@jamiedsully
Jamie Sullivan
10 months
3x LTV:CAC is the golden rule for consumer startups… but why? @aleximm and I explore why going from 2x to 3x empowers greater reinvestment to build a compounding long-term advantage.. and more than triples your valuation! 👇👇
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@jamiedsully
Jamie Sullivan
10 months
1/ For the avg consumer internet company: 1x LTV:CAC = unprofitable 2x LTV:CAC = 16% operating income as % Gross Profit (GP) 3x LTV:CAC = 33% operating income as % Gross Profit 5x LTV:CAC = 46% operating income as % of Gross Profit
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@jamiedsully
Jamie Sullivan
10 months
2/ For consumer internet companies, opex margins vary as % of revenue across different gross margin buckets. But if you adjust the denominator from revenue to gross profit, the cost margins look similar across company types.
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@jamiedsully
Jamie Sullivan
10 months
3/ Therefore, S&M% (and LTV:CAC), is the most important determinant of operating income margin as a % of GP. Revenue & GP multiples are coupled with long-term op income margins. As op income is a derivative of LTV:CAC, valuation multiples are also correlated with LTV:CAC.
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@jamiedsully
Jamie Sullivan
10 months
4/ Consumer internet public companies with ~16% margins (the derived margin in our 2x LTV:CAC example) trade at 1.5x gross profit. Those with ~33% margins (~3x LTV:CAC) trade at 5.3x GP. Those with ~46% margins (~5x LTV:CAC) trade at 8.4x GP
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@jamiedsully
Jamie Sullivan
10 months
5/ In other words, increasing your LTV:CAC from 2x to 3x more than triples your valuation! Increasing from 3x to 5x is another 60%, or more than five times the valuation of a 2x LTV:CAC business.
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@jamiedsully
Jamie Sullivan
10 months
Disclosure: none of the above should be taken as investment, legal, business, tax, or other advice; please see for more information
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