Statsational
@Statsational
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Pro sports bettor/DFS player. 25 years on Wall St. in FX. Co Founder @thesharpapp. Host of Bettor Thinking Podcast. Partner @runpuresports
Clearwater, FL
Joined September 2011
Week 11 is upon us after some crazy carnage. Whether you're still alive in Circa Survivor, or your own smaller survivor contest - @Statsational has you completely covered with this strategy article. Feel free to follow along with this article in X thread format:
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Ugly game last night that I think probably kills both QBs in the MVP race. @DKSportsbook now has it at: Maye +275 Stafford +300 Mahomes +500 Taylor +600 Allen +700 Darnold +1000 Mahomes and Allen's odds are reputational and it's very unlikely that their teams get the one seed,
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- save world series - get high as shit - get accosted by random woman in a target wearing "im too fucked up for real shoes" ugg slips buying two jumbo packs of slim jims (one opened in store) a bag of chips and some monopoly NBA trading cards im conceding that Andy Pages might
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Yeah but I didn't know it lowered T levels also
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Sometimes the math and real life line up
You have to love that Panthers percentage. I went over this scenario in detail on this week's show. Massive leverage for everyone else.
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You have to love that Panthers percentage. I went over this scenario in detail on this week's show. Massive leverage for everyone else.
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I guess the Jets are giving up on the season
ESPN sources: Colts are trading two first-round picks to the Jets for CB Sauce Gardner.
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NFL Passer Rating Differential Through Week 9 Only the 2007 Giants won a Super Bowl with a Negative Passer Rating Differential.
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NFL Yards Per Play Differential through Week 9: Seahawks top at +1.6, Packers/Colts at +1.3/+1.1. Historically, this metric correlates highly with wins (r ~0.75).
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The 2025 NFL HFA dropped significantly this weekend to 3.18, still in the top 3 of the last 15 years. HFA is typically 2.25 points, lower than the 3 often touted. Replay in all sports has lowered HFA.
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If you are going to allow QBs to fake going OB (Mahomes), then this is a legal hit https://t.co/YwxmvAbrhP
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Survive Week 9 with data-backed picks: ✅ Rams, Packers, Chargers breakdown ✅ Future value + chalk fades ✅ When to pivot + protect your season Watch the new Scratchin’ & Surviving episode w/ @Statsational 👇
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