Morgan Michaels
@morgmichaels
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Research Fellow for Southeast Asian Security and Defence at the IISS https://t.co/ddBMhv6njF
Joined March 2018
New report asks what's next for Myanmar's ethnic armies now in control of the borderlands. Military victories haven't brought stability and there's no clear way to remedy this. More pressure on the centre won't necessarily push the regime to the table. https://t.co/1jzB7zLx0c
myanmar.iiss.org
Under relentless blockade and attack from the air, Myanmar’s opposition forces have no way to stabilise or develop their newly captured territories unless they either make peace with the regime or...
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Sources on the frontline in Karen State’s Myawaddy Township told DVB that regime forces recaptured half of Laykaykaw town on Saturday. #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar #Karen Read more: https://t.co/nAurhkxrfr
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North Korea confirms development of Hwasong-20, their "next-generation" solid-fuel ICBM.
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NEW 🇲🇲 The post-coup conflict has repeatedly confounded bold predictions of both swift regime collapse and decisive opposition victory. For now, the grinding reality points less to liberation than to a bloody stalemate, writes Andrew Selth.
newmandala.org
Sound analysis requires looking the conflict’s grim realities in the face
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It was a wonderful learning experience attending and speaking at the Thailand Security Dialogue 2025 with my colleague @morgmichaels We sincerely appreciate the kind invitation of and excellent hospitality by @RTARF_PR and General Songwit Noonpackdee 🙏🏻
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In a video posted by @army2pr, a gas station in Sisaket province has been hit by a rocket strike with multiple injures being reported from there.
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BREAKING: Thailand's Constitutional Court suspends Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra pending an ethics investigation over a leaked phone call with a senior Cambodian leader.
apnews.com
Thailand’s Constitutional Court has suspended Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra. That is pending an ethics investigation over accusations that she was too deferential to a senior Cambodian leader...
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ANNOUNCEMENT | Seasoned journalist Thu Thu Aung will take over as Frontier Myanmar’s editor-in-chief next month from Ben Dunant, who steps down after seven years at the publication. Read here:
frontiermyanmar.net
Seasoned journalist Thu Thu Aung will take over as Frontier Myanmar’s editor-in-chief next month from Ben Dunant, who steps down after seven years at the publication.
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Responding to a question asked at the Shangri-La Dialogue, Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar said that ceasefire and inclusive dialogue should be the priorities instead of elections. One of the clearest positions taken by the ASEAN Chair on elections so far. https://t.co/1PCCY9fjiV
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We launched the Asia-Pacific Regional Security Assessment (APRSA) 2025 during the 22nd IISS Shangri-La Dialogue last weekend 👇 Launch📽️: https://t.co/GskejMssgn Dossier📖: https://t.co/irXV2EGObm ‼️free-to-read chapter: https://t.co/nkEMirtokl
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Our assessment on the type of weapon used in the 12 May attack on a school in Tabayin, Myanmar that killed more than 20 children. Read a detailed account of the cross-theatre violence that followed the 28 March earthquake here: https://t.co/4JVVnLBPXA
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What were the key messages from @SecDef’s Pete Hegseth’s remarks at #SLD25? IISS Shangri-La Dialogue Senior Fellow for Southeast Asian Security and Defence @EvanLaksmana examines the messages directed at domestic and regional audiences | https://t.co/NhYhFvN0Zn
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WATCH LIVE: Plenary 3 at the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue on ‘Managing proliferation risks in the Asia-Pacific' with: @JoseRamosHorta1 @RichardMarlesMP @DefenceAust Ruben Brekelmans @DefensieMin | #SLD25
iiss.org
Widely recognised as Asia's premier security summit, the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue is a unique meeting where ministers debate the region’s most pressing security challenges, engage in important...
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Men under 45 and women younger than 25 are banned from leaving Rakhine State while the Arakan Army is conscripting residents. #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar
https://t.co/DBzYiWSTib
irrawaddy.com
Men under 45 and women younger than 25 are banned from leaving Rakhine State while the Arakan Army is conscripting residents.
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As we head to the 22nd IISS Shangri-La Dialogue next week, @morgmichaels and I look at why and how ASEAN should develop a crisis-response architecture “capable of handling a regional contingency that may come sooner rather than later.”👇🏻 #SLD25
https://t.co/NP9n3oAfvp
iiss.org
ASEAN’s diplomatic habits of dialogue between members, built around mechanisms that have been developed over decades, may not be sufficient to prevent or manage a broader regional crisis involving...
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“…the lived experiences of civilians on the ground who have to navigate the messy realities of conflict are increasingly divergent from the triumphalist “imminent victory” narratives constantly proffered on social media…” https://t.co/aOqDd7Qh8O
thediplomat.com
While the chances of success are slim, ceasefires are a necessary step toward a resolution to the country’s civil war.
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Again wondering how people expected this to go. The MNDAA, a narco milita with no inclination towards democracy and historic ties with China was going to march to NPT and restore Suu Kyi to power? Was that the idea? https://t.co/G4bX2CCWor
irrawaddy.com
Ensuring that the junta regained the northern Shan capital without firing a shot, China’s interference in Myanmar has never been so public or so brazen.
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Since February, Chinland Defense Force-Kalay Kabaw Gangaw and All Burma Students Democratic Front have seized five junta bases on the road linking Sagaing’s Kale with Magwe’s Gangaw in a Chin National Front-led offensive, the ABSDF said. (Photo: ABSDF) #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar
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The epicenter of the Myanmar #earthquake was somewhere beneath Yaekharinn and Kyauktar villages in Sagaing Township of Sagaing Region. Nearly all the homes in both villages were damaged, with at least 20 completely destroyed #WhatshappeninginMyanmar
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My latest @IISS_org Military Balance blog coauthored with Douglas Barrie uses @Maxar satellite imagery to confirm that Algeria has emerged as an unexpected recipient of Egypt’s long-grounded Sukhoi Su-35 Flanker M aircraft order from Russia. https://t.co/nAGZGhepHd
iiss.org
Algeria has emerged as an unexpected recipient of Egypt’s long-grounded Sukhoi Su-35 Flanker M aircraft, with recent satellite imagery confirming at least one aircraft at Ain Beida/Oum el Bouaghi Air...
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